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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls

Prediction • MLS·New York City FC·New York Red Bulls

MLS
MLS
Sep 18, 2026
23:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
New York City FC

New York City FC

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Yankee Stadium
Early projection · Odds pending
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

Away
Stadium
Yankee Stadium
Win Probabilities
50%
New York City FC
23%
Draw
27%
New York Red Bulls
Home2.0050%
Draw4.3523%
Away3.7027%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

New York City FC are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior attacking stats, despite a four-game losing streak. The main risk is their poor recent form, which could allow the Red Bulls to capitalize on defensive lapses.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0New York City FC
/10
2.0New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
FormLatest first
DLLDW
Win Rate20%
New York Red Bulls
FormLatest first
DLLWL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

New York City FC
Home

New York City FC

Form
WDLLD
Latest first
5
Pos
56
Pts
+5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 21 matches)

Clean Sheets314%
Goal Diff+5
  • Superior head-to-head record against the Red Bulls
  • Stronger attacking output with 34 goals scored
  • Better defensive record with only 29 goals conceded

Key Players

N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
7.9
Goals
10
Assists
3
M. Moralez
M. Moralez
6.9
Goals
1
Assists
6
T. Gray
Red Card
Suspended
N. Mercau
Yellow Cards
Suspended
K. O'Toole
Leg Injury
Injured
A. O'Neill
Ankle Injury
Injured
Raul Gustavo
Leg Injury
Injured
K. Trewin
Ankle Injury
Injured
Thiago Martins
Leg Injury
Injured
M. Murray
Injury
Injured
M. Jones
Fracture
Injured
A. Martinez
Knee Injury
Injured
D. Baiera
Knee Injury
Injured
H. Wolf
Leg Injury
Injured
M. Moralez
Knee Injury
Injured
K. Parks
Groin Injury
Injured
A. Perea
Leg Injury
Injured
A. Farnos
Injury
Injured
Talles Magno
Calf Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
New York City FC
New York City FC
5Wins
2
Draws
New York Red Bulls
3Wins
New York Red Bulls
50%20%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May162026
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
1-1
Draw
New York City FCNew York City FC
Apr292026
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
1-3
Win
New York City FCNew York City FC
Sep272025
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
2-3
Win
New York City FCNew York City FC
May172025
New York City FCNew York City FC
2-0
Win
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Nov232024
New York City FCNew York City FC
0-2
Loss
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Sep282024
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
1-5
Win
New York City FCNew York City FC
May182024
New York City FCNew York City FC
2-1
Win
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Sep162023
New York City FCNew York City FC
0-0
Draw
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Aug42023
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
1-0
Loss
New York City FCNew York City FC
May132023
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
1-0
Loss
New York City FCNew York City FC

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

New York Red Bulls 1 - 1 New York City FC

May 16, 2026

30% / 30% / 40%

New York City FC4-2-3-1vs4-3-3New York Red BullsPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Central creativity vs wide threat. Balance key.

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls4-3-3
New York City FCNew York City FC4-2-3-1
New York Red BullsBenchNew York Red Bulls5
New York City FCBenchNew York City FC7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

