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  1. Home
  2. Copa do Brasil
  3. Gremio vs Mirassol

Gremio vs Mirassol

Prediction • Copa do Brasil·Gremio·Mirassol

Copa do Brasil
Copa do Brasil
Aug 5, 2026
22:30
PREDICTED WINNER
Gremio

Gremio

Home
VS
VS
Mirassol

Mirassol

Away
Win Probabilities
45%
Gremio
30%
Draw
25%
Mirassol
Home2.2245%
Draw3.3330%
Away4.0025%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Gremio are slight favorites at home, but Mirassol have won all four recent meetings, making this a tight contest. The main risk is Gremio's defensive frailty, which could allow Mirassol to snatch a result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
0.0Gremio
/10
4.0Mirassol
Gremio
FormLatest first
LDLLL
Win Rate0%
Mirassol
FormLatest first
WDWLL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageMirassol+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

22°
Clear
Wind
7 km/h
Humidity
83%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

High humidity - may cause player fatigue

Gremio
Home

Gremio

Form
DWLLD
Latest first
9
Pos
49
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 7 matches)

Clean Sheets457%
Goal Diff+4
  • Strong home record (2W-1D-0L)
  • Higher attacking output (1.4 goals per game)
  • Model favors them in attack (63%)
L. Perez
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Wagner Leonardo
Red Card
Suspended
Viery
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Carlos Vinicius
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Riquelme
Red Card
Suspended
Andre Henrique
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Gabriel Mec
Yellow Cards
Suspended
Pedro Gabriel
Yellow Cards
Suspended
M. Braithwaite
Achilles Injury
Injured
M. Villasanti
Knee Injury
Injured
Walter Kannemann
Inactive
Injured
M. Monsalve
Injury
Injured
Arthur Melo
Thigh Injury
Injured
Willian
Hamstring Injury
Injured
F. Amuzu
Ankle Injury
Injured
Joao Pedro
Muscle Injury
Injured
Marlon
Ankle Injury
Injured
Caio Paulista
Loan agreement
Injured
E. Noriega
Inactive
Injured
Roger
Hamstring Injury
Injured
J. Nardoni
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Fabian Balbuena
Inactive
Injured
C. Pavon
Injury
Injured
Gabriel Grando
Inactive
Injured
Luis Eduardo
Inactive
Injured
Weverton
International duty
Injured
Gustavo Martins
Knock
Injured

Head to Head

Last 4
Gremio
Gremio
0Wins
0
Draws
Mirassol
4Wins
Mirassol
0%0%100%

Recent Matches

Last 4
Jul172026
MirassolMirassol
2-1
Loss
GremioGremio
Sep132025
GremioGremio
0-1
Loss
MirassolMirassol
Apr162025
MirassolMirassol
4-1
Loss
GremioGremio
Mar22022
MirassolMirassol
3-2
Loss
GremioGremio

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Mirassol 2 - 1 Gremio

Jul 17, 2026

48% / 32% / 20%

Gremio4-3-3vs4-2-3-1MirassolPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

MirassolMirassol4-2-3-1
GremioGremio4-3-3
MirassolBenchMirassol7
GremioBenchGremio7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Gremio

