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Matches
PlayNEW
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Accuracy Stats
Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Bolton vs Lincoln

Bolton vs Lincoln

Result • Championship·Bolton·Lincoln

Championship
Championship
Aug 29, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
Bolton

Bolton

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
12.40
X3.35
22.84
Stadium
Toughsheet Community Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
Lincoln

Lincoln

Away
Odds
12.40
X3.35
22.84
Stadium
Toughsheet Community Stadium
Win Probabilities
40%
Bolton
30%
Draw
30%
Lincoln
Home2.4040%
Draw3.3530%
Away2.8430%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Bolton are clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a perfect home record, and a dominant head-to-head history. Lincoln's injury crisis and poor form make an upset unlikely, but their physical style could pose a threat if Bolton are complacent.

Our AI model analyzes this Championship fixture between Bolton and Lincoln using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bolton a 40% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Lincoln a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 53%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 53%

Match Events

  1. 30'
    Yellow Card: Ben HouseLincoln
    Yellow Card: Ben House
  2. Substitution: Gaizka LarrazabalOut: Akin Famewo
    61'
    Substitution: Gaizka LarrazabalBolton · Out: Akin Famewo
  3. Substitution: Kyliane DongOut: Samuel Iling
    61'
    Substitution: Kyliane DongBolton · Out: Samuel Iling
  4. 65'
    Substitution: Robert Nicholas StreetLincoln · Out: F. Draper
    Substitution: Robert Nicholas StreetOut: F. Draper
  5. 66'
    Goal: Ben HouseLincoln · Assist: Callum Elder
    Goal: Ben HouseAssist: Callum Elder
  6. Substitution: Jayden NelsonOut: Thierry Gale
    71'
    Substitution: Jayden NelsonBolton · Out: Thierry Gale
  7. Substitution: Ryan HardieOut: John Mcatee
    72'
    Substitution: Ryan HardieBolton · Out: John Mcatee
  8. 79'
    Yellow Card: Ivan VarfolomeevLincoln
    Yellow Card: Ivan Varfolomeev
  9. Substitution: David WatsonOut: Ethan Erhahon
    80'
    Substitution: David WatsonBolton · Out: Ethan Erhahon
  10. 80'
    Substitution: Isaac OlaofeLincoln · Out: Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
    Substitution: Isaac OlaofeOut: Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
  11. 85'
    Substitution: Joshua HonohanLincoln · Out: Ben House
    Substitution: Joshua HonohanOut: Ben House
  12. 85'
    Substitution: Tom BaylissLincoln · Out: Ivan Varfolomeev
    Substitution: Tom BaylissOut: Ivan Varfolomeev
  13. 90+3'
    Yellow Card: Conor McGrandlesLincoln
    Yellow Card: Conor McGrandles
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. McAtee vs D. Jefferies: McAtee's creativity in midfield will be key to unlocking Lincoln's defense, while Jefferies will need to disrupt Bolton's rhythm.
2S. Dalby vs R. Towler: Dalby's physical presence and finishing ability will test Towler's defensive resilience.
3J. Sheehan vs C. McGrandles: The midfield battle between Sheehan's passing range and McGrandles' tenacity could determine control of the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bolton

  • Solid defense with 2 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong home record (1 win in 1 home game)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Limited attacking output (0.8 goals per game)

Lincoln

  • Balanced attack and defense (50% each in comparison)
  • Physical style suited to rainy conditions
  • Poor form (0% win rate, 2 losses)
  • Weak defense (17% in comparison)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
43%
Bolton433820

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (43%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Bolton enter this Championship clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a perfect home record, and a dominant head-to-head history. Lincoln, meanwhile, are rooted to the bottom of the table without a point, having lost both opening matches.

Form Analysis: Bolton have started the season with a win and a draw, scoring twice and conceding just once, with two clean sheets in their last five outings. Lincoln, in contrast, have lost both their matches, conceding five goals while scoring only two, and have yet to register a point.

