Who will win Middlesbrough vs Derby? Betting tip

Our betting tip for Middlesbrough vs Derby: Middlesbrough is our betting pick with 81% win probability. This Championship match takes place on Saturday, December 5, 2026. Our AI analyzed team form, H2H history, and current odds to make this prediction.

What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Derby?

Score predictions are available closer to the match kickoff time.

When and where is Middlesbrough vs Derby?

Middlesbrough vs Derby kicks off on Saturday, December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM at Riverside Stadium. This Championship match is available for live betting and pre-match predictions.

What are the best odds for Middlesbrough vs Derby?

Betting odds for this match will be available closer to kickoff time.

Middlesbrough vs Derby

Prediction • Championship·Middlesbrough·Derby

Championship

Dec 5, 2026

12:30

Early projection · Odds pending

PREDICTED WINNER

Middlesbrough

Home

Stadium

Riverside Stadium

Early projection · Odds pending

Derby

Away

Stadium

Riverside Stadium

Win Probabilities

81%

Middlesbrough

12%

Draw

Derby

Home1.2381%

Draw8.3312%

Away14.297%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Middlesbrough are clear favourites to win, backed by their top-of-the-table form and Derby's dismal recent record. The main risk is a complacent performance, but Derby's injury crisis makes an upset unlikely.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Middlesbrough vs Derby.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5

6.0Middlesbrough

/10

2.0Derby

Middlesbrough

FormLatest first

LWWDW

Win Rate60%

Derby

FormLatest first

WLLDL

Win Rate20%

Momentum AdvantageMiddlesbrough+4.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

9.0

Alexander Gilbert

Middlesbrough

7.3

Joe Ward

Derby

18ATT18

100TEC100

79TAC70

89DEF31

55CRE70

Goalscorers

StarterMiddlesbrough – Derby

New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches

Scoring

6/10

Over 2.5 Goals

7/10

8/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

1.6

Avg Scored

1.5

Defense

1/10

Clean Sheets

2/10

1.4

Avg Conceded

1.3

Match Flow

8/10

Scored First

6/10

1.0

Avg Cards

1.9

6.0

Avg Corners

6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

More markets

StarterMiddlesbrough – Derby

New · More markets

Every way to read this match

Worked out from the same score grid as the main prediction, so the numbers always agree.

Match stats predictions

StarterMiddlesbrough – Derby

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Scorer chances

StarterMiddlesbrough – Derby

New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Middlesbrough3-4-2-1vs4-4-2DerbyPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Middlesbrough

8Out

8 key players

Derby

18Out

17 key players

Team

Middlesbrough

Players Out

8(8 key)

R. Pukstas

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Conway

MODERATE

Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

A. Bangura

MODERATE

Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Sarmiento

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Morris

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Phillips

MODERATE

Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Jones

MODERATE

Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Strelec

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Team

Derby

Players Out

18(17 key)