New York City FC

17Out

15 key players

New York Red Bulls

16Out

12 key players

New York City FC

Team

New York City FC

Players Out

17(15 key)
T. Gray

T. Gray

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
N. Mercau

N. Mercau

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
K. O'Toole

K. O'Toole

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. O'Neill

A. O'Neill

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Raul Gustavo

Raul Gustavo

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

K. Trewin

K. Trewin

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Thiago Martins

Thiago Martins

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

M. Murray

M. Murray

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Jones

M. Jones

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. Martinez

A. Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Baiera

D. Baiera

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

H. Wolf

H. Wolf

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

M. Moralez

M. Moralez

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

K. Parks

K. Parks

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Perea

A. Perea

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. Farnos

A. Farnos

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Talles Magno

Talles Magno

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

New York Red Bulls

Team

New York Red Bulls

Players Out

16(12 key)
A. Mehmeti

A. Mehmeti

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Ruvalcaba

J. Ruvalcaba

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
O. Valencia

O. Valencia

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
G. Berggren

G. Berggren

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
R. Mosquera

R. Mosquera

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Marcucci

A. Marcucci

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

E. M. Choupo-Moting

E. M. Choupo-Moting

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Dos Santos

M. Dos Santos

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Forsberg

E. Forsberg

MODERATE
Injury:Hip Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Harper

C. Harper

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Sofo

M. Sofo

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

E. Lomdono

E. Lomdono

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Cowell

C. Cowell

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Donkor

R. Donkor

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Nealis

D. Nealis

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

J. Che

J. Che

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

MLS

League Statistics

MLS • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
2012444518+2740
1
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
2115424317+2649
2
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
2112273026+438
2
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
2111644940+939
3
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC
2210573622+1435
3
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
2011363726+1136
4
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
2110383933+633
4
New England Revolution
New England Revolution
2110473326+734
5
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
219663834+433
5
Charlotte
Charlotte
219573832+632
6
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
219663027+333
6
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
218764947+231
7
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
2191113028+228
7
New York City FC
New York City FCHome
217683530+527
8
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
208483432+228
8
New York Red Bulls
New York Red BullsAway
217593143-1226
9
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
218493837+128
9
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
2173113451-1724
10
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
217772729-228
10
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
215973137-624
11
San Diego
San Diego
217683732+527
11
DC United
DC United
215972836-824
12
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
226882732-526
12
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
2163122536-1121
13
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
207492227-525
13
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
2156103138-721
14
Austin
Austin
2156102640-1421
14
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
2156102939-1021
15
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
2143142051-3115
15
Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew
2155113036-620
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

New York City FC

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

50%New York City FC
23%Draw
27%New York Red Bulls

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffFri, Sep 18 · 23:30
StadiumYankee Stadium
League StatsMLS

Statistical Context

New York City FC

DLLDW
  • DAug 23, 26A · New England Revolution1-1
  • LAug 19, 26A · FC Cincinnati2-1
  • LAug 16, 26H · Philadelphia Union2-3
  • DJul 31, 26H · Toronto FC1-1
  • WJul 25, 26H · Chicago Fire3-1

New York Red Bulls

DLLWL
  • DAug 22, 26H · Chicago Fire1-1
  • LAug 19, 26H · Nashville SC0-1
  • LAug 15, 26A · Atlanta United FC2-1
  • WAug 1, 26H · Orlando City SC3-2
  • LJul 25, 26H · Charlotte0-2

Head to Head

5
New York City FC
2
Draws
3
New York Red Bulls
  • May 16, 26New York Red Bulls – New York City FC1-1
  • Apr 29, 26New York Red Bulls – New York City FC1-3
  • Sep 27, 25New York Red Bulls – New York City FC2-3
  • May 17, 25New York City FC – New York Red Bulls2-0
  • Nov 23, 24New York City FC – New York Red Bulls0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

New York City FCNew York Red Bulls
Played2121
Goals Scored3531
Goals Conceded3043
Avg Scored1.71.5
Avg Conceded1.42.0
Clean Sheets31

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

New York City FC

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 49GM. Freese
  2. 2DNico Cavallo
  3. 23DMaxwell Murray
  4. 22DK. O'Toole
  5. 35DM. Ilenič
  6. 7MN. Fernández Mercau
  7. 15MK. Pierre
  8. 32MJ. Shore
  9. 26MA. Ojeda
  10. 9MB. Traoré
  11. 20ALuighi Hanri

Coach: P. Jansen

New York Red Bulls

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 34GE. Horvath
  2. 14DJ. Bazán
  3. 3DJ. Marshall-Rutty
  4. 26DT. Parker
  5. 20DJ. Mina
  6. 39MN. Benedetti
  7. 80MN. Worth
  8. 13AE. Choupo-Moting
  9. 7AC. Cowell
  10. 16AJ. Hall
  11. 91AM. Jimenez

Coach: S. Schwarz

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — Expert Prediction & Analysis

New York City FC are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior attacking stats, despite a four-game losing streak. The main risk is their poor recent form, which could allow the Red Bulls to capitalize on defensive lapses.

New York City FC enter this Hudson River Derby as the clear favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and stronger overall team statistics. Despite a recent slump, their attacking output an…

Win Probabilities: New York City FC: 50% · Draw: 23% · New York Red Bulls: 27%

H2H: New York City FC wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · New York Red Bulls wins: 3

Form (latest first): New York City FC: DLLDW · New York Red Bulls: DLLWL

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USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Toronto FC
Aug 2923:30
New York City FC
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
MLSUSA
New York Red Bulls
Aug 2923:30
Philadelphia Union
13.8526%
X3.4529%
22.2245%
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MLSUSA
Atlanta United FC
Aug 2923:30
Charlotte
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
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MLSUSA
DC United
Aug 2923:30
Los Angeles FC
14.3523%
X3.3330%
22.1347%
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Inter Miami
Aug 2923:30
CF Montreal
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
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MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Aug 3000:30
San Jose Earthquakes
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Aug 3000:30
Vancouver Whitecaps
17.6913%
X4.3523%
21.5664%
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MLSUSA
Minnesota United FC
Aug 3000:30
Orlando City SC
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
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MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Aug 3000:30
FC Cincinnati
11.9651%
X4.0025%
24.1724%
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MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Aug 3001:30
Real Salt Lake
12.2245%
X3.4529%
23.8526%
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MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Aug 3002:30
Austin
11.6760%
X4.0025%
26.6715%
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San Diego
Aug 3002:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
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Columbus Crew
Aug 3020:30
New England Revolution
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
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St. Louis City
Aug 3023:00
FC Dallas
12.1347%
X3.8526%
23.7027%
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MLSUSA
New York City FC
Sep 423:30
Nashville SC
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
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