Leones Negros UDG host CA La Paz in the Liga de Expansión MX on Sunday, 13 September 2026. Our model makes Leones Negros UDG the favourite at 50%, with the draw at 24% and CA La Paz at 26%.
Form and league position
Leones Negros UDG sit 2nd of 16 with 16 points from 7 games (17 scored, 8 conceded). CA La Paz sit 3rd of 16 with 13 points from 7 games (15 scored, 7 conceded).
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.8–1.5, about 3.4 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 67%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Leones Negros UDG at 1.98, the draw at 3.50 and CA La Paz at 3.24; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Leones Negros UDG to win (50%), most likely score 2-1.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
