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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Liga de Expansión MX
  3. Venados FC vs Tepatitlán

Venados FC vs Tepatitlán

Result • Liga de Expansión MX·Venados FC·Tepatitlán

Liga de Expansión MX
Liga de Expansión MX
Sep 12, 2026
23:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Venados FC

Venados FC

Home
Final Score
5-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
5-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.44
X4.20
25.00
Stadium
Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero
high Confidence
Tepatitlán

Tepatitlán

Away
Odds
11.44
X4.20
25.00
Stadium
Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero
Win Probabilities
67%
Venados FC
18%
Draw
15%
Tepatitlán
Home1.4467%
Draw4.2018%
Away5.0015%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Venados FC are favoured at 70%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga de Expansión MX fixture between Venados FC and Tepatitlán using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Venados FC a 67% win probability, a 18% chance of a draw, and Tepatitlán a 15% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 77%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 77%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: P. Kilani
    38'
    Yellow Card: P. KilaniVenados FC
  2. 38'
    Yellow Card: E. MartinezTepatitlán
    Yellow Card: E. Martinez
  3. Goal: S. LoraAssist: A. Dominguez
    42'
    Goal: S. LoraVenados FC · Assist: A. Dominguez
  4. 45+6'
    Substitution: A. GaticaTepatitlán · Out: A. Estrada
    Substitution: A. GaticaOut: A. Estrada
  5. 46'
    Substitution: H. AvilaTepatitlán · Out: A. Tamay
    Substitution: H. AvilaOut: A. Tamay
  6. 46'
    Substitution: J. CruzTepatitlán · Out: B. Casas
    Substitution: J. CruzOut: B. Casas
  7. Yellow Card: A. Grijalva
    49'
    Yellow Card: A. GrijalvaVenados FC
  8. Goal: S. LoraAssist: D. Tejeda
    52'
    Goal: S. LoraVenados FC · Assist: D. Tejeda
  9. Goal: D. TejedaAssist: A. Dominguez
    57'
    Goal: D. TejedaVenados FC · Assist: A. Dominguez
  10. Yellow Card: A. Dominguez
    59'
    Yellow Card: A. DominguezVenados FC
  11. 61'
    Yellow Card: H. AvilaTepatitlán
    Yellow Card: H. Avila
  12. 66'
    Substitution: T. ArevaloTepatitlán · Out: D. Villalpando
    Substitution: T. ArevaloOut: D. Villalpando
  13. 66'
    Substitution: L. EgurrolaTepatitlán · Out: R. Alonso
    Substitution: L. EgurrolaOut: R. Alonso
  14. Substitution: S. MontielOut: Ochoa Brandon
    68'
    Substitution: S. MontielVenados FC · Out: Ochoa Brandon
  15. Substitution: S. NavedaOut: A. Grijalva
    68'
    Substitution: S. NavedaVenados FC · Out: A. Grijalva
  16. Goal: S. LoraAssist: A. Dominguez
    74'
    Goal: S. LoraVenados FC · Assist: A. Dominguez
  17. Substitution: M. AguilarOut: D. Tejeda
    80'
    Substitution: M. AguilarVenados FC · Out: D. Tejeda
  18. Substitution: L. LazarteOut: P. Kilani
    80'
    Substitution: L. LazarteVenados FC · Out: P. Kilani
  19. 81'
    Yellow Card: F. SanguinettiTepatitlán
    Yellow Card: F. Sanguinetti
  20. Substitution: S. BenitezOut: S. Lora
    87'
    Substitution: S. BenitezVenados FC · Out: S. Lora
  21. Yellow Card: S. Benitez
    88'
    Yellow Card: S. BenitezVenados FC
  22. Goal: L. LazarteAssist: A. Dominguez
    90'
    Goal: L. LazarteVenados FC · Assist: A. Dominguez
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · Venados FCInjuries · TepatitlánLive scores →

Statistical Context

Venados FC

L
  • LSep 6, 26A · CDS Tampico Madero4-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3CA La Paz8+814DWWDW
4Venados FC8+413WLLWL
5Dorados8+412DWWLL
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo9-67LDLWD
16Tepatitlán8-223LLLWL

Venados FC vs Tepatitlán — Match Analysis

Venados FC are favoured at 70%; our projected score is 2-1.

Venados FC host Tepatitlán in the Liga de Expansión MX on Saturday, 12 September 2026. Our model makes Venados FC the favourite at 70%, with the draw at 17% and Tepatitlán at 13%.

Form and league position

Venados FC sit 9th of 16 with 10 points from 7 games (16 scored, 17 conceded). Tepatitlán sit 16th of 16 with 3 points from 7 games (5 scored, 22 conceded), recent form L-L-W-L-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 2.6–1.7, about 4.4 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams to score at 77%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Venados FC at 1.43, the draw at 4.45 and Tepatitlán at 5.69; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Venados FC to win (70%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Venados FC: 67% · Draw: 18% · Tepatitlán: 15%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (7.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 81% · Under 2.5: 19% · BTTS: 77%

Form (latest first): Venados FC: L · Tepatitlán:

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Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
CA La Paz
Sep 1903:00
Correcaminos Uat
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Monarcas
Sep 2001:00
Leones Negros UDG
11.9252%
X4.1724%
24.1724%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Cancún
Sep 2001:00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
11.8953%
X4.0025%
24.5522%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
CDS Tampico Madero
Sep 2001:00
Dorados
11.8953%
X4.1724%
24.3523%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Tapatío
Sep 2023:00
Tlaxcala
11.9252%
X4.3523%
24.0025%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Mineros de Zacatecas
Sep 2501:00
Piratas
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Sep 2501:00
CA La Paz
14.5522%
X4.7621%
21.7557%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Correcaminos Uat
Sep 2601:00
CDS Tampico Madero
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Sep 2618:00
Leones Negros UDG
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Tlaxcala
Sep 2622:00
Cancún
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Venados FC
Sep 2623:00
Monarcas
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Dorados
Sep 2701:00
Durango
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Correcaminos Uat
Oct 301:00
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11.5963%
X5.2619%
25.5618%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Tepatitlán
Oct 301:00
CDS Tampico Madero
14.7621%
X5.0020%
21.6959%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
CA La Paz
Oct 303:00
Venados FC
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%

Betting Tips

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