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  1. Home
  2. First League
  3. Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali

Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali

Result • First League·Ludogorets·Arda Kardzhali

First League
First League
Oct 12, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Ludogorets

Ludogorets

Home
Final Score
5-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
5-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.44
X3.80
26.50
Stadium
Huvepharma Arena
high Confidence
Arda Kardzhali

Arda Kardzhali

Away
Odds
11.44
X3.80
26.50
Stadium
Huvepharma Arena
Win Probabilities
68%
Ludogorets
20%
Draw
12%
Arda Kardzhali
Home1.4468%
Draw3.8020%
Away6.5012%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Ludogorets are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this First League fixture between Ludogorets and Arda Kardzhali using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Ludogorets a 68% win probability, a 20% chance of a draw, and Arda Kardzhali a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 54%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 54%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Caio Vidal RochaAssist: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
    18'
    Goal: Caio Vidal RochaLudogorets · Assist: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
  2. Yellow Card: Hossam Abdelmaguid
    21'
    Yellow Card: Hossam AbdelmaguidLudogorets
  3. 30'
    Red Card: Georgi Nikolaev NikolovArda Kardzhali
    Red Card: Georgi Nikolaev Nikolov
  4. Yellow Card: Caio Vidal Rocha
    41'
    Yellow Card: Caio Vidal RochaLudogorets
  5. Goal: Bernard TekpeteyAssist: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
    44'
    Goal: Bernard TekpeteyLudogorets · Assist: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
  6. 45+3'
    Yellow Card: Vyacheslav VelevArda Kardzhali
    Yellow Card: Vyacheslav Velev
  7. Goal: Bernard Tekpetey
    45+4'
    Goal: Bernard TekpeteyLudogorets
  8. Substitution: Aguibou CamaraOut: petar stanic
    46'
    Substitution: Aguibou CamaraLudogorets · Out: petar stanic
  9. Substitution: Amir HadžiahmetovićOut: Deroy Duarte
    46'
    Substitution: Amir HadžiahmetovićLudogorets · Out: Deroy Duarte
  10. Goal: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
    56'
    Goal: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza CruzLudogorets
  11. Substitution: Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do CarmoOut: Bernard Tekpetey
    56'
    Substitution: Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do CarmoLudogorets · Out: Bernard Tekpetey
  12. 57'
    Substitution: Preslav·BachevArda Kardzhali · Out: Antonio Vutov
    Substitution: Preslav·BachevOut: Antonio Vutov
  13. 63'
    Substitution: Atanas KabovArda Kardzhali · Out: Svetoslav Kovachev
    Substitution: Atanas KabovOut: Svetoslav Kovachev
  14. 63'
    Substitution: Birsent KaragarenArda Kardzhali · Out: Stanislav Ivanov
    Substitution: Birsent KaragarenOut: Stanislav Ivanov
  15. 68'
    Yellow Card: Viktor LyubenovArda Kardzhali
    Yellow Card: Viktor Lyubenov
  16. Substitution: Nathan FernandesOut: Caio Vidal Rocha
    68'
    Substitution: Nathan FernandesLudogorets · Out: Caio Vidal Rocha
  17. Substitution: Ivajlo ČočevOut: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
    78'
    Substitution: Ivajlo ČočevLudogorets · Out: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
  18. 79'
    Substitution: Derick Fernando da SilvaArda Kardzhali · Out: Viktor Lyubenov
    Substitution: Derick Fernando da SilvaOut: Viktor Lyubenov
  19. Goal: Ivan Zhelizko
    86'
    Goal: Ivan ZhelizkoLudogorets
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headLudogorets – Arda KardzhaliInjuriesLudogoretsInjuriesArda KardzhaliLive scores

Statistical Context

Ludogorets

WLWWD
  • WOct 31, 26A · Lokomotiv Plovdiv0-3
  • LOct 26, 26A · CSKA Sofia2-0
  • WSep 14, 26H · Septemvri Sofia2-1
  • WSep 6, 26A · Lokomotiv Sofia1-2
  • DJul 30, 26H · Hapoel Tel Aviv2-2

Arda Kardzhali

DDL
  • DOct 27, 26H · Levski Sofia1-1
  • DSep 19, 26H · Cherno More Varna1-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · CSKA Sofia4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2CSKA Sofia13+2031DWWDW
3Ludogorets12+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 194813+1728WWLWW
5Botev Plovdiv13+222WLWWW
6Arda Kardzhali12-218DLDLL
7Slavia Sofia13013DDLLD

Season Statistics — 2025

LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
Played11—
Goals Scored19—
Goals Conceded19—
Avg Scored1.7—
Avg Conceded1.7—
Clean Sheets1—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali — Match Analysis

Ludogorets are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-0.

Ludogorets host Arda Kardzhali in the First League on Monday, 12 October 2026. Our model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 64%, with the draw at 21% and Arda Kardzhali at 15%.

Form and league position

Ludogorets sit 3rd of 14 with 23 points from 9 games (16 scored, 7 conceded), recent form W-L-D-W-W. Arda Kardzhali sit 6th of 14 with 17 points from 10 games (15 scored, 12 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.1, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 54%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Ludogorets at 1.60, the draw at 3.75 and Arda Kardzhali at 5.40; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Ludogorets to win (64%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Ludogorets: 68% · Draw: 20% · Arda Kardzhali: 12%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (9.7% chance)

Over 2.5: 50% · Under 2.5: 50% · BTTS: 54%

Form (latest first): Ludogorets: WLWWD · Arda Kardzhali: DDL

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First League

First League

Bulgaria15 · Upcoming Fixtures
First LeagueBulgaria
Cherno More Varna
Nov 215:00
Botev Vratsa
12.1746%
X3.7027%
23.7027%
First LeagueBulgaria
Arda Kardzhali
Nov 217:30
Septemvri Sofia
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Nov 615:00
Lokomotiv Sofia
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Plovdiv
Nov 617:15
Dunav Ruse
11.4569%
X5.5618%
27.6913%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Vratsa
Nov 711:30
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
First LeagueBulgaria
Slavia Sofia
Nov 714:00
Cherno More Varna
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
First LeagueBulgaria
Ludogorets
Nov 716:30
CSKA 1948
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
First LeagueBulgaria
Spartak Varna
Nov 812:00
Arda Kardzhali
13.3330%
X4.3523%
22.1347%
First LeagueBulgaria
Levski Sofia
Nov 815:00
CSKA Sofia
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Nov 2016:00
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
First LeagueBulgaria
Slavia Sofia
Nov 2112:45
Arda Kardzhali
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
First LeagueBulgaria
Spartak Varna
Nov 2115:15
Cherno More Varna
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Vratsa
Nov 2211:00
CSKA 1948
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
First LeagueBulgaria
Levski Sofia
Nov 2213:30
Lokomotiv Sofia
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Plovdiv
Nov 2216:00
CSKA Sofia
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%

Betting Tips

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