Key Factors: Lincoln are severely depleted, missing six players including key defender T. Darikwa and forward J. Collins. Bolton, despite two absences, have a stronger squad depth. Historically, Bolton have won six of the last ten meetings, with Lincoln winning only once. Additionally, Bolton's home advantage is significant, having won their only home game this season.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Bolton victory. Lincoln's poor form, injury crisis, and inferior head-to-head record make an upset unlikely. Expect Bolton to control the game and secure a comfortable win.

Statistical ContextBolton

Double chance : Bolton or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BoltonLincoln
66%Strength33%
50%Attacking Potential50%
83%Defensive Potential17%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
57%Goals H2H43%
66%Wins the Game33%
Head-to-head →Injuries · BoltonInjuries · Lincoln

Statistical Context

Bolton

WLLLD
  • WSep 12, 26H · Cardiff1-0
  • LSep 8, 26H · West Ham2-3
  • LSep 5, 26A · Millwall4-0
  • LSep 1, 26A · Sheffield Utd3-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · QPR0-0

Lincoln

WWLDD
  • WSep 15, 26A · Bristol City0-1
  • WSep 12, 26A · Preston0-1
  • LSep 8, 26A · Bournemouth4-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · Southampton1-1
  • DSep 1, 26H · Blackburn0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Wolves6+411WDLWW
8Lincoln7011WWDDW
9Southampton7+1010WWDDW
19Wrexham7-47LDDWL
20Bolton7-57WLLLL
21Cardiff7-44LDLLD

Head to Head

6
Bolton
3
Draws
1
Lincoln
  • Feb 14, 26Lincoln – Bolton1-1
  • Aug 23, 25Bolton – Lincoln1-1
  • Apr 21, 25Lincoln – Bolton4-2
  • Jan 14, 25Lincoln – Bolton0-1
  • Dec 29, 24Bolton – Lincoln3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

BoltonLincoln
Played66
Goals Scored65
Goals Conceded126
Avg Scored1.00.8
Avg Conceded2.01.0
Clean Sheets13

Bolton vs Lincoln — Match Analysis

Bolton are clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a perfect home record, and a dominant head-to-head history. Lincoln's injury crisis and poor form make an upset unlikely, but their physical style could pose a threat if Bolton are complacent.

Bolton enter this Championship clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a perfect home record, and a dominant head-to-head history. Lincoln, meanwhile, are rooted to the bottom of the table without a point, having lost both opening matches.

Form Analysis: Bolton have started the season with a win and a draw, scoring twice and conceding just once, with two clean sheets in their last five outings. Lincoln, in contrast, have lost both their matches, conceding five goals while scoring only two, and have yet to register a point.

Key Factors: Lincoln are severely depleted, missing six players including key defender T. Darikwa and forward J. Collins. Bolton, despite two absences, have a stronger squad depth. Historically, Bolton have won six of the last ten meetings, with Lincoln winning only once. Additionally, Bolton's home advantage is significant, having won their only home game this season.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Bolton victory. Lincoln's poor form, injury crisis, and inferior head-to-head record make an upset unlikely. Expect Bolton to control the game and secure a comfortable win.

Win Probabilities: Bolton: 40% · Draw: 30% · Lincoln: 30%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 46% · Under 2.5: 54% · BTTS: 53%

H2H: Bolton wins: 6 · Draws: 3 · Lincoln wins: 1

Form (latest first): Bolton: WLLLD · Lincoln: WWLDD

  • J. McAtee vs D. Jefferies: McAtee's creativity in midfield will be key to unlocking Lincoln's defense, while Jefferies will need to disrupt Bolton's rhythm.
  • S. Dalby vs R. Towler: Dalby's physical presence and finishing ability will test Towler's defensive resilience.
  • J. Sheehan vs C. McGrandles: The midfield battle between Sheehan's passing range and McGrandles' tenacity could determine control of the game.

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Sep 1819:00
Watford
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Sep 1911:30
Charlton
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Sep 1911:30
West Ham
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 1911:30
Sheffield Utd
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Sep 1914:00
Derby
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Sep 1914:00
Middlesbrough
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Sep 1914:00
Preston
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Sep 1914:00
Blackburn
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 1914:00
Swansea
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Sep 1914:00
Southampton
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Sep 2011:00
West Brom
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Sep 2012:30
Bolton
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Oct 1011:30
Birmingham
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 1011:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%

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