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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Bolton vs West Ham

Bolton vs West Ham

Result • Championship·Bolton·West Ham

Championship
Championship
Sep 8, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
Bolton

Bolton

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.10
X4.10
21.57
Stadium
Toughsheet Community Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
West Ham

West Ham

Away
Odds
15.10
X4.10
21.57
Stadium
Toughsheet Community Stadium
Win Probabilities
19%
Bolton
22%
Draw
59%
West Ham
Home5.1019%
Draw4.1022%
Away1.5759%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

West Ham are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a higher league position, while Bolton are struggling with injuries and poor results. The main risk is Bolton's historical head-to-head edge, which could inspire an upset if West Ham underestimate them.

Our AI model analyzes this Championship fixture between Bolton and West Ham using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bolton a 19% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and West Ham a 59% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%

Match Events

  1. 7'
    Yellow Card: Ollie ScarlesWest Ham
    Yellow Card: Ollie Scarles
  2. 13'
    Goal: Jarrod BowenWest Ham
    Goal: Jarrod Bowen
  3. Goal: Ethan Erhahon
    18'
    Goal: Ethan ErhahonBolton
  4. Penalty: Ruben Rodrigues (Penalty)
    27'
    Penalty: Ruben Rodrigues (Penalty)Bolton
  5. 31'
    Goal: Konstantinos MavropanosWest Ham · Assist: Arne Engels
    Goal: Konstantinos MavropanosAssist: Arne Engels
  6. 57'
    Substitution: Joël VeltmanWest Ham · Out: Kyle Walker-Peters
    Substitution: Joël VeltmanOut: Kyle Walker-Peters
  7. 58'
    Substitution: Manor SolomonWest Ham · Out: Edvin Austbö
    Substitution: Manor SolomonOut: Edvin Austbö
  8. 62'
    Yellow Card: Konstantinos MavropanosWest Ham
    Yellow Card: Konstantinos Mavropanos
  9. 66'
    Substitution: Joel PiroeWest Ham · Out: Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus
    Substitution: Joel PiroeOut: Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus
  10. Substitution: Thierry GaleOut: Samuel Iling
    67'
    Substitution: Thierry GaleBolton · Out: Samuel Iling
  11. 67'
    Substitution: Lewis OrfordWest Ham · Out: Divine Mukasa
    Substitution: Lewis OrfordOut: Divine Mukasa
  12. Substitution: Jayden NelsonOut: Kyliane Dong
    73'
    Substitution: Jayden NelsonBolton · Out: Kyliane Dong
  13. 77'
    Goal: Jarrod BowenWest Ham · Assist: Joël Veltman
    Goal: Jarrod BowenAssist: Joël Veltman
  14. 84'
    Substitution: Felipe MoratoWest Ham · Out: Ollie Scarles
    Substitution: Felipe MoratoOut: Ollie Scarles
  15. Substitution: Ryan HardieOut: Sam Dalby
    84'
    Substitution: Ryan HardieBolton · Out: Sam Dalby
  16. Substitution: John McateeOut: Ethan Erhahon
    84'
    Substitution: John McateeBolton · Out: Ethan Erhahon
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1G. Bazunu vs J. Bowen: Bolton's goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep out West Ham's leading scorer, who has been in fine form.
2S. Dalby vs M. Kilman: The Bolton striker faces a tough test against West Ham's commanding centre-back, who will look to dominate aerially.
3J. McAtee vs M. Kanté: The midfield duel will be crucial, with McAtee aiming to create chances while Kanté looks to break up play and drive his team forward.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bolton

  • Historical head-to-head advantage over West Ham
  • Home advantage at Toughsheet Community Stadium
  • Poor recent form with three losses in last five
  • Struggling attack, scoring only 4 goals in last five

West Ham

  • Superior recent form with four-match unbeaten streak
  • Strong attacking output, averaging 2.6 goals per game
  • Several injuries and inactivations in the squad
  • Inconsistent defensive record, conceding in most matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
59%
API-Football
35%
45%
West Ham272945

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (45%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

West Ham enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, a status reflected in the market and reinforced by their superior league position and recent form. The visitors sit 8th with 8 points and a positive goal difference, while Bolton languish in 21st with just 4 points and a negative goal difference. West Ham's last five matches (WWDLD) show a team in good rhythm, scoring 11 goals and conceding 7, with an average of 2.6 goals per game. In contrast, Bolton have lost three of their last five (LLLDW), scoring only 4 goals and conceding 9.

Form Analysis: West Ham's form is markedly better, with a 40% win rate and a four-match unbeaten streak, while Bolton's 20% win rate and recent losses highlight their struggles. The visitors also boast a stronger attack (73% vs 27% in the comparison) and a more solid defense (56% vs 44%). Although Bolton have a slight edge in head-to-head strength (67% vs 33%), that is based on only five meetings and does not offset the current gulf in form and quality.

Key Factors: West Ham's superior attacking output and defensive solidity are decisive. Bolton are missing five players through suspension and injury, including key midfielder J. Sheehan, which weakens their already fragile setup. West Ham also have injury concerns, but their squad depth appears better equipped to cope. The away side's momentum and higher league standing further tilt the balance.

