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  1. Home
  2. Primera A
  3. Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios

Prediction • Primera A·Independiente Medellin·Millonarios

Primera A
Primera A
Aug 11, 2026
23:00
Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin

Home
VS
VS
Odds
12.68
X3.30
22.54
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
PREDICTED WINNER
Millonarios

Millonarios

Away
Odds
12.68
X3.30
22.54
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Win Probabilities
29%
Independiente Medellin
32%
Draw
39%
Millonarios
Home2.6829%
Draw3.3032%
Away2.5439%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Independiente Medellin hold a narrow edge at home, backed by a strong home record and better recent form, but Millonarios' defensive solidity and even head-to-head record make this a tight contest. The main risk is Millonarios' ability to score, having failed to find the net in three of their last five games.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Independiente Medellin
/10
6.0Millonarios
Independiente Medellin
FormLatest first
WLWWL
Win Rate60%
Millonarios
FormLatest first
DWDWW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

13°
Clear
Wind
5 km/h
Humidity
81%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

High humidity - may cause player fatigue

Independiente Medellin
Home

Independiente Medellin

Form
LWWWL
Latest first
4
Pos
5
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 23 matches)

Clean Sheets626%
Goal Diff+4
  • Strong home record with 6 wins in 12 home games
  • Scoring form: averaging 1.8 goals per game in last five
  • Two-game winning streak and 43% win rate

Key Players

F. Chaverra
F. Chaverra
7.0
Goals
3
Assists
2
Y. González
Y. González
6.3
Goals
1
Assists
0

Head to Head

Last 10
Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin
3Wins
4
Draws
Millonarios
3Wins
Millonarios
30%40%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb22026
MillonariosMillonarios
0-0
Draw
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Aug32025
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
1-0
Win
MillonariosMillonarios
Feb162025
MillonariosMillonarios
0-1
Win
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Jul192024
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
1-1
Draw
MillonariosMillonarios
Jan212024
MillonariosMillonarios
5-0
Loss
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Dec12023
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
2-1
Win
MillonariosMillonarios
Nov262023
MillonariosMillonarios
1-0
Loss
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Sep192023
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
1-1
Draw
MillonariosMillonarios
Jun172023
MillonariosMillonarios
2-1
Loss
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
May212023
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
2-2
Draw
MillonariosMillonarios
Independiente Medellin4-4-2vs5-4-1MillonariosPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

MillonariosMillonarios5-4-1
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin4-4-2
MillonariosBenchMillonarios7
Independiente MedellinBenchIndependiente Medellin7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Primera A

League Statistics

Primera A • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
America de Cali
America de Cali
7520174+1317
2
Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional
5401124+812
3
Llaneros
Llaneros
632175+211
4
Millonarios
MillonariosAway
531162+410
5
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
531186+210
6
Independiente Medellin
Independiente MedellinHome
430175+29
7
Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga
523064+29
8
Águilas Doradas
Águilas Doradas
422064+28
9
Cucuta
Cucuta
622259-48
10
Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali
521275+27
11
Once Caldas
Once Caldas
513196+36
12
Santa Fe
Santa Fe
513165+16
13
Fortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC
613256-16
14
Internacional de Bogota
Internacional de Bogota
613268-26
15
Jaguares
Jaguares
612349-55
16
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira
302101-12
17
Junior
Junior
502359-42
18
Alianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar
6024512-72
19
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
6015411-71
20
Chico
Chico
4013010-101
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Millonarios

Confidence

Win Probabilities

29%Independiente Medellin
32%Draw
39%Millonarios

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·22.68 · 3.30 · 2.54
KickoffTue, Aug 11 · 23:00
StadiumEstadio Atanasio Girardot
League StatsPrimera A

Statistical Context

Independiente Medellin

WLWWL
  • WAug 30, 26H · Llaneros2-1
  • LAug 23, 26H · Cucuta0-1
  • WAug 4, 26A · Deportes Tolima2-3
  • WAug 1, 26H · Deportivo Cali1-0
  • LJul 29, 26A · Vasco DA Gama1-0

