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  1. Home
  2. Primera A
  3. Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto

Prediction • Primera A·Atletico Nacional·Deportivo Pasto

Primera A
Primera A
Oct 11, 2026
01:15
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Early projection · Odds pending
Deportivo Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

Away
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Win Probabilities
84%
Atletico Nacional
12%
Draw
4%
Deportivo Pasto
Home1.1984%
Draw8.3312%
Away25.004%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Atletico Nacional are favored at 84% to win at home against Deportivo Pasto. The draw is rated 12% and the away win 4%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Atletico Nacional
/10
4.0Deportivo Pasto
Atletico Nacional
FormLatest first
WDLWW
Win Rate60%
Deportivo Pasto
FormLatest first
DLWWD
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageAtletico Nacional+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Atletico Nacional
Home

Atletico Nacional

Form
WWLDW
Latest first
3
Pos
8
Pts
+39
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 35 matches)

Clean Sheets1131%
Goal Diff+39
  • Strong recent form with four wins in the last five matches
  • Dominant head-to-head record with eight wins in the last ten meetings
  • Potent attacking options led by A. Morelos and J. Rengifo

Key Players

A. Morelos
A. Morelos
7.0
Goals
11
Assists
4
J. Rengifo
J. Rengifo
7.0
Goals
7
Assists
6
A. Sarmiento
A. Sarmiento
6.8
Goals
3
Assists
5
Deportivo Pasto
Away

Deportivo Pasto

Form
LDWWL
Latest first
17
Pos
19
Pts
-8
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 32 matches)

Clean Sheets928%
Goal Diff-8
  • A. Estupiñán is a proven goalscorer with 13 goals this season
  • Capable of sitting deep and frustrating opponents

Key Players

A. Estupiñán
A. Estupiñán
7.3
Goals
13
Assists
3
S. Jiménez
S. Jiménez
6.8
Goals
0
Assists
2

Head to Head

Last 10
Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional
8Wins
2
Draws
Deportivo Pasto
0Wins
Deportivo Pasto
80%20%0%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Mar292026
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
1-2
Win
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Oct182025
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
2-2
Draw
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Apr302025
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
3-0
Win
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Dec52024
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
2-1
Win
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Nov242024
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
0-1
Win
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Oct62024
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
1-2
Win
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Mar242024
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
1-0
Win
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Aug252023
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
2-0
Win
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Jun182023
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
3-2
Win
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
May202023
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
1-1
Draw
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional4-3-3vs4-3-3Deportivo PastoPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Primera A

League Statistics

Primera A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
America de Cali
11731226+1624
2
Deportivo Cali
12732209+1124
3
Atletico NacionalHome
107122110+1122
4
Millonarios
135621811+721
5
Bucaramanga
10550179+820
6
Independiente Medellin
116231915+420
7
Santa Fe
115421812+619
8
Deportes Tolima
125431513+219
9
Llaneros
114251414014
10
Águilas Doradas
113531415-114
11
Once Caldas
113351415-112
12
Internacional de Bogota
122641317-412
13
Cucuta
113351119-812
14
Chico
113351018-812
15
Alianza Valledupar
123271224-1211
16
Junior
102351517-29
17
Fortaleza FC
111641318-59
18
Deportivo Pereira
10154713-68
19
Deportivo PastoAway
11227918-98
20
Jaguares
111461120-97
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Atletico Nacional

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

84%Atletico Nacional
12%Draw
4%Deportivo Pasto

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 11 · 01:15
StadiumEstadio Atanasio Girardot
League StatsPrimera A
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Atletico NacionalInjuries · Deportivo PastoLive scores →

Statistical Context

Atletico Nacional

WDLWW
  • WOct 1, 26H · Junior3-1
  • DSep 25, 26H · Millonarios1-1
  • LSep 21, 26A · Llaneros2-0
  • WSep 17, 26A · Internacional de Bogota2-3
  • WSep 13, 26H · Águilas Doradas2-0

