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  1. Home
  2. Liga Pro
  3. Libertad vs Independiente del Valle

Libertad vs Independiente del Valle

Result • Liga Pro·Libertad·Independiente del Valle

Liga Pro
Liga Pro
Sep 13, 2026
23:00
high Confidence
Libertad

Libertad

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.00
X3.80
21.65
Stadium
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
high Confidence
WINNER
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

Away
Odds
15.00
X3.80
21.65
Stadium
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Win Probabilities
16%
Libertad
20%
Draw
64%
Independiente del Valle
Home5.0016%
Draw3.8020%
Away1.6564%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Independiente del Valle are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga Pro fixture between Libertad and Independiente del Valle using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Libertad a 16% win probability, a 20% chance of a draw, and Independiente del Valle a 64% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 56%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 56%

Match Events

  1. 19'
    Goal: Matias Mijail PerelloIndependiente del Valle · Assist: Yandri Vásquez
    Goal: Matias Mijail PerelloAssist: Yandri Vásquez
  2. Substitution: Johan EstacioOut: Edu Pineda
    29'
    Substitution: Johan EstacioLibertad · Out: Edu Pineda
  3. Substitution: Gabriel CortezOut: D. Coronel
    29'
    Substitution: Gabriel CortezLibertad · Out: D. Coronel
  4. 34'
    Goal: Yandri VásquezIndependiente del Valle · Assist: Ronald Briones
    Goal: Yandri VásquezAssist: Ronald Briones
  5. Goal: Gabriel Cortez
    45'
    Goal: Gabriel CortezLibertad
  6. Goal: Vilinton German Branda MerlinAssist: Antony Chere
    56'
    Goal: Vilinton German Branda MerlinLibertad · Assist: Antony Chere
  7. 60'
    Substitution: Junior SornozaIndependiente del Valle · Out: Hólger Jamil Quintero Preciado
    Substitution: Junior SornozaOut: Hólger Jamil Quintero Preciado
  8. 60'
    Substitution: Emerson Ivan Pata RodríguezIndependiente del Valle · Out: Edwin Quintero
    Substitution: Emerson Ivan Pata RodríguezOut: Edwin Quintero
  9. Yellow Card: Johan Estacio
    62'
    Yellow Card: Johan EstacioLibertad
  10. 65'
    Yellow Card: Jhon EspinozaIndependiente del Valle
    Yellow Card: Jhon Espinoza
  11. Yellow Card: Orlin Quinonez
    68'
    Yellow Card: Orlin QuinonezLibertad
  12. 69'
    Substitution: Hugo QuintanaIndependiente del Valle · Out: Ronald Briones
    Substitution: Hugo QuintanaOut: Ronald Briones
  13. 69'
    Substitution: Steven Daniel Góngora PalaciosIndependiente del Valle · Out: Matias Mijail Perello
    Substitution: Steven Daniel Góngora PalaciosOut: Matias Mijail Perello
  14. 72'
    Goal: Steven Daniel Góngora PalaciosIndependiente del Valle · Assist: Hugo Quintana
    Goal: Steven Daniel Góngora PalaciosAssist: Hugo Quintana
  15. Substitution: Enrique Rafael Caicedo BorjaOut: Orlin Quinonez
    76'
    Substitution: Enrique Rafael Caicedo BorjaLibertad · Out: Orlin Quinonez
  16. 82'
    Substitution: Mateo CarabajalIndependiente del Valle · Out: Youri Ochoa
    Substitution: Mateo CarabajalOut: Youri Ochoa
  17. Substitution: Carlos OrejuelaOut: Vilinton German Branda Merlin
    84'
    Substitution: Carlos OrejuelaLibertad · Out: Vilinton German Branda Merlin
  18. Substitution: Jostin BravoOut: cristhian valencia
    84'
    Substitution: Jostin BravoLibertad · Out: cristhian valencia
  19. 90'
    Red Card: Jhon EspinozaIndependiente del Valle
    Red Card: Jhon Espinoza
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Liga Pro predicted line-ups: Gameweek 308/8Head-to-headLibertad – Independiente del ValleInjuriesLibertadInjuriesIndependiente del ValleLive scores

Statistical Context

Libertad

DLWWW
  • DNov 1, 26A · Guayaquil City FC0-0
  • LOct 25, 26A · Leones del Norte4-1
  • WOct 17, 26H · Guayaquil City FC4-0
  • WOct 9, 26H · Leones del Norte3-0
  • WSep 20, 26A · Emelec1-2

Independiente del Valle

WDLWD
  • WNov 1, 26H · LDU de Quito2-0
  • DOct 23, 26H · Universidad Catolica0-0
  • LOct 17, 26A · Macara1-0
  • WOct 10, 26H · Aucas2-1
  • DSep 18, 26A · Flamengo1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Independiente del Valle34+4281WDLWW
2Macara35+1566WWWWW
3Aucas35054WLDLL
4Universidad Catolica35+2153LDDLL
5LDU de Quito35+653LLDWW
6Barcelona SC34+748LWDLD
7Libertad34+450LWWWL
8Leones del Norte35-146WWLLD

Season Statistics — 2026

LibertadIndependiente del Valle
Played—9
Goals Scored—15
Goals Conceded—9
Avg Scored—1.7
Avg Conceded—1.0
Clean Sheets—3

Libertad vs Independiente del Valle — Match Analysis

Independiente del Valle are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-2.

Libertad host Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro on Sunday, 13 September 2026. Our model makes Independiente del Valle the favourite at 64%, with the draw at 19% and Libertad at 17%.

Form and league position

Libertad sit 7th of 16 with 41 points from 29 games (31 scored, 31 conceded). Independiente del Valle sit 1st of 16 with 71 points from 29 games (70 scored, 31 conceded), recent form W-W-W-W-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.1–1.6, about 2.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 56%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Libertad at 4.72, the draw at 3.82 and Independiente del Valle at 1.68; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Independiente del Valle to win (64%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Libertad: 16% · Draw: 20% · Independiente del Valle: 64%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (9.4% chance)

Over 2.5: 52% · Under 2.5: 48% · BTTS: 56%

Form (latest first): Libertad: DLWWW · Independiente del Valle: WDLWD

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Liga Pro

Liga Pro

Ecuador15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga ProEcuador
Orense SC
Nov 220:30
Tecnico Universitario
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
Liga ProEcuador
Mushuc Runa SC
Nov 320:30
Manta FC
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Liga ProEcuador
Tecnico Universitario
Nov 821:00
Manta FC
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Liga ProEcuador
Barcelona SC
Nov 821:00
LDU de Quito
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Liga ProEcuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Nov 821:00
Orense SC
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga ProEcuador
Macara
Nov 821:00
Universidad Catolica
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Liga ProEcuador
Aucas
Nov 821:00
Independiente del Valle
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Liga ProEcuador
Mushuc Runa SC
Nov 821:00
Delfin SC
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Liga ProEcuador
Libertad
Nov 821:00
Emelec
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Liga ProEcuador
Leones del Norte
Nov 821:00
Guayaquil City FC
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Liga ProEcuador
Tecnico Universitario
Nov 2221:00
Deportivo Cuenca
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Liga ProEcuador
Independiente del Valle
Nov 2221:00
Macara
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
Liga ProEcuador
Universidad Catolica
Nov 2221:00
Barcelona SC
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Liga ProEcuador
LDU de Quito
Nov 2221:00
Aucas
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Liga ProEcuador
Manta FC
Nov 2221:00
Delfin SC
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%

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