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  1. Home
  2. Liga Pro
  3. Macara vs Emelec

Macara vs Emelec

Result • Liga Pro·Macara·Emelec

Liga Pro
Liga Pro
Sep 13, 2026
20:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Macara

Macara

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.75
X3.00
24.33
Stadium
Estadio Bellavista
medium Confidence
Emelec

Emelec

Away
Odds
11.75
X3.00
24.33
Stadium
Estadio Bellavista
Win Probabilities
52%
Macara
27%
Draw
21%
Emelec
Home1.7552%
Draw3.0027%
Away4.3321%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Macara are favoured at 47%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga Pro fixture between Macara and Emelec using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Macara a 52% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Emelec a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 47%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 47%

Match Events

  1. 37'
    Yellow Card: Víctor GriffithEmelec
    Yellow Card: Víctor Griffith
  2. 45'
    Substitution: Jose Francisco CevallosEmelec · Out: Víctor Griffith
    Substitution: Jose Francisco CevallosOut: Víctor Griffith
  3. 45'
    Substitution: Reixon David Saya ParedesEmelec · Out: Gonzalo Nápoli
    Substitution: Reixon David Saya ParedesOut: Gonzalo Nápoli
  4. 50'
    Yellow Card: Ronie CarrilloEmelec
    Yellow Card: Ronie Carrillo
  5. Goal: augustin campana
    60'
    Goal: augustin campanaMacara
  6. 66'
    Substitution: Jaime AyovíEmelec · Out: Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez
    Substitution: Jaime AyovíOut: Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez
  7. 66'
    Substitution: Teodoro ArceEmelec · Out: luis Fragozo
    Substitution: Teodoro ArceOut: luis Fragozo
  8. Substitution: J. KlingerOut: M. Viera
    73'
    Substitution: J. KlingerMacara · Out: M. Viera
  9. 77'
    Substitution: Orlando HerreraEmelec · Out: Estalin Segura
    Substitution: Orlando HerreraOut: Estalin Segura
  10. Substitution: Tono EspinozaOut: augustin campana
    81'
    Substitution: Tono EspinozaMacara · Out: augustin campana
  11. Substitution: Marlon MedrandaOut: Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
    81'
    Substitution: Marlon MedrandaMacara · Out: Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
  12. Substitution: Juan EspinozaOut: Denilson Bolanos
    87'
    Substitution: Juan EspinozaMacara · Out: Denilson Bolanos
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · MacaraInjuries · EmelecLive scores →

Statistical Context

Macara

WWWWL
  • WOct 24, 26A · LDU de Quito1-2
  • WOct 17, 26H · Independiente del Valle1-0
  • WOct 11, 26A · Universidad Catolica0-1
  • WSep 19, 26A · Aucas1-2
  • LSep 5, 26A · Independiente del Valle3-1

Emelec

LWLLW
  • LOct 25, 26H · Guayaquil City FC0-1
  • WOct 18, 26A · Leones del Norte1-3
  • LOct 10, 26A · Guayaquil City FC3-2
  • LSep 20, 26H · Libertad1-2
  • WSep 8, 26H · Manta FC1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Independiente del Valle33+4078DLWWW
2Macara34+1263WWWWW
3Universidad Catolica34+2253DDLLW
9Leones del Norte34-343WLLDL
10Emelec34-1042LWLLL
11Deportivo Cuenca34-944WWDDD

Season Statistics — 2026

MacaraEmelec
Played8—
Goals Scored8—
Goals Conceded5—
Avg Scored1.0—
Avg Conceded0.6—
Clean Sheets5—

Macara vs Emelec — Match Analysis

Macara are favoured at 47%; our projected score is 1-0.

Macara host Emelec in the Liga Pro on Sunday, 13 September 2026. Our model makes Macara the favourite at 47%, with the draw at 27% and Emelec at 26%.

Form and league position

Macara sit 4th of 16 with 48 points from 29 games (40 scored, 33 conceded), recent form D-D-L-D-L. Emelec sit 11th of 16 with 36 points from 29 games (25 scored, 33 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–1.1, about 2.3 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 47%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Macara at 2.26, the draw at 3.10 and Emelec at 3.28; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Macara to win (47%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Macara: 52% · Draw: 27% · Emelec: 21%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (11.1% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 47%

Form (latest first): Macara: WWWWL · Emelec: LWLLW

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Liga Pro

Liga Pro

Ecuador15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga ProEcuador
Delfin SC
Oct 3116:30
Deportivo Cuenca
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Liga ProEcuador
Emelec
Oct 3119:00
Leones del Norte
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Macara
Oct 3121:30
Barcelona SC
12.1746%
X3.5728%
23.8526%
Liga ProEcuador
Universidad Catolica
Nov 116:00
Aucas
11.8953%
X4.0025%
24.5522%
Liga ProEcuador
Independiente del Valle
Nov 118:30
LDU de Quito
11.8554%
X4.1724%
24.5522%
Liga ProEcuador
Guayaquil City FC
Nov 121:00
Libertad
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
Liga ProEcuador
Orense SC
Nov 220:30
Tecnico Universitario
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
Liga ProEcuador
Mushuc Runa SC
Nov 320:30
Manta FC
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Liga ProEcuador
Tecnico Universitario
Nov 821:00
Manta FC
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Liga ProEcuador
Barcelona SC
Nov 821:00
LDU de Quito
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Liga ProEcuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Nov 821:00
Orense SC
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Macara
Nov 821:00
Universidad Catolica
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Liga ProEcuador
Aucas
Nov 821:00
Independiente del Valle
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Liga ProEcuador
Mushuc Runa SC
Nov 821:00
Delfin SC
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Liga ProEcuador
Libertad
Nov 821:00
Emelec
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%

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