Deportivo Pasto

DLWWD
  • DOct 4, 26H · Fortaleza FC0-0
  • LSep 25, 26A · Chico3-0
  • WSep 20, 26H · Once Caldas1-0
  • WSep 15, 26A · America de Cali0-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Cucuta2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Deportivo Cali12+1124WWWWW
3Atletico Nacional10+1122WDLWW
4Millonarios13+721DDWWD
18Deportivo Pereira10-68LDDLD
19Deportivo Pasto11-98LWWDL
20Jaguares11-97LLLDD

Head to Head

8
Atletico Nacional
2
Draws
0
Deportivo Pasto
  • Mar 29, 26Deportivo Pasto – Atletico Nacional1-2
  • Oct 18, 25Deportivo Pasto – Atletico Nacional2-2
  • Apr 30, 25Atletico Nacional – Deportivo Pasto3-0
  • Dec 5, 24Atletico Nacional – Deportivo Pasto2-1
  • Nov 24, 24Deportivo Pasto – Atletico Nacional0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto
Played3532
Goals Scored7038
Goals Conceded3146
Avg Scored2.01.2
Avg Conceded0.91.4
Clean Sheets119

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Predicted line-ups: Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto

Predicted XI

Atletico Nacional

4-3-3Formation· Coach: P. Repetto

Deportivo Pasto

4-3-3Formation· Coach: J. González

  1. 1E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
  1. 5N. Gil
  2. 6S. Jiménez
  3. 21Derik Osede
  4. 3J. Ossa
  1. 23Y. Góez
  2. 25F. Leys
  3. 15H. Mancilla
  1. 10D. Chávez
  2. 42Eder Gomez
  3. 11A. Ibargüen
  1. 17C. Arango
  2. 9A. Morelos
  3. 7M. Moreno
  1. 22E. Cabrera
  2. 10E. Cardona
  3. 26F. Marin
  1. 20M. Casco
  2. 3N. Parra
  3. 15A. Reyes
  4. 6A. Román
  1. 34F. Armani

Bench

  • 25L. Marquinez
  • 16W. Tesillo
  • 33S. Velásquez
  • 19J. Rengifo
  • 8M. Uribe
  • 80J. Zapata
  • 99I. Poveda

Bench

  • 13Luis Valverde
  • 8E. Serje
  • 16M. Gil
  • 7Jonathan Perlaza
  • 32M. Pisano
  • 17J. Mendez
  • 19Krisztian Paraszhidisz

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Atletico Nacional are favored at 84% to win at home against Deportivo Pasto. The draw is rated 12% and the away win 4%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Atletico Nacional are clear favourites to win this Primera A Clausura Quadrangular clash against Deportivo Pasto at the Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The team-strength model, the API-Football Poisson model and the head-to-head record all point the same way, and the gap in the standings is substantial.…

Win Probabilities: Atletico Nacional: 84% · Draw: 12% · Deportivo Pasto: 4%

H2H: Atletico Nacional wins: 8 · Draws: 2 · Deportivo Pasto wins: 0

Form (latest first): Atletico Nacional: WDLWW · Deportivo Pasto: DLWWD

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Primera A

Primera A

Colombia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera AColombia
Independiente Medellin
Oct 600:00
Santa Fe
12.5639%
X3.1332%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Atletico Nacional
Oct 801:20
Deportes Tolima
11.7557%
X3.7027%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Alianza Valledupar
Oct 1000:30
Águilas Doradas
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Once Caldas
Oct 1021:00
Llaneros
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Junior
Oct 1023:10
Internacional de Bogota
11.7956%
X3.5728%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pereira
Oct 1119:00
Deportivo Cali
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Fortaleza FC
Oct 1120:00
Millonarios
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Jaguares
Oct 1121:05
Deportes Tolima
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.8817%
21.5465%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
America de Cali
Oct 1201:15
Independiente Medellin
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.1724%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Chico
Oct 1301:10
Cucuta
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Bucaramanga
Oct 1400:00
Águilas Doradas
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Junior
Oct 1423:00
Deportivo Pereira
11.3773%
X5.0020%
214.297%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Santa Fe
Oct 1501:05
Jaguares
11.4171%
X4.7621%
212.508%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Chico
Oct 1719:00
Atletico Nacional
17.1414%
X3.5728%
21.7258%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Águilas Doradas
Oct 1721:00
Deportes Tolima
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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