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Matches
PlayNEW
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Accuracy Stats
Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Watford vs Burnley

Watford vs Burnley

Prediction • Championship·Watford·Burnley

Championship
Championship
Oct 10, 2026
14:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Watford

Watford

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Vicarage Road
Early projection · Odds pending
Burnley

Burnley

Away
Stadium
Vicarage Road
Win Probabilities
66%
Watford
18%
Draw
16%
Burnley
Home1.5266%
Draw5.5618%
Away6.2516%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Watford are favored at 66% to win at home against Burnley. The draw is rated 18% and the away win 16%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Watford vs Burnley.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Watford
/10
0.0Burnley
Watford
FormLatest first
LWLLD
Win Rate20%
Burnley
FormLatest first
LDLDL
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageWatford+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Watford
Home

Watford

Form
DLLWL
Latest first
14
Pos
57
Pts
-1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 6 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-1
  • Superior league position (12th vs 23rd) with a 5-point cushion
  • Solid home record: 1 win and 1 draw from 2 home games
  • Better defensive record than Burnley, conceding 2.0 per game vs 1.6
O. H. Traore
Injury
Injured
M. Boadu
Injury
Injured
B. Mlacic
Inactive
Injured
M. Bola
Hamstring Injury
Injured
O. Maamma
Injury
Injured
E. Bove
Knee Injury
Injured
T. Akomeah
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
J. Grieves
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
J. Ngakia
Thigh Injury
Injured
R. Vata
Hamstring Injury
Injured
K. Baah
Knock
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Watford
Watford
2Wins
3
Draws
Burnley
5Wins
Burnley
20%30%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr182025
WatfordWatford
1-2
Loss
BurnleyBurnley
Dec212024
BurnleyBurnley
2-1
Loss
WatfordWatford
Feb142023
BurnleyBurnley
1-1
Draw
WatfordWatford
Aug122022
WatfordWatford
1-0
Win
BurnleyBurnley
Apr302022
WatfordWatford
1-2
Loss
BurnleyBurnley
Feb52022
BurnleyBurnley
0-0
Draw
WatfordWatford
Jun252020
BurnleyBurnley
1-0
Loss
WatfordWatford
Nov232019
WatfordWatford
0-3
Loss
BurnleyBurnley
Jan192019
WatfordWatford
0-0
Draw
BurnleyBurnley
Aug192018
BurnleyBurnley
1-3
Win
WatfordWatford
Watford4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1BurnleyPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Watford

11Out

10 key players

Burnley

15Out

14 key players

Watford

Team

Watford

Players Out

11(10 key)
O. H. Traore

O. H. Traore

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Boadu

M. Boadu

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Mlacic

B. Mlacic

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Bola

M. Bola

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

O. Maamma

O. Maamma

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Bove

E. Bove

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

T. Akomeah

T. Akomeah

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Grieves

J. Grieves

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Ngakia

J. Ngakia

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Vata

R. Vata

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

K. Baah

K. Baah

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Burnley

Team

Burnley

Players Out

15(14 key)
J. Laurent

J. Laurent

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
E. Agyei

E. Agyei

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Banel

J. Banel

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Barnes

A. Barnes

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Foster

L. Foster

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

D. Satpaev

D. Satpaev

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Z. Flemming

Z. Flemming

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Lucas Pires

Lucas Pires

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

O. Sonne

O. Sonne

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

H. Mejbri

H. Mejbri

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

J. Beyer

J. Beyer

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Cullen

J. Cullen

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Roberts

C. Roberts

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

B. Humphreys

B. Humphreys

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

J. Bruun Larsen

J. Bruun Larsen

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
West Ham
West Ham
7421209+1114
2
Swansea
Swansea
7421115+614
3
West Brom
West Brom
7421107+314
4
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
6411128+413
5
QPR
QPR
733185+312
6
Charlton
Charlton
733167-112
7
Wolves
Wolves
63211410+411
8
Southampton
Southampton
7421188+1010
9
Birmingham
Birmingham
7241109+110
10
Stoke City
Stoke City
73131111010
11
Bristol City
Bristol City
63121011-110
12
Norwich
Norwich
7304131309
13
Millwall
Millwall
6303111109
14
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
723289-19
15
Blackburn
Blackburn
7223101008
16
Lincoln
Lincoln
622256-18
17
Watford
WatfordHome
722379-28
18
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
621378-17
19
Wrexham
Wrexham
7142711-47
20
Bolton
Bolton
7214712-57
21
Cardiff
Cardiff
7043711-44
22
Derby
Derby
7115613-74
23
Preston
Preston
7106613-73
24
Burnley
BurnleyAway
7034816-83
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Watford

