Betora - AI Football Predictions

Q: Who will win Southampton vs Derby? Betting tip

Our betting tip for Southampton vs Derby: Southampton is our betting pick with 75% win probability. This Championship match takes place on Saturday, November 21, 2026. Our AI analyzed team form, H2H history, and current odds to make this prediction.

Q: What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Derby?

Score predictions are available closer to the match kickoff time.

Q: When and where is Southampton vs Derby?

Southampton vs Derby kicks off on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM at St. Mary's Stadium. This Championship match is available for live betting and pre-match predictions.

Q: What are the best odds for Southampton vs Derby?

Betting odds for this match will be available closer to kickoff time.

Betora AI

Southampton vs Derby

Prediction • Championship·Southampton·Derby

Championship

Nov 21, 2026

12:30

Early projection · Odds pending

PREDICTED WINNER

Southampton

Home

Stadium

St. Mary's Stadium

Early projection · Odds pending

Derby

Away

Stadium

St. Mary's Stadium

Win Probabilities

75%

Southampton

14%

Draw

11%

Derby

Home1.3375%

Draw7.1414%

Away9.0911%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Southampton are clear favourites, backed by superior form, home advantage, and Derby's extensive injury list. The main risk is a complacent performance, but the data strongly supports a home win.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Southampton vs Derby.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5

6.0Southampton

/10

0.0Derby

Southampton

FormLatest first

WDWWL

Win Rate60%

Derby

FormLatest first

DLLDD

Win Rate0%

Momentum AdvantageSouthampton+6.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

8.6

Adam Armstrong

Southampton

7.3

Joe Ward

Derby

52ATT18

100TEC100

23TAC70

5DEF31

0CRE70

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches

Scoring

8/10

Over 2.5 Goals

7/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

2.0

Avg Scored

1.5

Defense

2/10

Clean Sheets

2/10

1.4

Avg Conceded

1.3

Match Flow

5/10

Scored First

6/10

1.4

Avg Cards

1.9

5.4

Avg Corners

6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Southampton4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1DerbyPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Southampton

6Out

5 key players

Derby

16Out

16 key players

Team

Southampton

Players Out

6(5 key)

C. Bragg

SUSPENSION

Status:Suspended

M. Roerslev Rasmussen

MODERATE

Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Larin

MODERATE

Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

F. Downes

MODERATE

Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

T. Harwood-Bellis

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Jander

MODERATE

Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Team

Derby

Players Out

16(16 key)

C. Forsyth

MODERATE

Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Morris

MODERATE

Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Travis

MODERATE

Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

H. Meister

MODERATE

Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

J. Widell Zetterstrom

MODERATE

Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

P. Agyemang

MODERATE

Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Murkin

MODERATE

Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. Cashin

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Johnston

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Clarke

MODERATE

Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Taylor

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Szmodics

MODERATE

Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Mowatt

MODERATE

Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Bilbija

MODERATE

Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

S. Langas

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27	17	+10	25
2	Swansea	12	7	2	3	16	13	+3	23
3	West Ham	12	6	4	2	32	15	+17	22
4	Wolves	12	6	3	3	20	16	+4	21
5	West Brom	12	6	3	3	16	13	+3	21
6	SouthamptonHome	12	7	3	2	24	12	+12	20
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	20	12	+8	20
8	QPR	12	5	5	2	20	12	+8	20
9	Stoke City	12	6	2	4	18	16	+2	20
10	Blackburn	12	5	3	4	19	16	+3	18
11	Portsmouth	12	5	3	4	16	15	+1	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	4	4	4	16	15	+1	16
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19	20	-1	15
14	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	12	15	-3	15
15	Lincoln	12	4	3	5	13	20	-7	15
16	Cardiff	12	3	5	4	19	17	+2	14
17	Wrexham	12	3	5	4	15	18	-3	14
18	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16	23	-7	14
19	Charlton	12	3	5	4	11	18	-7	14
20	Norwich	12	4	0	8	20	22	-2	12
21	Watford	12	3	2	7	10	20	-10	11
22	Burnley	12	1	5	6	17	25	-8	8
23	DerbyAway	12	1	4	7	10	21	-11	7
24	Preston	12	1	2	9	10	25	-15	5

