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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Jupiler Pro League
  3. Dender vs Lommel United

Dender vs Lommel United

Result • Jupiler Pro League·Dender·Lommel United

Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League
May 23, 2026
16:15
medium Confidence
DRAW
Dender

Dender

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.10
X3.30
22.90
Stadium
Dender Football Complex
medium Confidence
DRAW
Lommel United

Lommel United

Away
Odds
12.10
X3.30
22.90
Stadium
Dender Football Complex
Win Probabilities
33%
Dender
31%
Draw
36%
Lommel United
Home2.1033%
Draw3.3031%
Away2.9036%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a battle of momentum versus home soil. Dender's fortress may withstand Lommel's fire, but the winds of form blow strong for the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this Jupiler Pro League fixture between Dender and Lommel United using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Dender a 33% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Lommel United a 36% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1B. Nsimba vs Lommel defense: Dender's top scorer faces a defense that has kept 1 clean sheet in last 5.
2Lommel attack vs Dender defense: Lommel's potent attack (2.8 goals/game) vs Dender's leaky defense (2.4 conceded).
3Midfield control: Dender's 3-man midfield vs Lommel's 4-4-2 shape could be decisive.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Dender

  • Home advantage
  • Top scorer B. Nsimba (9 goals)
  • Poor recent form (LLDDL)
  • Weak defense (2.4 goals conceded per game)

Lommel United

  • 5-match winning streak
  • Strong attack (2.8 goals per game)
  • Form data marked as N/A, reliability uncertain
  • Away record not specified

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
36%
API-Football
45%
41%
Lommel United223841

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The predicted outcome is a home win for Dender, but with caution due to conflicting signals between market odds and form.

Form Analysis: Dender's recent form is poor (LLDDL) with 2 consecutive losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Lommel United is on a 5-match winning streak, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. However, Lommel's form data is marked as N/A, so reliability is limited.

Key Factors: Market odds imply a 42% home win probability, which is the primary signal. The API model favors Lommel (45% away win) but with low confidence. Dender's home advantage (rating 0.55) and Lommel's lack of recent match data (form N/A) reduce the away team's edge. No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Despite Lommel's strong streak, the market odds and home advantage tilt the balance slightly toward Dender. The prediction is a narrow home win, but with medium confidence due to form contradictions.

Statistical ContextLommel United

Combo Winner : Lommel United and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
DenderLommel United
32%Strength67%
33%Attacking Potential67%
29%Defensive Potential71%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
53%Goals H2H47%
32%Wins the Game67%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · DenderInjuries · Lommel United</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Dender

WLLWL
  • WSep 11, 26A · KAA Gent II0-1
  • LMay 17, 26A · Lommel United3-2
  • LMay 9, 26A · Zulte Waregem2-1
  • WMay 3, 26H · RAAL La Louvière2-1
  • LApr 24, 26A · Cercle Brugge2-1

Lommel United

LLWWL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Union St. Gilloise5-0
  • LSep 4, 26H · Club Brugge KV0-1
  • WAug 29, 26A · Cercle Brugge0-1
  • WAug 23, 26H · KVC Westerlo4-0
  • LAug 16, 26H · Charleroi0-1

Head to Head

2
Dender
2
Draws
3
Lommel United
  • May 17, 26Lommel United – Dender3-2
  • Feb 3, 24Lommel United – Dender2-2
  • Sep 16, 23Dender – Lommel United3-1
  • May 6, 23Dender – Lommel United2-1
  • Mar 3, 23Lommel United – Dender1-0

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

DenderLommel United
Played375
Goals Scored336
Goals Conceded653
Avg Scored0.91.2
Avg Conceded1.80.6
Clean Sheets62

Dender vs Lommel United — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a battle of momentum versus home soil. Dender's fortress may withstand Lommel's fire, but the winds of form blow strong for the visitors.

The predicted outcome is a home win for Dender, but with caution due to conflicting signals between market odds and form.

Form Analysis: Dender's recent form is poor (LLDDL) with 2 consecutive losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Lommel United is on a 5-match winning streak, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. However, Lommel's form data is marked as N/A, so reliability is limited.

Key Factors: Market odds imply a 42% home win probability, which is the primary signal. The API model favors Lommel (45% away win) but with low confidence. Dender's home advantage (rating 0.55) and Lommel's lack of recent match data (form N/A) reduce the away team's edge. No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Despite Lommel's strong streak, the market odds and home advantage tilt the balance slightly toward Dender. The prediction is a narrow home win, but with medium confidence due to form contradictions.

Win Probabilities: Dender: 33% · Draw: 31% · Lommel United: 36%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Dender wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Lommel United wins: 3

Form (latest first): Dender: WLLWL · Lommel United: LLWWL

  • B. Nsimba vs Lommel defense: Dender's top scorer faces a defense that has kept 1 clean sheet in last 5.
  • Lommel attack vs Dender defense: Lommel's potent attack (2.8 goals/game) vs Dender's leaky defense (2.4 conceded).
  • Midfield control: Dender's 3-man midfield vs Lommel's 4-4-2 shape could be decisive.

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Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Gent
Sep 1818:45
Standard Liege
12.0449%
X3.3330%
24.7621%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
OH Leuven
Sep 1914:00
RAAL La Louvière
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Charleroi
Sep 1916:15
Cercle Brugge
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Lommel United
Sep 1918:45
KV Mechelen
12.2245%
X3.2331%
24.1724%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Anderlecht
Sep 1918:45
Zulte Waregem
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Antwerp
Sep 2011:30
Union St. Gilloise
16.6715%
X3.7027%
21.7258%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
St. Truiden
Sep 2014:00
KVC Westerlo
11.5963%
X4.3523%
27.1414%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Club Brugge KV
Sep 2016:30
Genk
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Kortrijk
Sep 2017:15
SK Beveren
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
SK Beveren
Oct 918:45
Lommel United
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Cercle Brugge
Oct 1014:00
Anderlecht
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
RAAL La Louvière
Oct 1016:15
Club Brugge KV
Early projection
116.676%
X8.3312%
21.2282%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Zulte Waregem
Oct 1018:45
Gent
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Genk
Oct 1018:45
Kortrijk
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium
Standard Liege
Oct 1111:30
Charleroi
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%

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