D. Sanderson

SUSPENSION

Status:Suspended

C. Forsyth

MODERATE

Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Morris

MODERATE

Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Travis

MODERATE

Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

H. Meister

MODERATE

Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

J. Widell Zetterstrom

MODERATE

Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Ward

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

P. Agyemang

MODERATE

Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Murkin

MODERATE

Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. Cashin

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Johnston

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Clarke

MODERATE

Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Taylor

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Szmodics

MODERATE

Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Mowatt

MODERATE

Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Bilbija

MODERATE

Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

S. Langas

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	MiddlesbroughHome	14	8	4	2	30	19	+11	28
2	Wolves	14	8	3	3	25	17	+8	27
3	Birmingham	14	7	5	2	26	13	+13	26
4	Stoke City	14	8	2	4	22	17	+5	26
5	Swansea	14	8	2	4	21	16	+5	26
6	West Brom	14	7	4	3	20	15	+5	25
7	Southampton	14	8	4	2	29	14	+15	24
8	West Ham	14	6	5	3	36	21	+15	23
9	Sheffield Utd	14	6	4	4	20	17	+3	22
10	Portsmouth	14	6	4	4	19	16	+3	22
11	QPR	14	5	6	3	22	17	+5	21
12	Norwich	14	6	0	8	27	24	+3	18
13	Millwall	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1	18
14	Blackburn	14	5	3	6	20	22	-2	18
15	Bristol City	14	5	3	6	16	19	-3	18
16	Wrexham	14	4	5	5	17	19	-2	17
17	Bolton	15	5	2	8	20	29	-9	17
18	Cardiff	14	3	6	5	22	23	-1	15
19	Lincoln	14	4	3	7	14	24	-10	15
20	Watford	14	4	2	8	13	23	-10	14
21	Charlton	14	3	5	6	11	22	-11	14
22	Burnley	14	1	7	6	18	26	-8	10
23	DerbyAway	15	2	4	9	14	30	-16	10
24	Preston	14	1	2	11	12	30	-18	5

Champions League

Relegation

HomeAway

2:1Correct Score Predictions TodayToday's most likely score for every match — free, updated every 15 minutes.

Statistical Context

Middlesbrough

LWWDW

LNov 4, 26A · Wrexham2-0
WOct 31, 26H · Charlton3-0
WOct 23, 26A · Bolton1-5
DOct 17, 26H · Cardiff2-2
WOct 13, 26A · Stoke City2-3

Derby

WLLDL

WNov 6, 26H · Bolton3-1
LNov 3, 26H · Norwich0-4
LOct 31, 26A · Millwall4-1
DOct 24, 26A · Sheffield Utd1-1
LOct 17, 26H · Stoke City0-1

Standings

Pos		P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Middlesbrough	14	+11	28	LWWDW
2	Wolves	14	+8	27	WWWDW
22	Burnley	14	-8	10	DDLLD
23	Derby	15	-16	10	WLLDL
24	Preston	14	-18	5	LLDLL

Head to Head

Middlesbrough

Draws

Derby

Jan 1, 26Derby – Middlesbrough1-0
Nov 29, 25Middlesbrough – Derby2-1
Mar 1, 25Middlesbrough – Derby1-0
Aug 17, 24Derby – Middlesbrough1-0
Feb 12, 22Middlesbrough – Derby4-1

Season Statistics — 2026

	Middlesbrough	Derby
Played	13	14
Goals Scored	30	11
Goals Conceded	17	29
Avg Scored	2.3	0.8
Avg Conceded	1.3	2.1
Clean Sheets	3	1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

	Middlesbrough	Derby
Over 2.5 Goals	6/10	7/10
Both Teams Scored	8/10	7/10
Clean Sheets	1/10	2/10

Predicted line-ups: Middlesbrough vs Derby

Predicted XI

Middlesbrough

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: R. Edwards

Derby

4-4-2Formation· Coach: J. Eustace

31J. Vickers

25S. Duffy
43I. Gordon
24R. Nyambe
14J. Robinson

8B. Clark
29O. Fraulo
27C. Allen
4D. Ozoh

33C. Blackett-Taylor
16M. Fuseini

11A. Cozier-Duberry

14M. Peart-Harris
28L. McCabe

18C. Barron
6S. Berhalter
19Leo Castledine
8R. McGree

12L. Ayling
2C. Brittain
3S. Byram

31S. Brynn

Bench

1R. Vítek
29A. Malanda
30Neto Borges
17M. Arfsten
22K. Joseph
33J. McLaughlin
25G. Edmundson

Out

R. Pukstas · Injury
T. Conway · Ankle Injury
A. Bangura · Coach's decision
J. Sarmiento · Inactive
A. Morris · Injury
A. Phillips · Lacking Match Fitness
A. Jones · Calf Injury
D. Strelec · Injury

Bench

1J. Widell Zetterström
15L. Salvesen
1N. Bilokapić
12R. O'Donnell
1H. Price
6S. Langås
5Raymond Offor

Out

D. Sanderson · Red Card
C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
C. Morris · Calf Injury
L. Travis · Ankle Injury
H. Meister · Concussion
J. Widell Zetterstrom · Knee Injury
J. Ward · Inactive
P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures

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Middlesbrough vs Derby

Prediction • Championship·Middlesbrough·Derby

Championship

Dec 5, 2026

12:30

Early projection · Odds pending

PREDICTED WINNER

Middlesbrough

Home

Stadium

Riverside Stadium

Early projection · Odds pending

Derby

Away

Stadium

Riverside Stadium

Win Probabilities

81%

Middlesbrough

12%

Draw

Derby

Home1.2381%

Draw8.3312%

Away14.297%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Middlesbrough are clear favourites to win, backed by their top-of-the-table form and Derby's dismal recent record. The main risk is a complacent performance, but Derby's injury crisis makes an upset unlikely.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Middlesbrough vs Derby.

