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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Derby vs Norwich

Derby vs Norwich

Prediction • Championship·Derby·Norwich

Championship
Championship
Nov 3, 2026
19:45
Derby

Derby

Home
VS
VS
Odds
13.21
X3.55
22.08
Stadium
Pride Park
PREDICTED WINNER
Norwich

Norwich

Away
Odds
13.21
X3.55
22.08
Stadium
Pride Park
Win Probabilities
26%
Derby
28%
Draw
46%
Norwich
Home3.2126%
Draw3.5528%
Away2.0846%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Norwich are favored at 44% to win away at Derby. The draw is rated 25% and the home win 31%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Derby vs Norwich.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
0.0Derby
/10
2.0Norwich
Derby
FormLatest first
DLLDD
Win Rate0%
Norwich
FormLatest first
WLLLL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageNorwich+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Joe Ward
7.3

Joe Ward

Derby

VS
Josh Sargent
7.9

Josh Sargent

Norwich

18ATT37
100TEC100
70TAC29
31DEF21
70CRE4

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1.5
Avg Scored
1.0
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
0/10
1.3
Avg Conceded
1.8
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
3/10
1.9
Avg Cards
1.7
6.0
Avg Corners
6.5

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Derby
Home

Derby

Form
DDLLD
Latest first
19
Pos
50
Pts
-11
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 12 matches)

Clean Sheets18%
Goal Diff-11
  • Slightly stronger defensive record than Norwich in the comparison metrics
  • One clean sheet in their last five matches
  • Home crowd at Pride Park could provide a lift
D. Sanderson
Red Card
Suspended
C. Forsyth
Knee Injury
Injured
C. Morris
Calf Injury
Injured
L. Travis
Ankle Injury
Injured
H. Meister
Concussion
Injured
J. Widell Zetterstrom
Knee Injury
Injured
P. Agyemang
Achilles Injury
Injured
R. Brewster
Injury
Injured
D. Murkin
Hamstring Injury
Injured
E. Cashin
Inactive
Injured
M. Johnston
Inactive
Injured
M. Clarke
Calf Injury
Injured
C. Taylor
Injury
Injured
S. Szmodics
Thigh Injury
Injured
A. Mowatt
Health problems
Injured
F. Bilbija
Back Injury
Injured
S. Langas
Injury
Injured
Norwich
Away

Norwich

Form
LLLLW
Latest first
13
Pos
57
Pts
-2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 12 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-2
  • Averaging 2.2 goals per game in the last five matches
  • Strong head-to-head record against Derby
  • Superior attacking metrics in the comparison data
M. Toure
Shoulder Injury
Injured
J. Makama
Foot Injury
Injured
P. Maghoma
Calf Injury
Injured
B. Chrisene
Injury
Injured
P. A. Diallo
Injury
Injured
K. McLean
Injury
Injured
A. Crnac
Rest
Injured
M. Topic
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
G. Forsyth
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
A. Ahmed
Knee Injury
Injured
L. Mahovo
Ankle Injury
Injured
V. Kovacevic
Concussion
Injured
K. Fisher
Health problems
Injured
L. Gibbs
Muscle Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Derby
Derby
4Wins
3
Draws
Norwich
3Wins
Norwich
40%30%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr212026
NorwichNorwich
2-1
Loss
DerbyDerby
Oct212025
DerbyDerby
1-0
Win
NorwichNorwich
Feb82025
NorwichNorwich
1-1
Draw
DerbyDerby
Sep282024
DerbyDerby
2-3
Loss
NorwichNorwich
Apr102021
DerbyDerby
0-1
Loss
NorwichNorwich
Oct32020
NorwichNorwich
0-1
Win
DerbyDerby
Dec292018
NorwichNorwich
3-4
Win
DerbyDerby
Oct32018
DerbyDerby
1-1
Draw
NorwichNorwich
Feb102018
DerbyDerby
1-1
Draw
NorwichNorwich
Oct282017
NorwichNorwich
1-2
Win
DerbyDerby

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Norwich 2 - 1 Derby

Apr 21, 2026

37% / 32% / 31%

Derby4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1NorwichPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Derby

