Cherno More Varna host Levski Sofia in the First League on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 66%, with the draw at 21% and Cherno More Varna at 13%.
Form and league position
Cherno More Varna sit 13th of 14 with 6 points from 10 games (11 scored, 20 conceded), recent form L-D-D. Levski Sofia sit 1st of 14 with 25 points from 9 games (21 scored, 4 conceded), recent form D-L-W-D-L.
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.1–1.7, about 2.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 57%.
Team news
Levski Sofia are without N. Serafimov, M. Sangare, M. Moubarik, R. Kirilov and O. Kamdem.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Cherno More Varna at 5.60, the draw at 3.65 and Levski Sofia at 1.60; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Levski Sofia to win (66%), most likely score 1-2.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