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

66%Watford
18%Draw
16%Burnley

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 14:00
StadiumVicarage Road
League StatsChampionship
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · WatfordInjuries · Burnley

Statistical Context

Watford

LWLLD
  • LSep 12, 26H · Stoke City1-2
  • WSep 8, 26H · Preston2-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · West Brom1-0
  • LSep 1, 26A · Swansea2-0
  • DAug 29, 26H · West Ham1-1

Burnley

LDLDL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Swansea3-1
  • DSep 8, 26A · Wrexham1-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Bristol City1-2
  • DSep 2, 26H · Middlesbrough1-1
  • LAug 29, 26A · Norwich4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
16Lincoln6-18WDDWL
17Watford7-28LWLLD
18Portsmouth6-17DWLLW
19Wrexham7-47LDDWL
20Bolton7-57WLLLL
21Cardiff7-44LDLLD
22Derby7-74LLLWL
23Preston7-73LLWLL
24Burnley7-83LDLDL

Head to Head

2
Watford
3
Draws
5
Burnley
  • Apr 18, 25Watford – Burnley1-2
  • Dec 21, 24Burnley – Watford2-1
  • Feb 14, 23Burnley – Watford1-1
  • Aug 12, 22Watford – Burnley1-0
  • Apr 30, 22Watford – Burnley1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

WatfordBurnley
Played67
Goals Scored68
Goals Conceded716
Avg Scored1.01.1
Avg Conceded1.22.3
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

WatfordBurnley
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored8/10—
Clean Sheets1/10—

Predicted line-ups: Watford vs Burnley

Predicted XI

Watford

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: C. Wilder

Burnley

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: S. Parker

  1. 37G. Coudert
  1. 15A. Ahmedhodžić
  2. 18H. Ekdal
  3. 44Igor
  4. 2K. Walker
  1. 3Max Alleyne
  2. 47E. Clark
  1. 5R. Hatate
  2. 8U. Raghouber
  3. 21A. Ramsey
  1. 11Z. Amdouni
  1. 17Iker Bravo
  1. 22M. Payero
  2. 21Amin Nabizada
  3. 8E. Bove
  1. 39E. Kayembe
  2. 5H. Kyprianou
  1. 3S. Coulibaly
  2. 4K. Keben
  3. 6M. Pollock
  4. 23O. Traoré
  1. 26D. Bachmann

Bench

  • 1F. Ravaglia
  • 24S. Walker
  • 33J. Zemura
  • 20M. Doumbia
  • 9L. Kjerrumgaard
  • 45S. Mavididi
  • 75Tomiwa Akinyimika

Out

  • O. H. Traore · Injury
  • M. Boadu · Injury
  • B. Mlacic · Inactive
  • M. Bola · Hamstring Injury
  • O. Maamma · Injury
  • E. Bove · Knee Injury
  • T. Akomeah · Lacking Match Fitness
  • J. Grieves · Lacking Match Fitness

Bench

  • 1M. Weiß
  • 19L. Ramazani
  • 27A. Broja
  • 30L. Castell
  • 17A. Hountondji
  • 13B. Amos
  • 1C. Edwards

Out

  • J. Laurent · Red Card
  • E. Agyei · Injury
  • J. Banel · Injury
  • A. Barnes · Injury
  • L. Foster · Inactive
  • D. Satpaev · Hamstring Injury
  • Z. Flemming · Inactive
  • Lucas Pires · Inactive

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Watford vs Burnley — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Watford are favored at 66% to win at home against Burnley. The draw is rated 18% and the away win 16%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Watford enter this Championship fixture at Vicarage Road as the more likely winners, though the edge is far from decisive. The baseline team-strength model points to a clear home advantage, while the API-Football Poisson model sees a much tighter contest with a strong chance of a draw.…

Win Probabilities: Watford: 66% · Draw: 18% · Burnley: 16%

H2H: Watford wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Burnley wins: 5

Form (latest first): Watford: LWLLD · Burnley: LDLDL

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Sep 1518:45
Lincoln
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Sep 1518:45
Millwall
12.0050%
X3.5728%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Sep 1819:00
Watford
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Sep 1911:30
Charlton
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Sep 1911:30
West Ham
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 1911:30
Sheffield Utd
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Sep 1914:00
Derby
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Sep 1914:00
Middlesbrough
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Sep 1914:00
Preston
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Sep 1914:00
Blackburn
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 1914:00
Swansea
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Sep 1914:00
Southampton
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Sep 2011:00
West Brom
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Sep 2012:30
Bolton
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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