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Today's Tips
Matches
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  1. Home
  2. First League
  3. Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia

Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia

Result • First League·Cherno More Varna·Lokomotiv Sofia

First League
First League
Sep 11, 2026
18:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.95
X3.30
23.30
Stadium
Ticha
medium Confidence
DRAW
Lokomotiv Sofia

Lokomotiv Sofia

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.30
23.30
Stadium
Ticha
Win Probabilities
47%
Cherno More Varna
26%
Draw
27%
Lokomotiv Sofia
Home1.9547%
Draw3.3026%
Away3.3027%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Cherno More Varna are favoured at 47%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this First League fixture between Cherno More Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cherno More Varna a 47% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Lokomotiv Sofia a 27% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%

Match Events

  1. Goal: celso sidney
    6'
    Goal: celso sidneyCherno More Varna
  2. 15'
    Yellow Card: Angel LyaskovLokomotiv Sofia
    Yellow Card: Angel Lyaskov
  3. 34'
    Yellow Card: Krasimir StanoevLokomotiv Sofia
    Yellow Card: Krasimir Stanoev
  4. Goal: Idris·Bounaas
    37'
    Goal: Idris·BounaasCherno More Varna
  5. 45+3'
    Red Card: Bozhidar KatsarovLokomotiv Sofia
    Red Card: Bozhidar Katsarov
  6. 46'
    Substitution: Ryan BidoungaLokomotiv Sofia · Out: Ivan Yordanov
    Substitution: Ryan BidoungaOut: Ivan Yordanov
  7. 46'
    Substitution: Dimitar KostadinovLokomotiv Sofia · Out: Georgi Minchev
    Substitution: Dimitar KostadinovOut: Georgi Minchev
  8. 46'
    Substitution: Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de CarvalhoLokomotiv Sofia · Out: Reyan Daskalov
    Substitution: Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de CarvalhoOut: Reyan Daskalov
  9. Yellow Card: Christian Tomov
    57'
    Yellow Card: Christian TomovCherno More Varna
  10. Substitution: Petar Dimitrov AndreevOut: celso sidney
    58'
    Substitution: Petar Dimitrov AndreevCherno More Varna · Out: celso sidney
  11. 61'
    Substitution: Ante AralicaLokomotiv Sofia · Out: caruzo caue
    Substitution: Ante AralicaOut: caruzo caue
  12. Yellow Card: Ventsislav Kerchev
    62'
    Yellow Card: Ventsislav KerchevCherno More Varna
  13. 64'
    Goal: Spas DelevLokomotiv Sofia
    Goal: Spas Delev
  14. Yellow Card: Asen Donchev
    69'
    Yellow Card: Asen DonchevCherno More Varna
  15. 77'
    Goal: Dimitar KostadinovLokomotiv Sofia
    Goal: Dimitar Kostadinov
  16. 78'
    Substitution: nikola neychevLokomotiv Sofia · Out: Kaloyan Kostov
    Substitution: nikola neychevOut: Kaloyan Kostov
  17. Substitution: Miguel barandasOut: Petar Dimitrov Andreev
    79'
    Substitution: Miguel barandasCherno More Varna · Out: Petar Dimitrov Andreev
  18. Substitution: Padilla JorgeOut: Mohamed Achi Bouakline
    79'
    Substitution: Padilla JorgeCherno More Varna · Out: Mohamed Achi Bouakline
  19. Substitution: bandaro joaoOut: Ventsislav Kerchev
    86'
    Substitution: bandaro joaoCherno More Varna · Out: Ventsislav Kerchev
  20. 87'
    Yellow Card: Ante AralicaLokomotiv Sofia
    Yellow Card: Ante Aralica
  21. Yellow Card: georgi lazarov
    90+4'
    Yellow Card: georgi lazarovCherno More Varna
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headCherno More Varna – Lokomotiv SofiaInjuriesCherno More VarnaInjuriesLokomotiv SofiaLive scores

Statistical Context

Cherno More Varna

WWLDL
  • WNov 2, 26H · Botev Vratsa1-0
  • WOct 27, 26H · Septemvri Sofia2-0
  • LOct 11, 26H · Levski Sofia0-2
  • DSep 19, 26A · Arda Kardzhali1-1
  • LSep 6, 26A · Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-0

Lokomotiv Sofia

LDDWL
  • LOct 30, 26H · Botev Plovdiv2-5
  • DOct 24, 26H · Botev Vratsa1-1
  • DOct 10, 26H · Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1
  • WSep 20, 26A · Spartak Varna0-1
  • LSep 16, 26H · CSKA Sofia0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Spartak Varna13-1113LLWLD
9Cherno More Varna13-812WWLDD
10Dunav Ruse13-711LWWDL
11Botev Vratsa13-1210LDLDD
12Lokomotiv Sofia13-109LDDWL
13Lokomotiv Plovdiv13-119LDDDL

Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia — Match Analysis

Cherno More Varna are favoured at 47%; our projected score is 2-1.

Cherno More Varna host Lokomotiv Sofia in the First League on Friday, 11 September 2026. Our model makes Cherno More Varna the favourite at 47%, with the draw at 25% and Lokomotiv Sofia at 28%.

Form and league position

Cherno More Varna sit 12th of 14 with 4 points from 8 games (8 scored, 17 conceded). Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th of 14 with 3 points from 7 games (8 scored, 14 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.7–1.5, about 3.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 63%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Cherno More Varna at 2.02, the draw at 3.45 and Lokomotiv Sofia at 3.35; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Cherno More Varna to win (47%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Cherno More Varna: 47% · Draw: 26% · Lokomotiv Sofia: 27%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.9% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 63%

Form (latest first): Cherno More Varna: WWLDL · Lokomotiv Sofia: LDDWL

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First League

First League

Bulgaria15 · Upcoming Fixtures
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Nov 615:00
Lokomotiv Sofia
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Plovdiv
Nov 617:15
Dunav Ruse
11.4569%
X5.5618%
27.6913%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Vratsa
Nov 711:30
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
First LeagueBulgaria
Slavia Sofia
Nov 714:00
Cherno More Varna
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
First LeagueBulgaria
Ludogorets
Nov 716:30
CSKA 1948
11.6162%
X4.7621%
25.8817%
First LeagueBulgaria
Spartak Varna
Nov 812:00
Arda Kardzhali
14.0025%
X3.8526%
22.0449%
First LeagueBulgaria
Levski Sofia
Nov 815:00
CSKA Sofia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Nov 2016:00
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
First LeagueBulgaria
Slavia Sofia
Nov 2112:45
Arda Kardzhali
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
First LeagueBulgaria
Spartak Varna
Nov 2115:15
Cherno More Varna
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Vratsa
Nov 2211:00
CSKA 1948
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
First LeagueBulgaria
Levski Sofia
Nov 2213:30
Lokomotiv Sofia
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Plovdiv
Nov 2216:00
CSKA Sofia
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
First LeagueBulgaria
Ludogorets
Nov 2316:00
Dunav Ruse
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
First LeagueBulgaria
Lokomotiv Sofia
Nov 2716:00
Slavia Sofia
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%

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