Unlock this call — from $2.49

24h pass · $2.49 · Premium from $5.99, cancel anytime

Not ready? Get tomorrow's free picks by email:

Share Prediction

Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5

6.0Middlesbrough

/10

2.0Derby

Middlesbrough

FormLatest first

LWWDW

Win Rate60%

Derby

FormLatest first

WLLDL

Win Rate20%

Momentum AdvantageMiddlesbrough+4.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

9.0

Alexander Gilbert

Middlesbrough

7.3

Joe Ward

Derby

18ATT18

100TEC100

79TAC70

89DEF31

55CRE70

Goalscorers

StarterMiddlesbrough – Derby

New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches

Scoring

6/10

Over 2.5 Goals

7/10

8/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

1.6

Avg Scored

1.5

Defense

1/10

Clean Sheets

2/10

1.4

Avg Conceded

1.3

Match Flow

8/10

Scored First

6/10

1.0

Avg Cards

1.9

6.0

Avg Corners

6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

More markets

StarterMiddlesbrough – Derby

New · More markets

Every way to read this match

Worked out from the same score grid as the main prediction, so the numbers always agree.

Match stats predictions

StarterMiddlesbrough – Derby

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Scorer chances

StarterMiddlesbrough – Derby

New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Middlesbrough3-4-2-1vs4-4-2DerbyPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Middlesbrough

8Out

8 key players

Derby

18Out

17 key players

Team

Middlesbrough

Players Out

8(8 key)

R. Pukstas

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Conway

MODERATE

Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

A. Bangura

MODERATE

Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Sarmiento

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Morris

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Phillips

MODERATE

Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Jones

MODERATE

Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Strelec

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Team

Derby

Players Out

18(17 key)

D. Sanderson

SUSPENSION

Status:Suspended

C. Forsyth

MODERATE

Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Morris

MODERATE

Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Travis

MODERATE

Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

H. Meister

MODERATE

Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

J. Widell Zetterstrom

MODERATE

Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Ward

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

P. Agyemang

MODERATE

Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Murkin

MODERATE

Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. Cashin

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Johnston

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Clarke

MODERATE

Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Taylor

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Szmodics

MODERATE

Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Mowatt

MODERATE

Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Bilbija

MODERATE

Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

S. Langas

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	MiddlesbroughHome	14	8	4	2	30	19	+11	28
2	Wolves	14	8	3	3	25	17	+8	27
3	Birmingham	14	7	5	2	26	13	+13	26
4	Stoke City	14	8	2	4	22	17	+5	26
5	Swansea	14	8	2	4	21	16	+5	26
6	West Brom	14	7	4	3	20	15	+5	25
7	Southampton	14	8	4	2	29	14	+15	24
8	West Ham	14	6	5	3	36	21	+15	23
9	Sheffield Utd	14	6	4	4	20	17	+3	22
10	Portsmouth	14	6	4	4	19	16	+3	22
11	QPR	14	5	6	3	22	17	+5	21
12	Norwich	14	6	0	8	27	24	+3	18
13	Millwall	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1	18
14	Blackburn	14	5	3	6	20	22	-2	18
15	Bristol City	14	5	3	6	16	19	-3	18
16	Wrexham	14	4	5	5	17	19	-2	17
17	Bolton	15	5	2	8	20	29	-9	17
18	Cardiff	14	3	6	5	22	23	-1	15
19	Lincoln	14	4	3	7	14	24	-10	15
20	Watford	14	4	2	8	13	23	-10	14
21	Charlton	14	3	5	6	11	22	-11	14
22	Burnley	14	1	7	6	18	26	-8	10
23	DerbyAway	15	2	4	9	14	30	-16	10
24	Preston	14	1	2	11	12	30	-18	5

Champions League

Relegation

HomeAway

2:1Correct Score Predictions TodayToday's most likely score for every match — free, updated every 15 minutes.