17Out

16 key players

Norwich

14Out

14 key players

Derby

Team

Derby

Players Out

17(16 key)
D. Sanderson

D. Sanderson

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
C. Forsyth

C. Forsyth

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

C. Morris

C. Morris

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Travis

L. Travis

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

H. Meister

H. Meister

MODERATE
Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

J. Widell Zetterstrom

J. Widell Zetterstrom

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

P. Agyemang

P. Agyemang

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Brewster

R. Brewster

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Murkin

D. Murkin

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. Cashin

E. Cashin

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Johnston

M. Johnston

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Clarke

M. Clarke

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Taylor

C. Taylor

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Szmodics

S. Szmodics

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Mowatt

A. Mowatt

MODERATE
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Bilbija

F. Bilbija

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

S. Langas

S. Langas

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Norwich

Team

Norwich

Players Out

14(14 key)
M. Toure

M. Toure

MODERATE
Injury:Shoulder Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Makama

J. Makama

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

P. Maghoma

P. Maghoma

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Chrisene

B. Chrisene

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. A. Diallo

P. A. Diallo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

K. McLean

K. McLean

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Crnac

A. Crnac

MODERATE
Injury:Rest

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Topic

M. Topic

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

G. Forsyth

G. Forsyth

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Ahmed

A. Ahmed

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. Mahovo

L. Mahovo

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

V. Kovacevic

V. Kovacevic

MODERATE
Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

K. Fisher

K. Fisher

MODERATE
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Gibbs

L. Gibbs

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Middlesbrough
127412717+1025
2
Swansea
127231613+323
3
West Ham
126423215+1722
4
Wolves
126332016+421
5
West Brom
126331613+321
6
Southampton
127322412+1220
7
Birmingham
125522012+820
8
QPR
125522012+820
9
Stoke City
126241816+220
10
Blackburn
125341916+318
11
Portsmouth
125341615+118
12
Sheffield Utd
124441615+116
13
Millwall
124351920-115
14
Bristol City
124351215-315
15
Lincoln
124351320-715
16
Cardiff
123541917+214
17
Wrexham
123541518-314
18
Bolton
124261623-714
19
Charlton
123541118-714
20
NorwichAway
124082022-212
21
Watford
123271020-1011
22
Burnley
121561725-88
23
DerbyHome
121471021-117
24
Preston
121291025-155
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Norwich

Confidence

Win Probabilities

26%Derby
28%Draw
46%Norwich

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·23.21 · 3.55 · 2.08
KickoffTue, Nov 3 · 19:45
StadiumPride Park
League StatsChampionship

More information

Championship predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1312/12Line-upsDerby – NorwichHead-to-headDerby – NorwichInjuriesDerbyInjuriesNorwichLive scores

Statistical Context

Derby

DLLDD
  • DOct 24, 26A · Sheffield Utd1-1
  • LOct 17, 26H · Stoke City0-1
  • LOct 14, 26A · QPR4-1
  • DOct 10, 26H · Wrexham1-1
  • DSep 19, 26A · Burnley1-1

Norwich

WLLLL
  • WOct 24, 26A · Charlton1-3
  • LOct 17, 26H · Portsmouth0-1
  • LOct 14, 26H · Southampton0-1
  • LOct 10, 26A · Swansea2-1
  • LSep 20, 26H · Bolton3-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
19Charlton12-714LLDDL
20Norwich12-212WLLLL
21Watford12-1011LWLLL
22Burnley12-88LLDWD
23Derby12-117DLLDD
24Preston12-155DLLLD

Head to Head

4
Derby
3
Draws
3
Norwich
  • Apr 21, 26Norwich – Derby2-1
  • Oct 21, 25Derby – Norwich1-0
  • Feb 8, 25Norwich – Derby1-1
  • Sep 28, 24Derby – Norwich2-3
  • Apr 10, 21Derby – Norwich0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

DerbyNorwich
Played1212
Goals Scored1020
Goals Conceded2122
Avg Scored0.81.7
Avg Conceded1.81.8
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

