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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Southampton vs Middlesbrough

Southampton vs Middlesbrough

Prediction • Championship·Southampton·Middlesbrough

Championship
Championship
Nov 27, 2026
20:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Southampton

Southampton

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Away
Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium
Win Probabilities
37%
Southampton
28%
Draw
35%
Middlesbrough
Home2.7037%
Draw3.5728%
Away2.8635%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Southampton hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a four-match unbeaten run and a strong home record, but Middlesbrough's league-leading form and attacking threat make this a tight contest. The main risk is Southampton's injury list disrupting their rhythm, potentially allowing Middlesbrough to capitalize.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Southampton vs Middlesbrough.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Southampton
/10
6.0Middlesbrough
Southampton
FormLatest first
WDWWL
Win Rate60%
Middlesbrough
FormLatest first
WDWWD
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

F
Adam Armstrong
8.6

Adam Armstrong

Southampton

VS
Alexander Gilbert
9.0

Alexander Gilbert

Middlesbrough

52ATT18
100TEC100
23TAC79
5DEF89
0CRE55

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
8/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2.0
Avg Scored
1.6
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
1/10
1.4
Avg Conceded
1.4
Match Flow
5/10
Scored First
8/10
1.4
Avg Cards
1.0
5.4
Avg Corners
6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Southampton
Home

Southampton

Form
LWWDW
Latest first
4
Pos
80
Pts
+12
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 12 matches)

Clean Sheets325%
Goal Diff+12
  • Solid defensive record with three clean sheets in last five
  • Strong home form with five wins and one draw from six
  • Unbeaten in last four matches
C. Bragg
Red Card
Suspended
M. Roerslev Rasmussen
Health problems
Injured
C. Larin
Hamstring Injury
Injured
F. Downes
Ankle Injury
Injured
T. Harwood-Bellis
Injury
Injured
C. Jander
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
Middlesbrough
Away

Middlesbrough

Form
DWWDW
Latest first
10
Pos
64
Pts
+6
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 11 matches)

Clean Sheets218%
Goal Diff+6
  • Top of the league with 25 points
  • Strong attacking output with 68% attack rating
  • Unbeaten in last five matches
R. Pukstas
Injury
Injured
T. Conway
Ankle Injury
Injured
A. Bangura
Coach's decision
Injured
J. Sarmiento
Inactive
Injured
A. Morris
Injury
Injured
A. Phillips
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
A. Jones
Calf Injury
Injured
D. Strelec
Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Southampton
Southampton
4Wins
3
Draws
Middlesbrough
3Wins
Middlesbrough
40%30%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May122026
SouthamptonSouthampton
2-1
Win
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
May92026
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
0-0
Draw
SouthamptonSouthampton
Jan42026
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
4-0
Loss
SouthamptonSouthampton
Sep272025
SouthamptonSouthampton
1-1
Draw
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Mar292024
SouthamptonSouthampton
1-1
Draw
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Sep232023
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
2-1
Loss
SouthamptonSouthampton
May132017
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1-2
Win
SouthamptonSouthampton
Dec112016
SouthamptonSouthampton
1-0
Win
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Apr212012
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
2-1
Loss
SouthamptonSouthampton
Oct292011
SouthamptonSouthampton
3-0
Win
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Past Predictions

0%0/2 correct

Southampton 2 - 1 Middlesbrough

May 12, 2026

32% / 32% / 36%

Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Southampton

May 9, 2026

44% / 32% / 24%

Southampton4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1MiddlesbroughPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Southampton

6Out

5 key players

Middlesbrough

8Out

8 key players

Southampton

Team

Southampton

Players Out

6(5 key)
C. Bragg

C. Bragg

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
M. Roerslev Rasmussen

M. Roerslev Rasmussen

MODERATE
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Larin

C. Larin

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

F. Downes

F. Downes

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

T. Harwood-Bellis

T. Harwood-Bellis

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Jander

C. Jander

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Middlesbrough

Team

Middlesbrough

Players Out

8(8 key)
R. Pukstas

R. Pukstas

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Conway

T. Conway

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

A. Bangura

A. Bangura

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Sarmiento

J. Sarmiento

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Morris

A. Morris

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Phillips

A. Phillips

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Jones

A. Jones

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Strelec

D. Strelec

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
MiddlesbroughAway
127412717+1025
2
Swansea
127231613+323
3
West Ham
126423215+1722
4
Wolves
126332016+421
5
West Brom
126331613+321
6
SouthamptonHome
127322412+1220
7
Birmingham
125522012+820
8
QPR
125522012+820
9
Stoke City
126241816+220
10
Blackburn
125341916+318
11
Portsmouth
125341615+118
12
Sheffield Utd
124441615+116
13
Millwall
124351920-115
14
Bristol City
124351215-315
15
Lincoln
124351320-715
16
Cardiff
123541917+214
17
Wrexham
123541518-314
18
Bolton
124261623-714
19
Charlton
123541118-714
20
Norwich
124082022-212
21
Watford
123271020-1011
22
Burnley
121561725-88
23
Derby
121471021-117
24
Preston
121291025-155
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Draw

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

37%Southampton
28%Draw
35%Middlesbrough

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffFri, Nov 27 · 20:00
StadiumSt. Mary's Stadium
League StatsChampionship