Statistical Context

Middlesbrough

LWWDW

LNov 4, 26A · Wrexham2-0
WOct 31, 26H · Charlton3-0
WOct 23, 26A · Bolton1-5
DOct 17, 26H · Cardiff2-2
WOct 13, 26A · Stoke City2-3

Derby

WLLDL

WNov 6, 26H · Bolton3-1
LNov 3, 26H · Norwich0-4
LOct 31, 26A · Millwall4-1
DOct 24, 26A · Sheffield Utd1-1
LOct 17, 26H · Stoke City0-1

Standings

Pos		P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Middlesbrough	14	+11	28	LWWDW
2	Wolves	14	+8	27	WWWDW
22	Burnley	14	-8	10	DDLLD
23	Derby	15	-16	10	WLLDL
24	Preston	14	-18	5	LLDLL

Head to Head

Middlesbrough

Draws

Derby

Jan 1, 26Derby – Middlesbrough1-0
Nov 29, 25Middlesbrough – Derby2-1
Mar 1, 25Middlesbrough – Derby1-0
Aug 17, 24Derby – Middlesbrough1-0
Feb 12, 22Middlesbrough – Derby4-1

Season Statistics — 2026

	Middlesbrough	Derby
Played	13	14
Goals Scored	30	11
Goals Conceded	17	29
Avg Scored	2.3	0.8
Avg Conceded	1.3	2.1
Clean Sheets	3	1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

	Middlesbrough	Derby
Over 2.5 Goals	6/10	7/10
Both Teams Scored	8/10	7/10
Clean Sheets	1/10	2/10

Predicted line-ups: Middlesbrough vs Derby

Predicted XI

Middlesbrough

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: R. Edwards

Derby

4-4-2Formation· Coach: J. Eustace

31J. Vickers

25S. Duffy
43I. Gordon
24R. Nyambe
14J. Robinson

8B. Clark
29O. Fraulo
27C. Allen
4D. Ozoh

33C. Blackett-Taylor
16M. Fuseini

11A. Cozier-Duberry

14M. Peart-Harris
28L. McCabe

18C. Barron
6S. Berhalter
19Leo Castledine
8R. McGree

12L. Ayling
2C. Brittain
3S. Byram

31S. Brynn

Bench

1R. Vítek
29A. Malanda
30Neto Borges
17M. Arfsten
22K. Joseph
33J. McLaughlin
25G. Edmundson

Out

R. Pukstas · Injury
T. Conway · Ankle Injury
A. Bangura · Coach's decision
J. Sarmiento · Inactive
A. Morris · Injury
A. Phillips · Lacking Match Fitness
A. Jones · Calf Injury
D. Strelec · Injury

Bench

1J. Widell Zetterström
15L. Salvesen
1N. Bilokapić
12R. O'Donnell
1H. Price
6S. Langås
5Raymond Offor

Out

D. Sanderson · Red Card
C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
C. Morris · Calf Injury
L. Travis · Ankle Injury
H. Meister · Concussion
J. Widell Zetterstrom · Knee Injury
J. Ward · Inactive
P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures

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Middlesbrough vs Derby

Middlesbrough

Derby

Oracle's Vision

Momentum

Team Momentum

Featured Players

Key Battle

Alexander Gilbert

Joe Ward

Goalscorers

Who scores?

Team Streaks

Team Streaks

Score Predictions

More markets

Every way to read this match

Match stats predictions

Confidence Breakdown

Season Performance(2026 · 13 matches)

Unavailable Players

Season Performance(2026 · 14 matches)

Unavailable Players

Head to Head

Recent Matches

Past Predictions

Scorer chances

Who scores?

Injury Report

League Statistics

Standings

Statistical Context

Middlesbrough

Derby

Standings

Head to Head

Season Statistics — 2026

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Predicted line-ups: Middlesbrough vs Derby