DerbyNorwich
Over 2.5 Goals7/105/10
Both Teams Scored7/107/10
Clean Sheets2/100/10

Predicted line-ups: Derby vs Norwich

Predicted XI

Derby

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Eustace

Norwich

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: P. Clement

  1. 32D. Grimshaw
  1. 14B. Chrisene
  2. 33J. Córdoba
  3. 6H. Darling
  4. 15Ruairi McConville
  1. 11A. Brooks
  2. 26S. Field
  1. 35K. Fisher
  2. 7P. Mattsson
  3. 23K. McLean
  1. 49A. Musaba
  1. 33C. Blackett-Taylor
  1. 20A. Mowatt
  2. 4D. Ozoh
  3. 23J. Ward
  1. 8B. Clark
  2. 29O. Fraulo
  1. 22M. Johnston
  2. 6S. Langås
  3. 42Raymond Offor
  4. 28D. Sanderson
  1. 12R. O'Donnell

Bench

  • 31J. Vickers
  • 18C. Taylor
  • 16M. Fuseini
  • 26R. Hedges
  • 15L. Salvesen
  • 1N. Bilokapić
  • 1H. Price

Out

  • D. Sanderson · Red Card
  • C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
  • C. Morris · Calf Injury
  • L. Travis · Ankle Injury
  • H. Meister · Concussion
  • J. Widell Zetterstrom · Knee Injury
  • P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • R. Brewster · Injury

Bench

  • 1V. Kovačević
  • 3J. Stacey
  • 13D. Yongwa
  • 16Jacob Wright
  • 29O. Schwartau
  • 21M. Touré
  • 13V. Reyes

Out

  • M. Toure · Shoulder Injury
  • J. Makama · Foot Injury
  • P. Maghoma · Calf Injury
  • B. Chrisene · Injury
  • P. A. Diallo · Injury
  • K. McLean · Injury
  • A. Crnac · Rest
  • M. Topic · Lacking Match Fitness

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Derby vs Norwich — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Norwich are favored at 44% to win away at Derby. The draw is rated 25% and the home win 31%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Norwich travel to Pride Park as the narrow favourites, backed by a stronger statistical profile and a clear edge in the attacking and head-to-head metrics. The model and the team-comparison data both point toward an away-side advantage, though the margin is not decisive enough to call this a one-sided contest.…

Win Probabilities: Derby: 26% · Draw: 28% · Norwich: 46%

H2H: Derby wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Norwich wins: 3

Form (latest first): Derby: DLLDD · Norwich: WLLLL

Related News

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West Ham Up to Second, Liverpool & Chelsea Win: Saturday Roundup

West Ham Up to Second, Liverpool & Chelsea Win: Saturday Roundup

West Ham beat Swansea to go second in the Championship, Liverpool come from behind to beat nine-man Brentford, and Pedro Neto's double gives Chelsea a 2-0 win at Everton.

Oct 18, 2026
Championship Roundup: West Ham Stun Swansea, Norwich Lose Again

Championship Roundup: West Ham Stun Swansea, Norwich Lose Again

West Ham beat Swansea 1-0 to go second in the Championship, while Norwich lose their sixth straight and Middlesbrough rescue a point against Cardiff.

Oct 17, 2026
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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Oct 3112:30
Watford
11.6760%
X4.1724%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Oct 3112:30
Preston
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Oct 3112:30
Birmingham
13.7027%
X3.3330%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Oct 3115:00
Cardiff
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Southampton
Oct 3115:00
QPR
11.8953%
X3.7027%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Oct 3115:00
Portsmouth
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 3115:00
West Brom
11.5963%
X4.5522%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Oct 3115:00
Derby
11.7557%
X3.8526%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bolton
Oct 3115:00
Bristol City
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Oct 3115:00
Charlton
11.4171%
X5.0020%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 3115:00
Blackburn
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Watford
Nov 319:45
Lincoln
12.6338%
X3.5728%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Preston
Nov 319:45
Sheffield Utd
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Blackburn
Nov 319:45
Stoke City
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Nov 319:45
Burnley
12.3842%
X3.7027%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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