Champions League

Relegation

HomeAway

Statistical Context

Southampton

WDWWL

WOct 24, 26A · West Ham2-3
DOct 17, 26H · Bolton0-0
WOct 14, 26A · Norwich0-1
WOct 11, 26H · Portsmouth1-0
LSep 19, 26A · Wrexham2-1

Derby

DLLDD

DOct 24, 26A · Sheffield Utd1-1
LOct 17, 26H · Stoke City0-1
LOct 14, 26A · QPR4-1
DOct 10, 26H · Wrexham1-1
DSep 19, 26A · Burnley1-1

Standings

Pos		P	GD	Pts	Form
5	West Brom	12	+3	21	DWWLL
6	Southampton	12	+12	20	WDWWL
7	Birmingham	12	+8	20	LWWWD
22	Burnley	12	-8	8	LLDWD
23	Derby	12	-11	7	DLLDD
24	Preston	12	-15	5	DLLLD

Head to Head

Southampton

Draws

Derby

Apr 11, 26Southampton – Derby2-1
Oct 4, 25Derby – Southampton1-1
Jan 16, 19Southampton – Derby4-4
Jan 5, 19Derby – Southampton2-2
Feb 18, 12Southampton – Derby4-0

Season Statistics — 2026

	Southampton	Derby
Played	11	12
Goals Scored	21	10
Goals Conceded	10	21
Avg Scored	1.9	0.8
Avg Conceded	0.9	1.8
Clean Sheets	3	1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

	Southampton	Derby
Over 2.5 Goals	8/10	7/10
Both Teams Scored	7/10	7/10
Clean Sheets	2/10	2/10

Predicted line-ups: Southampton vs Derby

Predicted XI

Southampton

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: S. Rusk

Derby

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Eustace

12R. O'Donnell

43I. Gordon
24R. Nyambe
42Raymond Offor
28D. Sanderson

8B. Clark
29O. Fraulo

4D. Ozoh
16M. Fuseini
27C. Allen

33C. Blackett-Taylor

11L. Dobbin

18T. Fellows
27K. Matsuki
30J. Ward-Prowse

10F. Azaz
26Cameron Bragg

6Z. Abbott
14J. Bree
3R. Manning
13K. Schlotterbeck

25G. Long

Bench

1Daniel Peretz
5J. Stephens
34Welington
15N. Wood-Gordon
23S. Edozie
7Léo Scienza
9C. Larin

Out

C. Bragg · Red Card
M. Roerslev Rasmussen · Health problems
C. Larin · Hamstring Injury
F. Downes · Ankle Injury
T. Harwood-Bellis · Injury
C. Jander · Lacking Match Fitness

Bench

31J. Vickers
23J. Ward
26R. Hedges
15L. Salvesen
1N. Bilokapić
1H. Price
1J. Widell Zetterström

Out

C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
C. Morris · Calf Injury
L. Travis · Ankle Injury
H. Meister · Concussion
J. Widell Zetterstrom · Knee Injury
P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury
R. Brewster · Injury
D. Murkin · Hamstring Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures

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Southampton vs Derby

Prediction • Championship·Southampton·Derby

Championship

Nov 21, 2026

12:30

Early projection · Odds pending

PREDICTED WINNER

Southampton

Home

Stadium

St. Mary's Stadium

Early projection · Odds pending

Derby

Away

Stadium

St. Mary's Stadium

Win Probabilities

75%

Southampton

14%

Draw

11%

Derby

Home1.3375%

Draw7.1414%

Away9.0911%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Southampton are clear favourites, backed by superior form, home advantage, and Derby's extensive injury list. The main risk is a complacent performance, but the data strongly supports a home win.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Southampton vs Derby.

