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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Jupiler Pro League
  3. Dender vs Lommel United

Dender vs Lommel United

Result • Jupiler Pro League·Dender·Lommel United

Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League
May 23, 2026
16:15
medium Confidence
DRAW
Dender

Dender

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.10
X3.30
22.90
Stadium
Dender Football Complex
medium Confidence
DRAW
Lommel United

Lommel United

Away
Odds
12.10
X3.30
22.90
Stadium
Dender Football Complex
Win Probabilities
33%
Dender
31%
Draw
36%
Lommel United
Home2.1033%
Draw3.3031%
Away2.9036%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a battle of momentum versus home soil. Dender's fortress may withstand Lommel's fire, but the winds of form blow strong for the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this Jupiler Pro League fixture between Dender and Lommel United using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Dender a 33% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Lommel United a 36% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. 55'
    Substitution: Z. VancsaLommel United · Out: L. Lopez
    Substitution: Z. VancsaOut: L. Lopez
  2. Substitution: D. ToshevskiOut: M. Viltard
    62'
    Substitution: D. ToshevskiDender · Out: M. Viltard
  3. Substitution: D. AcquahOut: R. Kvet
    62'
    Substitution: D. AcquahDender · Out: R. Kvet
  4. 72'
    Substitution: M. SalahLommel United · Out: J. van Duiven
    Substitution: M. SalahOut: J. van Duiven
  5. 72'
    Substitution: N. RommensLommel United · Out: T. Reyners
    Substitution: N. RommensOut: T. Reyners
  6. Substitution: N. Moutha-SebtaouiOut: B. Nsimba
    75'
    Substitution: N. Moutha-SebtaouiDender · Out: B. Nsimba
  7. Substitution: B. De KerfOut: N. Mbamba
    75'
    Substitution: B. De KerfDender · Out: N. Mbamba
  8. 75'
    Yellow Card: J. A. Banguera RiascosLommel United
    Yellow Card: J. A. Banguera Riascos
  9. 76'
    Substitution: H. OwareLommel United · Out: J. A. Banguera Riascos
    Substitution: H. OwareOut: J. A. Banguera Riascos
  10. 77'
    Yellow Card: H. OwareLommel United
    Yellow Card: H. Oware
  11. Substitution: A. DaaliOut: R. Oratmangoen
    81'
    Substitution: A. DaaliDender · Out: R. Oratmangoen
  12. Yellow Card: L. Marijnissen
    85'
    Yellow Card: L. MarijnissenDender
  13. 89'
    Yellow Card: M. SalahLommel United
    Yellow Card: M. Salah
  14. Yellow Card: N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
    90+3'
    Yellow Card: N. Moutha-SebtaouiDender
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1B. Nsimba vs Lommel defense: Dender's top scorer faces a defense that has kept 1 clean sheet in last 5.
2Lommel attack vs Dender defense: Lommel's potent attack (2.8 goals/game) vs Dender's leaky defense (2.4 conceded).
3Midfield control: Dender's 3-man midfield vs Lommel's 4-4-2 shape could be decisive.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Dender

  • Home advantage
  • Top scorer B. Nsimba (9 goals)
  • Poor recent form (LLDDL)
  • Weak defense (2.4 goals conceded per game)

Lommel United

  • 5-match winning streak
  • Strong attack (2.8 goals per game)
  • Form data marked as N/A, reliability uncertain
  • Away record not specified

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
36%
API-Football
45%
41%
Lommel United223841

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The predicted outcome is a home win for Dender, but with caution due to conflicting signals between market odds and form.

Form Analysis: Dender's recent form is poor (LLDDL) with 2 consecutive losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Lommel United is on a 5-match winning streak, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. However, Lommel's form data is marked as N/A, so reliability is limited.

Key Factors: Market odds imply a 42% home win probability, which is the primary signal. The API model favors Lommel (45% away win) but with low confidence. Dender's home advantage (rating 0.55) and Lommel's lack of recent match data (form N/A) reduce the away team's edge. No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Despite Lommel's strong streak, the market odds and home advantage tilt the balance slightly toward Dender. The prediction is a narrow home win, but with medium confidence due to form contradictions.

