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  1. Home
  2. Primera A
  3. Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin

Prediction • Primera A·Atletico Nacional·Independiente Medellin

Primera A
Primera A
Oct 25, 2026
23:10
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Early projection · Odds pending
Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin

Away
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Win Probabilities
46%
Atletico Nacional
24%
Draw
30%
Independiente Medellin
Home2.1746%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.3330%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Atletico Nacional hold a clear edge at home, supported by a dominant head-to-head record and a near-perfect home fortress. The main risk is Independiente Medellin's superior scoring form, which could punish any complacency.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Atletico Nacional
/10
2.0Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
FormLatest first
WDLWW
Win Rate60%
Independiente Medellin
FormLatest first
DLWDL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageAtletico Nacional+4.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

D
César Haydar
7.5

César Haydar

Atletico Nacional

VS
Jarlan Barrera
7.5

Jarlan Barrera

Independiente Medellin

5ATT24
100TEC100
56TAC55
29DEF23
30CRE19

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
6/10
Over 2.5 Goals
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2.0
Avg Scored
1.5
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
4/10
1.1
Avg Conceded
0.8
Match Flow
7/10
Scored First
6/10
2.1
Avg Cards
2.6
4.4
Avg Corners
3.7
Match Averages
54%
Avg Possession
0%
15.5
Avg Shots
0.0
6.2
Avg On Target
0.0
11.0
Avg Fouls
0.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Atletico Nacional
Home

Atletico Nacional

Form
WWLDW
Latest first
3
Pos
8
Pts
+39
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 35 matches)

Clean Sheets1131%
Goal Diff+39
  • Exceptional home record: 13 wins and 1 draw from 14 home games
  • Strong head-to-head dominance: 4 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Solid defensive record: 1.0 goals conceded per game and 2 clean sheets in last 5

Key Players

A. Morelos
A. Morelos
7.0
Goals
11
Assists
4
J. Rengifo
J. Rengifo
7.0
Goals
7
Assists
6
A. Sarmiento
A. Sarmiento
6.8
Goals
3
Assists
5
Independiente Medellin
Away

Independiente Medellin

Form
LDWLD
Latest first
4
Pos
5
Pts
+6
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 30 matches)

Clean Sheets723%
Goal Diff+6
  • High-scoring attack: 2.4 goals per game in last 5 matches
  • Current win streak and good overall form (WDLWW)
  • Effective attacking players like F. Fydriszewski and F. Chaverra

Key Players

F. Chaverra
F. Chaverra
7.0
Goals
3
Assists
2
Y. González
Y. González
6.3
Goals
1
Assists
0

Head to Head

Last 10
Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional
4Wins
5
Draws
Independiente Medellin
1Wins
Independiente Medellin
40%50%10%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr122026
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
2-3
Win
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Dec182025
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
0-1
Win
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Dec132025
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
0-0
Draw
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Dec42025
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
2-1
Win
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Nov232025
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
0-0
Draw
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Oct262025
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
5-2
Win
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Sep72025
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
3-3
Draw
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
May42025
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
1-1
Draw
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Mar232025
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
1-1
Draw
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Nov182024
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
1-0
Loss
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional

Past Predictions

100%2/2 correct

Independiente Medellin 2 - 3 Atletico Nacional

Apr 12, 2026

25% / 33% / 42%

Atletico Nacional 2 - 1 Independiente Medellin

Dec 4, 2025

62% / 28% / 10%

Atletico Nacional4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1Independiente MedellinPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Primera A

League Statistics

Primera A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
America de Cali
11731226+1624
2
Deportivo Cali
12732209+1124
3
Atletico NacionalHome
107122110+1122
4
Millonarios
135621811+721
5
Bucaramanga
10550179+820
6
Independiente MedellinAway
116231915+420
7
Santa Fe
115421812+619
8
Deportes Tolima
125431513+219
9
Llaneros
114251414014
10
Águilas Doradas
113531415-114
11
Once Caldas
113351415-112
12
Internacional de Bogota
122641317-412
13
Cucuta
113351119-812
14
Chico
113351018-812
15
Alianza Valledupar
123271224-1211
16
Junior
102351517-29
17
Fortaleza FC
111641318-59
18
Deportivo Pereira
10154713-68
19
Deportivo Pasto
11227918-98
20
Jaguares
111461120-97
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Atletico Nacional

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

46%Atletico Nacional
24%Draw
30%Independiente Medellin

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 25 · 23:10
StadiumEstadio Atanasio Girardot
League StatsPrimera A
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Atletico NacionalInjuries · Independiente MedellinLive scores →

