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  1. Home
  2. First League
  3. Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia

Result • First League·Spartak Varna·Lokomotiv Sofia

First League
First League
Sep 20, 2026
12:15
low Confidence
Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.59
X3.38
22.47
Stadium
Stadion Spartak
low Confidence
WINNER
Lokomotiv Sofia

Lokomotiv Sofia

Away
Odds
12.59
X3.38
22.47
Stadium
Stadion Spartak
Win Probabilities
39%
Spartak Varna
26%
Draw
35%
Lokomotiv Sofia
Home2.5939%
Draw3.3826%
Away2.4735%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Spartak Varna are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this First League fixture between Spartak Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Spartak Varna a 39% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Lokomotiv Sofia a 35% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. 22'
    Yellow Card: Ante AralicaLokomotiv Sofia
    Yellow Card: Ante Aralica
  2. 45+1'
    Yellow Card: Erol DostLokomotiv Sofia
    Yellow Card: Erol Dost
  3. 58'
    Own goal: Angel Granchov (Own goal)Lokomotiv Sofia
    Own goal: Angel Granchov (Own goal)
  4. Yellow Card: Angel Granchov
    61'
    Yellow Card: Angel GranchovSpartak Varna
  5. Substitution: Zakaria TindanoOut: Angel Granchov
    62'
    Substitution: Zakaria TindanoSpartak Varna · Out: Angel Granchov
  6. Substitution: Joao LopesOut: Tomas Silva
    62'
    Substitution: Joao LopesSpartak Varna · Out: Tomas Silva
  7. Substitution: Okoh chideraOut: Ahmed Ahmedov
    62'
    Substitution: Okoh chideraSpartak Varna · Out: Ahmed Ahmedov
  8. Yellow Card: mikhailov tsvetoslav marinov
    69'
    Yellow Card: mikhailov tsvetoslav marinovSpartak Varna
  9. Substitution: Edson Martinho SilvaOut: boris ivanov
    76'
    Substitution: Edson Martinho SilvaSpartak Varna · Out: boris ivanov
  10. 76'
    Substitution: kristian chachevLokomotiv Sofia · Out: Erol Dost
    Substitution: kristian chachevOut: Erol Dost
  11. 83'
    Yellow Card: Mohamed MedfaiLokomotiv Sofia
    Yellow Card: Mohamed Medfai
  12. 86'
    Yellow Card: Dimitar KostadinovLokomotiv Sofia
    Yellow Card: Dimitar Kostadinov
  13. 86'
    Substitution: nikola neychevLokomotiv Sofia · Out: Dimitar Kostadinov
    Substitution: nikola neychevOut: Dimitar Kostadinov
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headSpartak Varna – Lokomotiv SofiaInjuriesSpartak VarnaInjuriesLokomotiv SofiaLive scores

Statistical Context

Spartak Varna

LLWDD
  • LOct 30, 26A · CSKA 19486-1
  • LOct 24, 26A · Dunav Ruse2-0
  • WOct 10, 26A · Botev Vratsa0-1
  • DSep 13, 26A · Slavia Sofia0-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · CSKA Sofia1-1

Lokomotiv Sofia

LDDLD
  • LOct 30, 26H · Botev Plovdiv2-5
  • DOct 24, 26H · Botev Vratsa1-1
  • DOct 10, 26H · Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1
  • LSep 16, 26H · CSKA Sofia0-2
  • DSep 11, 26A · Cherno More Varna2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Arda Kardzhali12-218DLDLL
7Spartak Varna13-1113LLWLD
8Slavia Sofia12012DLLDW
9Dunav Ruse12-611WWDLL
10Botev Vratsa12-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv12-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv Sofia12-79DDWLD
13Cherno More Varna12-99WLDDL

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia — Match Analysis

Spartak Varna are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 2-1.

Spartak Varna host Lokomotiv Sofia in the First League on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Our model makes Spartak Varna the favourite at 39%, with the draw at 27% and Lokomotiv Sofia at 34%.

Form and league position

Spartak Varna sit 8th of 14 with 10 points from 9 games (10 scored, 14 conceded). Lokomotiv Sofia sit 13th of 14 with 4 points from 9 games (10 scored, 18 conceded), recent form L-D-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.5–1.4, about 2.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Spartak Varna at 2.60, the draw at 3.25 and Lokomotiv Sofia at 2.50; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Spartak Varna to win (39%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Spartak Varna: 39% · Draw: 26% · Lokomotiv Sofia: 35%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.5% chance)

Over 2.5: 56% · Under 2.5: 44% · BTTS: 60%

Form (latest first): Spartak Varna: LLWDD · Lokomotiv Sofia: LDDLD

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First League

First League

Bulgaria15 · Upcoming Fixtures
First LeagueBulgaria
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Oct 3112:00
Ludogorets
110.0010%
X5.2619%
21.4171%
First LeagueBulgaria
Dunav Ruse
Oct 3114:30
Levski Sofia
114.297%
X8.3312%
21.2381%
First LeagueBulgaria
CSKA Sofia
Oct 3117:30
Slavia Sofia
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
First LeagueBulgaria
Cherno More Varna
Nov 215:00
Botev Vratsa
12.1746%
X3.7027%
23.7027%
First LeagueBulgaria
Arda Kardzhali
Nov 217:30
Septemvri Sofia
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Nov 615:00
Lokomotiv Sofia
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Plovdiv
Nov 617:15
Dunav Ruse
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Vratsa
Nov 711:30
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
First LeagueBulgaria
Slavia Sofia
Nov 714:00
Cherno More Varna
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
First LeagueBulgaria
Ludogorets
Nov 716:30
CSKA 1948
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
First LeagueBulgaria
Spartak Varna
Nov 812:00
Arda Kardzhali
13.3330%
X4.3523%
22.1347%
First LeagueBulgaria
Levski Sofia
Nov 815:00
CSKA Sofia
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Nov 2016:00
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
First LeagueBulgaria
Slavia Sofia
Nov 2112:45
Arda Kardzhali
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
First LeagueBulgaria
Spartak Varna
Nov 2115:15
Cherno More Varna
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%

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