Unlock this call — from $2.49

24h pass · $2.49 · Premium from $5.99, cancel anytime

Not ready? Get tomorrow's free picks by email:

Share Prediction

Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5

6.0Southampton

/10

0.0Derby

Southampton

FormLatest first

WDWWL

Win Rate60%

Derby

FormLatest first

DLLDD

Win Rate0%

Momentum AdvantageSouthampton+6.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

8.6

Adam Armstrong

Southampton

7.3

Joe Ward

Derby

52ATT18

100TEC100

23TAC70

5DEF31

0CRE70

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches

Scoring

8/10

Over 2.5 Goals

7/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

2.0

Avg Scored

1.5

Defense

2/10

Clean Sheets

2/10

1.4

Avg Conceded

1.3

Match Flow

5/10

Scored First

6/10

1.4

Avg Cards

1.9

5.4

Avg Corners

6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Southampton4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1DerbyPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Southampton

6Out

5 key players

Derby

16Out

16 key players

Team

Southampton

Players Out

6(5 key)

C. Bragg

SUSPENSION

Status:Suspended

M. Roerslev Rasmussen

MODERATE

Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Larin

MODERATE

Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

F. Downes

MODERATE

Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

T. Harwood-Bellis

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Jander

MODERATE

Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Team

Derby

Players Out

16(16 key)

C. Forsyth

MODERATE

Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Morris

MODERATE

Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Travis

MODERATE

Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

H. Meister

MODERATE

Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

J. Widell Zetterstrom

MODERATE

Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

P. Agyemang

MODERATE

Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Murkin

MODERATE

Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. Cashin

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Johnston

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Clarke

MODERATE

Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Taylor

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Szmodics

MODERATE

Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Mowatt

MODERATE

Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Bilbija

MODERATE

Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

S. Langas

MODERATE

Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27	17	+10	25
2	Swansea	12	7	2	3	16	13	+3	23
3	West Ham	12	6	4	2	32	15	+17	22
4	Wolves	12	6	3	3	20	16	+4	21
5	West Brom	12	6	3	3	16	13	+3	21
6	SouthamptonHome	12	7	3	2	24	12	+12	20
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	20	12	+8	20
8	QPR	12	5	5	2	20	12	+8	20
9	Stoke City	12	6	2	4	18	16	+2	20
10	Blackburn	12	5	3	4	19	16	+3	18
11	Portsmouth	12	5	3	4	16	15	+1	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	4	4	4	16	15	+1	16
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19	20	-1	15
14	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	12	15	-3	15
15	Lincoln	12	4	3	5	13	20	-7	15
16	Cardiff	12	3	5	4	19	17	+2	14
17	Wrexham	12	3	5	4	15	18	-3	14
18	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16	23	-7	14
19	Charlton	12	3	5	4	11	18	-7	14
20	Norwich	12	4	0	8	20	22	-2	12
21	Watford	12	3	2	7	10	20	-10	11
22	Burnley	12	1	5	6	17	25	-8	8
23	DerbyAway	12	1	4	7	10	21	-11	7
24	Preston	12	1	2	9	10	25	-15	5

Champions League

Relegation

HomeAway

Statistical Context

Southampton

WDWWL

WOct 24, 26A · West Ham2-3
DOct 17, 26H · Bolton0-0
WOct 14, 26A · Norwich0-1
WOct 11, 26H · Portsmouth1-0
LSep 19, 26A · Wrexham2-1

Derby

DLLDD

DOct 24, 26A · Sheffield Utd1-1
LOct 17, 26H · Stoke City0-1
LOct 14, 26A · QPR4-1
DOct 10, 26H · Wrexham1-1
DSep 19, 26A · Burnley1-1

Standings

Pos		P	GD	Pts	Form
5	West Brom	12	+3	21	DWWLL
6	Southampton	12	+12	20	WDWWL
7	Birmingham	12	+8	20	LWWWD
22	Burnley	12	-8	8	LLDWD
23	Derby	12	-11	7	DLLDD
24	Preston	12	-15	5	DLLLD