Millonarios

DWDWW
  • DAug 30, 26H · Internacional de Bogota0-0
  • WAug 27, 26A · Llaneros0-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · Águilas Doradas1-1
  • WAug 5, 26H · Deportivo Pasto2-0
  • WAug 2, 26A · Junior0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Llaneros6+211LWDWD
4Millonarios5+410WDWWL
5Deportes Tolima5+210DWLWW
6Independiente Medellin4+29LWWWL
7Bucaramanga5+29DWDDW

Head to Head

3
Independiente Medellin
4
Draws
3
Millonarios
  • Feb 2, 26Millonarios – Independiente Medellin0-0
  • Aug 3, 25Independiente Medellin – Millonarios1-0
  • Feb 16, 25Millonarios – Independiente Medellin0-1
  • Jul 19, 24Independiente Medellin – Millonarios1-1
  • Jan 21, 24Millonarios – Independiente Medellin5-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Independiente MedellinMillonarios
Played2324
Goals Scored3337
Goals Conceded2925
Avg Scored1.41.5
Avg Conceded1.31.0
Clean Sheets69

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Independiente MedellinMillonarios
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Independiente Medellin

Formation 4-4-2
  1. 25GE. Chaux
  2. 39DL. Escorcia
  3. 4DK. Mantilla
  4. 13DJ. Mena
  5. 26DE. Mena
  6. 34MK. Klinger
  7. 21MA. Martegani
  8. 6MD. Moreno
  9. 31MD. Moreno
  10. 10AD. Cataño
  11. 70AJ. Córdoba

Coach: H. Sierra

Millonarios

Formation 5-4-1
  1. 1GJ. Burrai
  2. 17DJ. Arias
  3. 20DD. Banguero
  4. 4DS. Barreiro
  5. 34DJ. Guerrero
  6. 26DA. Llinás
  7. 19MM. García
  8. 25MD. Quintero
  9. 14MD. Silva
  10. 18MR. Ureña
  11. 10AD. Ruiz

Coach: H. Torres

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Independiente Medellin hold a narrow edge at home, backed by a strong home record and better recent form, but Millonarios' defensive solidity and even head-to-head record make this a tight contest. The main risk is Millonarios' ability to score, having failed to find the net in three of their last five games.

This Primera A clash at Estadio Atanasio Girardot pits league leaders Independiente Medellin against a Millonarios side that sits fifth but has shown resilience. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give the home side a slight edge, and the API model leans towards an away win or draw, creating a nuanced picture.…

Win Probabilities: Independiente Medellin: 29% · Draw: 32% · Millonarios: 39%

H2H: Independiente Medellin wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Millonarios wins: 3

Form (latest first): Independiente Medellin: WLWWL · Millonarios: DWDWW

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Primera A

Primera A

Colombia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pasto
Aug 3123:00
Deportivo Pereira
11.5266%
X4.0025%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Deportes Tolima
Sep 101:05
Cucuta
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Fortaleza FC
Sep 201:00
Once Caldas
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Santa Fe
Sep 301:25
Millonarios
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.5522%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
America de Cali
Sep 323:00
Alianza Valledupar
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pereira
Sep 401:00
Independiente Medellin
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Bucaramanga
Sep 519:00
Independiente Medellin
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.8817%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Chico
Sep 523:00
Once Caldas
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Junior
Sep 601:20
Jaguares
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Internacional de Bogota
Sep 619:00
Águilas Doradas
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Cucuta
Sep 621:05
Deportivo Pasto
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Deportivo Pereira
Sep 623:10
Millonarios
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Santa Fe
Sep 701:15
Fortaleza FC
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Llaneros
Sep 801:00
Deportivo Cali
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera AColombia
Chico
Sep 1001:00
Atletico Nacional
17.1414%
X3.5728%
21.7258%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access