27Out

18 key players

Mirassol

18Out

13 key players

Gremio

Team

Gremio

Players Out

27(18 key)
L. Perez

L. Perez

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Wagner Leonardo

Wagner Leonardo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Viery

Viery

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Carlos Vinicius

Carlos Vinicius

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Riquelme

Riquelme

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Andre Henrique

Andre Henrique

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Gabriel Mec

Gabriel Mec

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Pedro Gabriel

Pedro Gabriel

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
M. Braithwaite

M. Braithwaite

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Villasanti

M. Villasanti

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Walter Kannemann

Walter Kannemann

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Monsalve

M. Monsalve

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Arthur Melo

Arthur Melo

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Willian

Willian

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

F. Amuzu

F. Amuzu

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Joao Pedro

Joao Pedro

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Marlon

Marlon

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Caio Paulista

Caio Paulista

MODERATE
Injury:Loan agreement

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Noriega

E. Noriega

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Roger

Roger

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Nardoni

J. Nardoni

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Fabian Balbuena

Fabian Balbuena

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

C. Pavon

C. Pavon

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Gabriel Grando

Gabriel Grando

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Luis Eduardo

Luis Eduardo

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Weverton

Weverton

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Gustavo Martins

Gustavo Martins

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Mirassol

Team

Mirassol

Players Out

18(13 key)
Eduardo

Eduardo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Walter

Walter

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Reinaldo

Reinaldo

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Willian Machado

Willian Machado

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Edson Carioca

Edson Carioca

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Neto Moura

Neto Moura

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Igor Formiga

Igor Formiga

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Igor Carius

Igor Carius

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Yuri Lara

Yuri Lara

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Alesson

Alesson

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Nathan Fogaca

Nathan Fogaca

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Alex Muralha

Alex Muralha

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Jose Aldo

Jose Aldo

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Negueba

Negueba

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Andre Luis

Andre Luis

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Felipe Jonatan

Felipe Jonatan

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Daniel Borges

Daniel Borges

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Renato Marques

Renato Marques

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Gremio

Confidence

Win Probabilities

45%Gremio
30%Draw
25%Mirassol

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Aug 5 · 22:30
League StatsCopa do Brasil

Statistical Context

Gremio

LDLLL
  • LJul 30, 26H · Bolívar0-1
  • DJul 26, 26H · Fluminense1-1
  • LJul 23, 26A · Bolívar3-2
  • LJul 17, 26A · Mirassol2-1
  • LMay 30, 26H · Corinthians1-3

Mirassol

WDWLL
  • WJul 29, 26H · Remo2-1
  • DJul 25, 26A · Vasco DA Gama1-1
  • WJul 17, 26H · Gremio2-1
  • LMay 30, 26A · Atletico Paranaense1-0
  • LMay 26, 26A · Lanus1-0

Head to Head

0
Gremio
0
Draws
4
Mirassol
  • Jul 17, 26Mirassol – Gremio2-1
  • Sep 13, 25Gremio – Mirassol0-1
  • Apr 16, 25Mirassol – Gremio4-1
  • Mar 2, 22Mirassol – Gremio3-2

Season Statistics — 2026

GremioMirassol
Played72
Goals Scored103
Goals Conceded62
Avg Scored1.41.5
Avg Conceded0.91.0
Clean Sheets40

Gremio vs Mirassol — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Gremio are slight favorites at home, but Mirassol have won all four recent meetings, making this a tight contest. The main risk is Gremio's defensive frailty, which could allow Mirassol to snatch a result.

Based on the available data, Gremio enters this Copa do Brasil clash as the nominal favorite, though the edge is far from decisive. The API-Football model gives Gremio a clear advantage in expected goals and overall probability, and they enjoy home advantage with a perfect 2W-1D-0L record at their stadium.…

Win Probabilities: Gremio: 45% · Draw: 30% · Mirassol: 25%

H2H: Gremio wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Mirassol wins: 4

Form (latest first): Gremio: LDLLL · Mirassol: WDWLL

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Copa do Brasil

Copa do Brasil

Brazil12 · Upcoming Fixtures
Copa do BrasilBrazil
Palmeiras
Aug 219:00
Fortaleza EC
11.3972%
X4.5522%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Copa do BrasilBrazil
Mirassol
Aug 221:00
Gremio
12.6338%
X3.1332%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Copa do BrasilBrazil
Chapecoense-sc
Aug 221:30
Cruzeiro
15.0020%
X3.1332%
22.0848%
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Copa do BrasilBrazil
Internacional
Aug 222:30
Corinthians
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
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Copa do BrasilBrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Aug 400:00
Vitoria
11.8255%
X3.3330%
26.6715%
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Copa do BrasilBrazil
Juventude
Aug 422:30
Atletico-MG
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Copa do BrasilBrazil
Remo
Aug 500:30
Santos
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Copa do BrasilBrazil
Cruzeiro
Aug 522:00
Chapecoense-sc
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Copa do BrasilBrazil
Fluminense
Aug 600:30
Vasco DA Gama
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Copa do BrasilBrazil
Fortaleza EC
Aug 600:30
Palmeiras
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Copa do BrasilBrazil
Corinthians
Aug 623:00
Internacional
12.2245%
X3.5728%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Copa do BrasilBrazil
Vitoria
Aug 623:00
Atletico Paranaense
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access