More information

Championship predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1312/12Line-upsSouthampton – MiddlesbroughHead-to-headSouthampton – MiddlesbroughInjuriesSouthamptonInjuriesMiddlesbroughLive scores

Statistical Context

Southampton

WDWWL
  • WOct 24, 26A · West Ham2-3
  • DOct 17, 26H · Bolton0-0
  • WOct 14, 26A · Norwich0-1
  • WOct 11, 26H · Portsmouth1-0
  • LSep 19, 26A · Wrexham2-1

Middlesbrough

WDWWD
  • WOct 23, 26A · Bolton1-5
  • DOct 17, 26H · Cardiff2-2
  • WOct 13, 26A · Stoke City2-3
  • WOct 10, 26H · Wolves1-0
  • DSep 19, 26A · Birmingham2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Middlesbrough12+1025WDWWD
2Swansea12+323LLWWW
3West Ham12+1722LWWDD
4Wolves12+421WDWLL
5West Brom12+321DWWLL
6Southampton12+1220WDWWL
7Birmingham12+820LWWWD

Head to Head

4
Southampton
3
Draws
3
Middlesbrough
  • May 12, 26Southampton – Middlesbrough2-1
  • May 9, 26Middlesbrough – Southampton0-0
  • Jan 4, 26Middlesbrough – Southampton4-0
  • Sep 27, 25Southampton – Middlesbrough1-1
  • Mar 29, 24Southampton – Middlesbrough1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

SouthamptonMiddlesbrough
Played1211
Goals Scored2422
Goals Conceded1216
Avg Scored2.02.0
Avg Conceded1.01.4
Clean Sheets32

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SouthamptonMiddlesbrough
Over 2.5 Goals8/106/10
Both Teams Scored7/108/10
Clean Sheets2/101/10

Predicted line-ups: Southampton vs Middlesbrough

Predicted XI

Southampton

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: S. Rusk

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: R. Edwards

  1. 31S. Brynn
  1. 12L. Ayling
  2. 2C. Brittain
  3. 3S. Byram
  4. 29A. Malanda
  1. 18C. Barron
  2. 6S. Berhalter
  1. 19Leo Castledine
  2. 11A. Cozier-Duberry
  3. 8R. McGree
  1. 22K. Joseph
  1. 11L. Dobbin
  1. 18T. Fellows
  2. 27K. Matsuki
  3. 30J. Ward-Prowse
  1. 10F. Azaz
  2. 26Cameron Bragg
  1. 6Z. Abbott
  2. 14J. Bree
  3. 3R. Manning
  4. 2M. Roerslev
  1. 25G. Long

Bench

  • 1Daniel Peretz
  • 13K. Schlotterbeck
  • 5J. Stephens
  • 34Welington
  • 15N. Wood-Gordon
  • 23S. Edozie
  • 7Léo Scienza

Out

  • C. Bragg · Red Card
  • M. Roerslev Rasmussen · Health problems
  • C. Larin · Hamstring Injury
  • F. Downes · Ankle Injury
  • T. Harwood-Bellis · Injury
  • C. Jander · Lacking Match Fitness

Bench

  • 1R. Vítek
  • 30Neto Borges
  • 17M. Arfsten
  • 14M. Peart-Harris
  • 7W. Lankshear
  • 33J. McLaughlin
  • 25G. Edmundson

Out

  • R. Pukstas · Injury
  • T. Conway · Ankle Injury
  • A. Bangura · Coach's decision
  • J. Sarmiento · Inactive
  • A. Morris · Injury
  • A. Phillips · Lacking Match Fitness
  • A. Jones · Calf Injury
  • D. Strelec · Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Southampton vs Middlesbrough — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Southampton hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a four-match unbeaten run and a strong home record, but Middlesbrough's league-leading form and attacking threat make this a tight contest. The main risk is Southampton's injury list disrupting their rhythm, potentially allowing Middlesbrough to capitalize.

Southampton and Middlesbrough are separated by the narrowest of margins in this Championship encounter, with the data pointing to a tight, evenly-matched contest that could swing either way. The basel…

Win Probabilities: Southampton: 37% · Draw: 28% · Middlesbrough: 35%

H2H: Southampton wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Middlesbrough wins: 3

Form (latest first): Southampton: WDWWL · Middlesbrough: WDWWD

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Oct 18, 2026
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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Oct 3112:30
Watford
11.6760%
X4.1724%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Oct 3112:30
Preston
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Oct 3112:30
Birmingham
13.7027%
X3.3330%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Oct 3115:00
Cardiff
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Southampton
Oct 3115:00
QPR
11.8953%
X3.7027%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Oct 3115:00
Portsmouth
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 3115:00
West Brom
11.5963%
X4.5522%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Oct 3115:00
Derby
11.7557%
X3.8526%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bolton
Oct 3115:00
Bristol City
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Oct 3115:00
Charlton
11.4171%
X5.0020%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 3115:00
Blackburn
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Watford
Nov 319:45
Lincoln
12.6338%
X3.5728%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Preston
Nov 319:45
Sheffield Utd
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Blackburn
Nov 319:45
Stoke City
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Derby
Nov 319:45
Norwich
13.8526%
X3.5728%
22.1746%
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