Statistical Context

Atletico Nacional

WDLWW
  • WOct 1, 26H · Junior3-1
  • DSep 25, 26H · Millonarios1-1
  • LSep 21, 26A · Llaneros2-0
  • WSep 17, 26A · Internacional de Bogota2-3
  • WSep 13, 26H · Águilas Doradas2-0

Independiente Medellin

DLWDL
  • DSep 30, 26H · Millonarios2-2
  • LSep 27, 26A · Junior2-0
  • WSep 22, 26H · Jaguares2-1
  • DSep 18, 26A · Bucaramanga2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Chico2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Deportivo Cali12+1124WWWWW
3Atletico Nacional10+1122WDLWW
4Millonarios13+721DDWWD
5Bucaramanga10+820WWDWD
6Independiente Medellin11+420DLWDL
7Santa Fe11+619WLWWD

Head to Head

4
Atletico Nacional
5
Draws
1
Independiente Medellin
  • Apr 12, 26Independiente Medellin – Atletico Nacional2-3
  • Dec 18, 25Independiente Medellin – Atletico Nacional0-1
  • Dec 13, 25Atletico Nacional – Independiente Medellin0-0
  • Dec 4, 25Atletico Nacional – Independiente Medellin2-1
  • Nov 23, 25Independiente Medellin – Atletico Nacional0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin
Played3530
Goals Scored7045
Goals Conceded3139
Avg Scored2.01.5
Avg Conceded0.91.3
Clean Sheets117

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin
Over 2.5 Goals6/105/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets2/104/10

Predicted line-ups: Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin

Predicted XI

Atletico Nacional

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: P. Repetto

Independiente Medellin

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: H. Sierra

  1. 25E. Chaux
  1. 39L. Escorcia
  2. 4K. Mantilla
  3. 26E. Mena
  4. 30H. Palacios
  1. 34K. Klinger
  2. 16H. Loboa
  1. 21A. Martegani
  2. 6D. Moreno
  3. 31D. Moreno
  1. 32C. Lucumi
  1. 17C. Arango
  1. 26F. Marin
  2. 23J. Rodríguez
  3. 80J. Zapata
  1. 31X. Rios
  2. 22E. Cabrera
  1. 20M. Casco
  2. 4C. Haydar
  3. 3N. Parra
  4. 27Y. Perlaza
  1. 34F. Armani

Bench

  • 25L. Marquinez
  • 15A. Reyes
  • 6A. Román
  • 16W. Tesillo
  • 7M. Moreno
  • 30K. Parra
  • 99I. Poveda

Bench

  • 1S. Ichazo
  • 19A. Simarra
  • 5J. Varela
  • 14B. Perlaza
  • 8J. Quintero
  • 24N. Erazo
  • 20J. Montaño

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Atletico Nacional hold a clear edge at home, supported by a dominant head-to-head record and a near-perfect home fortress. The main risk is Independiente Medellin's superior scoring form, which could punish any complacency.

Atletico Nacional are the narrow favourites for this Primera A Clausura quadrangular clash at the Estadio Atanasio Girardot, where their formidable home record and overwhelming head-to-head edge give them a clear, if not decisive, advantage over Independiente Medellin. Form Analysis: Both sides arrive in solid shape.…

Win Probabilities: Atletico Nacional: 46% · Draw: 24% · Independiente Medellin: 30%

H2H: Atletico Nacional wins: 4 · Draws: 5 · Independiente Medellin wins: 1

Form (latest first): Atletico Nacional: WDLWW · Independiente Medellin: DLWDL

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Primera A

Primera A

Colombia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pasto
Oct 419:00
Fortaleza FC
12.2744%
X3.0333%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Cucuta
Oct 421:05
Deportivo Pereira
11.6760%
X3.8526%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Internacional de Bogota
Oct 421:05
Once Caldas
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Bucaramanga
Oct 423:10
Junior
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Llaneros
Oct 501:15
America de Cali
14.7621%
X3.2331%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Independiente Medellin
Oct 600:00
Santa Fe
12.5639%
X3.1332%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Atletico Nacional
Oct 801:20
Deportes Tolima
11.7557%
X3.7027%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Alianza Valledupar
Oct 1000:30
Águilas Doradas
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Once Caldas
Oct 1021:00
Llaneros
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Junior
Oct 1023:10
Internacional de Bogota
Early projection
13.0333%
X4.0025%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Atletico Nacional
Oct 1101:15
Deportivo Pasto
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pereira
Oct 1119:00
Deportivo Cali
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Fortaleza FC
Oct 1120:00
Millonarios
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Jaguares
Oct 1121:05
Deportes Tolima
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.8817%
21.5465%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
America de Cali
Oct 1201:15
Independiente Medellin
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.1724%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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