Statistical ContextLommel United

Combo Winner : Lommel United and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
DenderLommel United
32%Strength67%
33%Attacking Potential67%
29%Defensive Potential71%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
53%Goals H2H47%
32%Wins the Game67%

More information

Jupiler Pro League predicted line-ups: Gameweek 119/9Head-to-headDender – Lommel UnitedInjuriesDenderInjuriesLommel UnitedLive scores

Statistical Context

Dender

DWWWL
  • DNov 1, 26H · KRC Genk II1-1
  • WOct 9, 26H · Club Brugge II3-0
  • WSep 20, 26H · Patro Eisden1-0
  • WSep 11, 26A · KAA Gent II0-1
  • LMay 17, 26A · Lommel United3-2

Lommel United

WDWDL
  • WNov 1, 26H · Gent2-0
  • DOct 24, 26A · OH Leuven2-2
  • WOct 9, 26A · SK Beveren1-3
  • DSep 19, 26H · KV Mechelen0-0
  • LSep 12, 26A · Union St. Gilloise5-0

Head to Head

2
Dender
2
Draws
3
Lommel United
  • May 17, 26Lommel United – Dender3-2
  • Feb 3, 24Lommel United – Dender2-2
  • Sep 16, 23Dender – Lommel United3-1
  • May 6, 23Dender – Lommel United2-1
  • Mar 3, 23Lommel United – Dender1-0

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

DenderLommel United
Played379
Goals Scored3311
Goals Conceded6511
Avg Scored0.91.2
Avg Conceded1.81.2
Clean Sheets63

Dender vs Lommel United — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a battle of momentum versus home soil. Dender's fortress may withstand Lommel's fire, but the winds of form blow strong for the visitors.

The predicted outcome is a home win for Dender, but with caution due to conflicting signals between market odds and form.

Form Analysis: Dender's recent form is poor (LLDDL) with 2 consecutive losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Lommel United is on a 5-match winning streak, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. However, Lommel's form data is marked as N/A, so reliability is limited.

Key Factors: Market odds imply a 42% home win probability, which is the primary signal. The API model favors Lommel (45% away win) but with low confidence. Dender's home advantage (rating 0.55) and Lommel's lack of recent match data (form N/A) reduce the away team's edge. No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Despite Lommel's strong streak, the market odds and home advantage tilt the balance slightly toward Dender. The prediction is a narrow home win, but with medium confidence due to form contradictions.

Win Probabilities: Dender: 33% · Draw: 31% · Lommel United: 36%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Dender wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Lommel United wins: 3

Form (latest first): Dender: DWWWL · Lommel United: WDWDL

  • B. Nsimba vs Lommel defense: Dender's top scorer faces a defense that has kept 1 clean sheet in last 5.
  • Lommel attack vs Dender defense: Lommel's potent attack (2.8 goals/game) vs Dender's leaky defense (2.4 conceded).
  • Midfield control: Dender's 3-man midfield vs Lommel's 4-4-2 shape could be decisive.

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Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Kortrijk
Nov 419:30
KV Mechelen
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Standard Liege
Nov 619:45
SK Beveren
11.8953%
X4.1724%
24.3523%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KVC Westerlo
Nov 715:00
Charleroi
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
OH Leuven
Nov 717:15
KV Mechelen
12.2744%
X3.1332%
24.1724%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Antwerp
Nov 719:45
Lommel United
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Nov 719:45
Cercle Brugge
12.4441%
X3.1332%
23.7027%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Club Brugge KV
Nov 812:30
Anderlecht
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Gent
Nov 815:00
Kortrijk
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Union St. Gilloise
Nov 817:30
Genk
11.7956%
X3.8526%
25.5618%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
St. Truiden
Nov 818:15
Zulte Waregem
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Cercle Brugge
Nov 2019:45
KVC Westerlo
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.5618%
21.5465%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Charleroi
Nov 2115:00
St. Truiden
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Genk
Nov 2117:15
RAAL La Louvière
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
KV Mechelen
Nov 2119:45
Club Brugge KV
Early projection
111.119%
X8.3312%
21.2779%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Zulte Waregem
Nov 2119:45
Antwerp
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%

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