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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Middlesbrough vs Lincoln

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln

Result • Championship·Middlesbrough·Lincoln

Championship
Championship
Aug 15, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.31
X4.80
210.25
Stadium
Riverside Stadium
high Confidence
Lincoln

Lincoln

Away
Odds
11.31
X4.80
210.25
Stadium
Riverside Stadium
Win Probabilities
70%
Middlesbrough
19%
Draw
11%
Lincoln
Home1.3170%
Draw4.8019%
Away10.2511%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Middlesbrough are favored at 64% to win at home against Lincoln. The draw is rated 22% and the away win 14%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Championship fixture between Middlesbrough and Lincoln using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Middlesbrough a 70% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and Lincoln a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 12'
    Goal: A. ReachLincoln · Assist: T. Darikwa
    Goal: A. ReachAssist: T. Darikwa
  2. 36'
    Yellow Card: F. DraperLincoln
    Yellow Card: F. Draper
  3. 59'
    Substitution: T. OlaofeLincoln · Out: F. Draper
    Substitution: T. OlaofeOut: F. Draper
  4. 59'
    Substitution: R. StreetLincoln · Out: D. Jefferies
    Substitution: R. StreetOut: D. Jefferies
  5. Goal: W. Lankshear
    62'
    Goal: W. LankshearMiddlesbrough
  6. Substitution: R. McGreeOut: A. Kante
    63'
    Substitution: R. McGreeMiddlesbrough · Out: A. Kante
  7. Substitution: M. Peart-HarrisOut: L. Castledine
    63'
    Substitution: M. Peart-HarrisMiddlesbrough · Out: L. Castledine
  8. Substitution: M. ArfstenOut: Neto Borges
    63'
    Substitution: M. ArfstenMiddlesbrough · Out: Neto Borges
  9. Substitution: J. SarmientoOut: K. Joseph
    71'
    Substitution: J. SarmientoMiddlesbrough · Out: K. Joseph
  10. 71'
    Substitution: R. Hackett-FairchildLincoln · Out: B. House
    Substitution: R. Hackett-FairchildOut: B. House
  11. 89'
    Yellow Card: T. OlaofeLincoln
    Yellow Card: T. Olaofe
  12. Goal: W. LankshearAssist: R. McGree
    90+1'
    Goal: W. LankshearMiddlesbrough · Assist: R. McGree
  13. 90+2'
    Substitution: T. BaylissLincoln · Out: A. Reach
    Substitution: T. BaylissOut: A. Reach
  14. 90+2'
    Substitution: A. CoubisLincoln · Out: T. Darikwa
    Substitution: A. CoubisOut: T. Darikwa
  15. Substitution: A. JonesOut: M. Whittaker
    90+2'
    Substitution: A. JonesMiddlesbrough · Out: M. Whittaker
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1S. Brynn vs J. Gauci: The goalkeepers will be crucial in keeping their teams in the match. Brynn's shot-stopping could deny Lincoln any rare chances, while Gauci will need to be at his best to keep Middlesbrough at bay.
2L. Ayling vs A. Coubiș: Ayling's attacking runs from full-back could stretch Lincoln's defence, while Coubiș will need to stay disciplined to prevent overlaps and crosses.
3W. Lankshear vs C. Elder: Lankshear's movement and finishing will test Elder's positioning and aerial ability. If Lankshear gets space, he could be the difference.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Middlesbrough

  • Solid league position (5th) with a strong goal difference (+25)
  • Recent winning momentum (1 win streak)
  • Inconsistent form (LLDDW in last five)
  • Conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game

Lincoln

  • Recent winning streak (1 win)
  • Managed a clean sheet in one of their last five games
  • Poor scoring record (0.8 goals per game, failed to score in 2 of last 5)
  • Leaky defence (conceding 2.2 goals per game)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
70%
API-Football
33%
52%
Middlesbrough522622

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (52%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Middlesbrough enter this Championship clash as clear favourites, with the market strongly backing the home side. Their superior league position — 5th with 80 points and a +25 goal difference — underlines their quality, while Lincoln's struggles are reflected in their lowly standing and poor recent form.

