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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. St. Louis City vs Austin

St. Louis City vs Austin

Result • MLS·St. Louis City·Austin

MLS
MLS
May 23, 2026
18:45
high Confidence
WINNER
St. Louis City

St. Louis City

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.67
X3.90
25.00
Stadium
Energizer Park
high Confidence
Austin

Austin

Away
Odds
11.67
X3.90
25.00
Stadium
Energizer Park
Win Probabilities
54%
St. Louis City
29%
Draw
17%
Austin
Home1.6754%
Draw3.9029%
Away5.0017%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees St. Louis City's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Austin, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between St. Louis City and Austin using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns St. Louis City a 54% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Austin a 17% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: L. MacNaughtonOut: D. Polvara
    23'
    Substitution: L. MacNaughtonSt. Louis City · Out: D. Polvara
  2. Own goal: Guilherme Biro (Own goal)
    40'
    Own goal: Guilherme Biro (Own goal)St. Louis City
  3. Goal: F. Fall
    57'
    Goal: F. FallSt. Louis City
  4. 61'
    Substitution: B. VazquezAustin · Out: C. Ramirez
    Substitution: B. VazquezOut: C. Ramirez
  5. 61'
    Substitution: J. NelsonAustin · Out: M. Desler
    Substitution: J. NelsonOut: M. Desler
  6. 77'
    Substitution: N. DubersarskyAustin · Out: D. Pereira
    Substitution: N. DubersarskyOut: D. Pereira
  7. 77'
    Substitution: Z. KolmanicAustin · Out: J. Bell
    Substitution: Z. KolmanicOut: J. Bell
  8. 80'
    Yellow Card: N. DubersarskyAustin
    Yellow Card: N. Dubersarsky
  9. 81'
    Substitution: C. FodreyAustin · Out: O. Wolff
    Substitution: C. FodreyOut: O. Wolff
  10. Yellow Card: C. Durkin
    85'
    Yellow Card: C. DurkinSt. Louis City
  11. Substitution: B. McSorleyOut: S. Becher
    89'
    Substitution: B. McSorleySt. Louis City · Out: S. Becher
  12. Substitution: C. TeuchertOut: E. Lowen
    89'
    Substitution: C. TeuchertSt. Louis City · Out: E. Lowen
  13. Goal: D. EdelmanAssist: C. Teuchert
    90'
    Goal: D. EdelmanSt. Louis City · Assist: C. Teuchert
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available
2N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available
3N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available
Strengths · Weaknesses

St. Louis City

  • Strong head-to-head record against Austin
  • Unbeaten in last 3 matches
  • Inconsistent form with 2 losses in last 5
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches

Austin

  • Slightly higher average goals scored (1.4 per game)
  • 2 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Current 2-match losing streak
  • Poor defensive record (1.8 goals conceded per game)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
45%
50%
St. Louis City503714

Moderate agreement on home win (50%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

St. Louis City are predicted to win against Austin based on odds-implied probability of 57% and API-Football model favoring the home side. The bookmaker odds clearly favor St. Louis City, and the API model also predicts a home win with a double chance recommendation.

Form Analysis: St. Louis City have a mixed recent form (DWWLL) but are on a 3-match unbeaten streak, while Austin have lost their last two matches (LLDWW). St. Louis City average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Austin average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded, indicating defensive vulnerabilities for the visitors.

Key Factors: Head-to-head record heavily favors St. Louis City with 5 wins in 8 meetings. Austin have 5 players doubtful due to injuries, which could disrupt their lineup. St. Louis City have home advantage at CITYPARK, and the weather is neutral with no significant impact.

Conclusion: With strong odds support, favorable H2H, and Austin's injury concerns, St. Louis City are well-positioned to secure a victory. The draw is possible but less likely given the data.

Statistical ContextSt. Louis City

Double chance : St. Louis City or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
St. Louis CityAustin
55%Strength44%
46%Attacking Potential54%
56%Defensive Potential44%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
56%Goals H2H44%
55%Wins the Game44%
Head-to-head →Injuries · St. Louis CityInjuries · AustinLive scores →

Statistical Context

St. Louis City

WDWDW
  • WSep 13, 26H · Minnesota United FC4-2
  • DSep 10, 26A · Portland Timbers2-2
  • WSep 6, 26A · Vancouver Whitecaps1-3
  • DAug 30, 26H · FC Dallas3-3
  • WAug 23, 26H · Houston Dynamo2-1

Austin

WDDWD
  • WSep 13, 26A · Vancouver Whitecaps1-2
  • DSep 10, 26H · Colorado Rapids1-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · San Jose Earthquakes1-1
  • WAug 30, 26A · Portland Timbers1-2
  • DAug 23, 26H · Philadelphia Union1-1

Head to Head

2
St. Louis City
1
Draws
5
Austin
  • May 3, 26Austin – St. Louis City2-0
  • Feb 7, 26St. Louis City – Austin1-0
  • Oct 5, 25Austin – St. Louis City1-3
  • Mar 30, 25St. Louis City – Austin0-1
  • Apr 14, 24St. Louis City – Austin1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

St. Louis CityAustin
Played2524
Goals Scored4230
Goals Conceded3543
Avg Scored1.71.3
Avg Conceded1.41.8
Clean Sheets34

St. Louis City vs Austin — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees St. Louis City's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Austin, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

St. Louis City are predicted to win against Austin based on odds-implied probability of 57% and API-Football model favoring the home side. The bookmaker odds clearly favor St. Louis City, and the API model also predicts a home win with a double chance recommendation.

Form Analysis: St. Louis City have a mixed recent form (DWWLL) but are on a 3-match unbeaten streak, while Austin have lost their last two matches (LLDWW). St. Louis City average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Austin average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded, indicating defensive vulnerabilities for the visitors.

Key Factors: Head-to-head record heavily favors St. Louis City with 5 wins in 8 meetings. Austin have 5 players doubtful due to injuries, which could disrupt their lineup. St. Louis City have home advantage at CITYPARK, and the weather is neutral with no significant impact.

Conclusion: With strong odds support, favorable H2H, and Austin's injury concerns, St. Louis City are well-positioned to secure a victory. The draw is possible but less likely given the data.

Win Probabilities: St. Louis City: 54% · Draw: 29% · Austin: 17%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: St. Louis City wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · Austin wins: 5

Form (latest first): St. Louis City: WDWDW · Austin: WDDWD

  • N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available
  • N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available
  • N/A vs N/A: Key matchup data not available

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Sep 1923:30
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14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Sep 1923:30
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12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Sep 1923:30
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12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
MLSUSA
DC United
Sep 1923:30
Charlotte
13.8526%
X3.2331%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 2000:30
Austin
11.7258%
X3.8526%
26.2516%
MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Sep 2000:30
FC Cincinnati
12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Sep 2000:30
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15.5618%
X3.5728%
21.8554%
MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Sep 2000:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Sep 2000:30
Toronto FC
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 2001:30
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15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Sep 2001:30
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12.0848%
X3.4529%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Sep 2001:30
Chicago Fire
11.8554%
X3.4529%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Sep 2002:30
Atlanta United FC
12.2744%
X3.5728%
23.5728%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Sep 2023:00
San Diego
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%
MLSUSA
Seattle Sounders
Sep 2401:30
Real Salt Lake
12.7836%
X3.2331%
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