Conclusion: All data points to a West Ham victory. Their form, attacking threat, and defensive organisation should prove too much for a Bolton side that is low on confidence and missing key personnel. Expect the visitors to control the game and secure a comfortable win.

Statistical ContextBolton

Double chance : Bolton or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BoltonWest Ham
45%Strength54%
27%Attacking Potential73%
44%Defensive Potential56%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
67%H2H Strength33%
60%Goals H2H40%
45%Wins the Game54%
Head-to-head →Injuries · BoltonInjuries · West HamLive scores →

Statistical Context

Bolton

WWLLL
  • WSep 20, 26A · Norwich3-4
  • WSep 12, 26H · Cardiff1-0
  • LSep 5, 26A · Millwall4-0
  • LSep 1, 26A · Sheffield Utd3-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · Lincoln0-1

West Ham

DLWWW
  • DSep 19, 26A · Millwall2-2
  • LSep 15, 26H · Fulham2-3
  • WSep 11, 26H · Wrexham6-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · Derby3-0
  • WSep 1, 26H · Wolves4-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Swansea8+717WWLDW
2West Ham8+1115DWWWW
3Middlesbrough8+415DDWWD
14Wrexham8-310WLDDW
15Bolton8-410WWLLL
16Blackburn809DWLLD

Head to Head

2
Bolton
0
Draws
1
West Ham
  • Sep 19, 17West Ham – Bolton3-0
  • Apr 9, 11Bolton – West Ham3-0
  • Aug 21, 10West Ham – Bolton1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

BoltonWest Ham
Played88
Goals Scored1122
Goals Conceded1511
Avg Scored1.42.8
Avg Conceded1.91.4
Clean Sheets22

Bolton vs West Ham — Match Analysis

West Ham are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a higher league position, while Bolton are struggling with injuries and poor results. The main risk is Bolton's historical head-to-head edge, which could inspire an upset if West Ham underestimate them.

West Ham enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, a status reflected in the market and reinforced by their superior league position and recent form. The visitors sit 8th with 8 points and a positive goal difference, while Bolton languish in 21st with just 4 points and a negative goal difference. West Ham's last five matches (WWDLD) show a team in good rhythm, scoring 11 goals and conceding 7, with an average of 2.6 goals per game. In contrast, Bolton have lost three of their last five (LLLDW), scoring only 4 goals and conceding 9.

Form Analysis: West Ham's form is markedly better, with a 40% win rate and a four-match unbeaten streak, while Bolton's 20% win rate and recent losses highlight their struggles. The visitors also boast a stronger attack (73% vs 27% in the comparison) and a more solid defense (56% vs 44%). Although Bolton have a slight edge in head-to-head strength (67% vs 33%), that is based on only five meetings and does not offset the current gulf in form and quality.

Key Factors: West Ham's superior attacking output and defensive solidity are decisive. Bolton are missing five players through suspension and injury, including key midfielder J. Sheehan, which weakens their already fragile setup. West Ham also have injury concerns, but their squad depth appears better equipped to cope. The away side's momentum and higher league standing further tilt the balance.

Conclusion: All data points to a West Ham victory. Their form, attacking threat, and defensive organisation should prove too much for a Bolton side that is low on confidence and missing key personnel. Expect the visitors to control the game and secure a comfortable win.

Win Probabilities: Bolton: 19% · Draw: 22% · West Ham: 59%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 63%

H2H: Bolton wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · West Ham wins: 1

Form (latest first): Bolton: WWLLL · West Ham: DLWWW

  • G. Bazunu vs J. Bowen: Bolton's goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep out West Ham's leading scorer, who has been in fine form.
  • S. Dalby vs M. Kilman: The Bolton striker faces a tough test against West Ham's commanding centre-back, who will look to dominate aerially.
  • J. McAtee vs M. Kanté: The midfield duel will be crucial, with McAtee aiming to create chances while Kanté looks to break up play and drive his team forward.

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Oct 1011:30
Birmingham
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 1011:30
Norwich
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
ChampionshipEngland
Charlton
Oct 1011:30
Bristol City
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Watford
Oct 1014:00
Burnley
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
Preston
Oct 1014:00
Millwall
12.9434%
X3.4529%
22.7037%
ChampionshipEngland
Sheffield Utd
Oct 1014:00
Lincoln
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
ChampionshipEngland
Blackburn
Oct 1014:00
Cardiff
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
ChampionshipEngland
Bolton
Oct 1014:00
Stoke City
12.7037%
X3.4529%
22.9434%
ChampionshipEngland
Derby
Oct 1014:00
Wrexham
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Oct 1014:00
Wolves
12.2245%
X3.4529%
23.8526%
ChampionshipEngland
Southampton
Oct 1111:00
Portsmouth
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Oct 1318:45
Bolton
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.8817%
25.8817%
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Oct 1318:45
Watford
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Oct 1318:45
Charlton
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.2619%
21.6461%

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