Form Analysis: Middlesbrough have shown resilience, picking up a win in their last outing and averaging 1.2 goals per game. Lincoln, by contrast, have been blunt in attack, failing to score in two of their last five matches and conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. This contrast in momentum heavily favours the hosts.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the gulf in class and form. Middlesbrough's attacking output, combined with Lincoln's defensive frailty, points to a home victory. Additionally, Middlesbrough's home advantage at the Riverside Stadium, though not statistically dominant in the data, adds to their edge. Lincoln's inability to find the net regularly will make it difficult for them to trouble the hosts.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable Middlesbrough win. Lincoln's lack of goals and defensive vulnerabilities are likely to be exploited by a Middlesbrough side chasing promotion. The visitors may put up a fight, but the overall quality and form gap should prove decisive.

Statistical Context

No predictions available

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MiddlesbroughLincoln
50%Strength50%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · MiddlesbroughInjuries · Lincoln

Statistical Context

Middlesbrough

DWLWD
  • DSep 15, 26H · Millwall2-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Norwich4-3
  • LSep 8, 26A · Crystal Palace3-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · QPR0-1
  • DSep 2, 26A · Burnley1-1

Lincoln

WWLDD
  • WSep 15, 26A · Bristol City0-1
  • WSep 12, 26A · Preston0-1
  • LSep 8, 26A · Bournemouth4-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · Southampton1-1
  • DSep 1, 26H · Blackburn0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Swansea7+614WLDWW
3Middlesbrough7+414DWWDW
4West Brom7+314DWWDL
5QPR7+312DDLWW
6Charlton7-112DDLDW
7Wolves6+411WDLWW
8Lincoln7011WWDDW
9Southampton7+1010WWDDW

Season Statistics — 2026

MiddlesbroughLincoln
Played66
Goals Scored125
Goals Conceded86
Avg Scored2.00.8
Avg Conceded1.31.0
Clean Sheets13

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MiddlesbroughLincoln
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored8/10—
Clean Sheets1/10—

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln — Match Analysis

Middlesbrough are favored at 64% to win at home against Lincoln. The draw is rated 22% and the away win 14%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Middlesbrough enter this Championship clash as clear favourites, with the market strongly backing the home side. Their superior league position — 5th with 80 points and a +25 goal difference — underlines their quality, while Lincoln's struggles are reflected in their lowly standing and poor recent form.

Form Analysis: Middlesbrough have shown resilience, picking up a win in their last outing and averaging 1.2 goals per game. Lincoln, by contrast, have been blunt in attack, failing to score in two of their last five matches and conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. This contrast in momentum heavily favours the hosts.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the gulf in class and form. Middlesbrough's attacking output, combined with Lincoln's defensive frailty, points to a home victory. Additionally, Middlesbrough's home advantage at the Riverside Stadium, though not statistically dominant in the data, adds to their edge. Lincoln's inability to find the net regularly will make it difficult for them to trouble the hosts.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable Middlesbrough win. Lincoln's lack of goals and defensive vulnerabilities are likely to be exploited by a Middlesbrough side chasing promotion. The visitors may put up a fight, but the overall quality and form gap should prove decisive.

Win Probabilities: Middlesbrough: 70% · Draw: 19% · Lincoln: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

Form (latest first): Middlesbrough: DWLWD · Lincoln: WWLDD

  • S. Brynn vs J. Gauci: The goalkeepers will be crucial in keeping their teams in the match. Brynn's shot-stopping could deny Lincoln any rare chances, while Gauci will need to be at his best to keep Middlesbrough at bay.
  • L. Ayling vs A. Coubiș: Ayling's attacking runs from full-back could stretch Lincoln's defence, while Coubiș will need to stay disciplined to prevent overlaps and crosses.
  • W. Lankshear vs C. Elder: Lankshear's movement and finishing will test Elder's positioning and aerial ability. If Lankshear gets space, he could be the difference.

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Sep 1819:00
Watford
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Sep 1911:30
Charlton
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Sep 1911:30
West Ham
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 1911:30
Sheffield Utd
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Sep 1914:00
Derby
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Sep 1914:00
Middlesbrough
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Sep 1914:00
Preston
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Sep 1914:00
Blackburn
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 1914:00
Swansea
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Sep 1914:00
Southampton
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Sep 2011:00
West Brom
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Sep 2012:30
Bolton
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Oct 1011:30
Birmingham
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 1011:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%

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