Head to Head

Southampton

Draws

Derby

Apr 11, 26Southampton – Derby2-1
Oct 4, 25Derby – Southampton1-1
Jan 16, 19Southampton – Derby4-4
Jan 5, 19Derby – Southampton2-2
Feb 18, 12Southampton – Derby4-0

Season Statistics — 2026

	Southampton	Derby
Played	11	12
Goals Scored	21	10
Goals Conceded	10	21
Avg Scored	1.9	0.8
Avg Conceded	0.9	1.8
Clean Sheets	3	1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

	Southampton	Derby
Over 2.5 Goals	8/10	7/10
Both Teams Scored	7/10	7/10
Clean Sheets	2/10	2/10

Predicted line-ups: Southampton vs Derby

Predicted XI

Southampton

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: S. Rusk

Derby

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Eustace

12R. O'Donnell

43I. Gordon
24R. Nyambe
42Raymond Offor
28D. Sanderson

8B. Clark
29O. Fraulo

4D. Ozoh
16M. Fuseini
27C. Allen

33C. Blackett-Taylor

11L. Dobbin

18T. Fellows
27K. Matsuki
30J. Ward-Prowse

10F. Azaz
26Cameron Bragg

6Z. Abbott
14J. Bree
3R. Manning
13K. Schlotterbeck

25G. Long

Bench

1Daniel Peretz
5J. Stephens
34Welington
15N. Wood-Gordon
23S. Edozie
7Léo Scienza
9C. Larin

Out

C. Bragg · Red Card
M. Roerslev Rasmussen · Health problems
C. Larin · Hamstring Injury
F. Downes · Ankle Injury
T. Harwood-Bellis · Injury
C. Jander · Lacking Match Fitness

Bench

31J. Vickers
23J. Ward
26R. Hedges
15L. Salvesen
1N. Bilokapić
1H. Price
1J. Widell Zetterström

Out

C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
C. Morris · Calf Injury
L. Travis · Ankle Injury
H. Meister · Concussion
J. Widell Zetterstrom · Knee Injury
P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury
R. Brewster · Injury
D. Murkin · Hamstring Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures

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Southampton vs Derby

Southampton

Derby

Oracle's Vision

Momentum

Team Momentum

Featured Players

Key Battle

Adam Armstrong

Joe Ward

Team Streaks

Team Streaks

Score Predictions

Confidence Breakdown

Season Performance(2026 · 11 matches)

Unavailable Players

Season Performance(2026 · 12 matches)

Unavailable Players

Head to Head

Recent Matches

Past Predictions

Injury Report

League Statistics

Standings

Statistical Context

Southampton

Derby

Standings

Head to Head

Season Statistics — 2026

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Predicted line-ups: Southampton vs Derby

Southampton vs Derby — Expert Prediction & Analysis

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Vitor Matos: How Klopp's Pressing Blueprint Took Swansea Top

Championship

Southampton vs Derby

Southampton

Derby

Oracle's Vision

Momentum

Team Momentum

Featured Players

Key Battle

Adam Armstrong

Joe Ward

Team Streaks

Team Streaks

Score Predictions

Confidence Breakdown

Season Performance(2026 · 11 matches)

Unavailable Players

Season Performance(2026 · 12 matches)

Unavailable Players

Head to Head

Recent Matches

Past Predictions

Injury Report

League Statistics

Standings

Statistical Context

Southampton

Derby

Standings

Head to Head

Season Statistics — 2026

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Predicted line-ups: Southampton vs Derby

Southampton vs Derby — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Related News

West Ham Up to Second, Liverpool & Chelsea Win: Saturday Roundup

Championship Roundup: West Ham Stun Swansea, Norwich Lose Again

Vitor Matos: How Klopp's Pressing Blueprint Took Swansea Top

Championship