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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Stoke City vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough

Prediction • Championship·Stoke City·Middlesbrough

Championship
Championship
Oct 13, 2026
19:00
Early projection · Odds pending
Stoke City

Stoke City

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Bet365 Stadium
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Away
Stadium
Bet365 Stadium
Win Probabilities
29%
Stoke City
24%
Draw
47%
Middlesbrough
Home3.4529%
Draw4.1724%
Away2.1347%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Middlesbrough are favored at 47% to win away at Stoke City. The draw is rated 24% and the home win 29%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Stoke City
/10
4.0Middlesbrough
Stoke City
FormLatest first
WDWWL
Win Rate60%
Middlesbrough
FormLatest first
DWLWD
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageStoke City+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Tatsuki Seko
6.9

Tatsuki Seko

Stoke City

VS
Alexander Gilbert
9.0

Alexander Gilbert

Middlesbrough

17ATT18
100TEC100
51TAC79
39DEF89
23CRE55

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
6/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1.5
Avg Scored
1.6
Defense
4/10
Clean Sheets
1/10
1.2
Avg Conceded
1.4
Match Flow
5/10
Scored First
8/10
2.2
Avg Cards
1.0
5.3
Avg Corners
6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Stoke City
Home

Stoke City

Form
LWWDW
Latest first
18
Pos
51
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 7 matches)

Clean Sheets229%
Goal Diff0
  • Four-match unbeaten streak (WDWWL) shows strong momentum
  • Solid home record with 2 wins from 3 at the Bet365 Stadium
  • Two clean sheets in last five matches demonstrates defensive resilience
B. Gibson
Concussion
Injured
S. Ingelsson
Injury
Injured
A. Ampah
Hamstring Injury
Injured
S. Gallagher
Injury
Injured
B. Lawal
Inactive
Injured
J. Tchamadeu
Knee Injury
Injured
D. Soumare
Injury
Injured
A. Cresswell
Knee Injury
Injured
L. Cisse
Knock
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Stoke City
Stoke City
3Wins
3
Draws
Middlesbrough
4Wins
Middlesbrough
30%30%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan212026
Stoke CityStoke City
1-2
Loss
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Sep302025
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
0-0
Draw
Stoke CityStoke City
Feb252025
Stoke CityStoke City
1-3
Loss
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Sep282024
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
2-0
Loss
Stoke CityStoke City
Aug272024
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
0-5
Win
Stoke CityStoke City
Mar22024
Stoke CityStoke City
2-0
Win
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Oct282023
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
0-2
Win
Stoke CityStoke City
Mar142023
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1-1
Draw
Stoke CityStoke City
Aug172022
Stoke CityStoke City
2-2
Draw
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Apr302022
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
3-1
Loss
Stoke CityStoke City

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Stoke City 1 - 2 Middlesbrough

Jan 21, 2026

36% / 28% / 36%

Stoke City3-5-2vs4-2-3-1MiddlesbroughPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Midfield battle favors home. Back three vs lone striker advantage.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Stoke City

9Out

8 key players

Middlesbrough

7Out

7 key players

Stoke City

Team

Stoke City

Players Out

9(8 key)
B. Gibson

B. Gibson

MODERATE
Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

S. Ingelsson

S. Ingelsson

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Ampah

A. Ampah

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Gallagher

S. Gallagher

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Lawal

B. Lawal

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

J. Tchamadeu

J. Tchamadeu

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Soumare

D. Soumare

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Cresswell

A. Cresswell

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. Cisse

L. Cisse

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Middlesbrough

Team

Middlesbrough

Players Out

7(7 key)
T. Conway

T. Conway

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

A. Bangura

A. Bangura

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Pukstas

R. Pukstas

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Sarmiento

J. Sarmiento

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Morris

A. Morris

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Phillips

A. Phillips

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Strelec

D. Strelec

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Championship

League Statistics

Championship • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
West Ham
West Ham
7421209+1114
2
Swansea
Swansea
7421115+614
3
West Brom
West Brom
7421107+314
4
Middlesbrough
MiddlesbroughAway
6411128+413
5
QPR
QPR
733185+312
6
Charlton
Charlton
733167-112
7
Wolves
Wolves
63211410+411
8
Southampton
Southampton
7421188+1010
9
Birmingham
Birmingham
7241109+110
10
Stoke City
Stoke CityHome
73131111010
11
Bristol City
Bristol City
63121011-110
12
Norwich
Norwich
7304131309
13
Millwall
Millwall
6303111109
14
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
723289-19
15
Blackburn
Blackburn
7223101008
16
Lincoln
Lincoln
622256-18
17
Watford
Watford
722379-28
18
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
621378-17
19
Wrexham
Wrexham
7142711-47
20
Bolton
Bolton
7214712-57
21
Cardiff
Cardiff
7043711-44
22
Derby
Derby
7115613-74
23
Preston
Preston
7106613-73
24
Burnley
Burnley
7034816-83
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Middlesbrough

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

29%Stoke City
24%Draw
47%Middlesbrough

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffTue, Oct 13 · 19:00
StadiumBet365 Stadium
League StatsChampionship
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Stoke CityInjuries · Middlesbrough

Statistical Context

Stoke City

WDWWL
  • WSep 12, 26A · Watford1-2
  • DSep 8, 26A · Cardiff1-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Charlton4-0
  • WSep 1, 26H · Norwich1-0
  • LAug 29, 26A · Wolves4-1

Middlesbrough

DWLWD
  • DSep 15, 26H · Millwall2-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Norwich4-3
  • LSep 8, 26A · Crystal Palace3-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · QPR0-1
  • DSep 2, 26A · Burnley1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3West Brom7+314DWWDL
4Middlesbrough6+413WWDWL
5QPR7+312DDLWW
6Charlton7-112DDLDW
7Wolves6+411WDLWW
8Southampton7+1010WWDDW
9Birmingham7+110WLDDW
10Stoke City7010WDWWL
11Bristol City6-110LWWWD

Head to Head

3
Stoke City
3
Draws
4
Middlesbrough
  • Jan 21, 26Stoke City – Middlesbrough1-2
  • Sep 30, 25Middlesbrough – Stoke City0-0
  • Feb 25, 25Stoke City – Middlesbrough1-3
  • Sep 28, 24Middlesbrough – Stoke City2-0
  • Aug 27, 24Middlesbrough – Stoke City0-5

Season Statistics — 2026

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough
Played76
Goals Scored1112
Goals Conceded118
Avg Scored1.62.0
Avg Conceded1.61.3
Clean Sheets21

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored3/108/10
Clean Sheets4/101/10

Predicted line-ups: Stoke City vs Middlesbrough

Predicted XI

Stoke City

3-5-2Formation· Coach: M. Robins

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: R. Edwards

  1. 31S. Brynn
  1. 12L. Ayling
  2. 2C. Brittain
  3. 30Neto Borges
  4. 17M. Arfsten
  1. 29A. Malanda
  2. 6S. Berhalter
  1. 11A. Cozier-Duberry
  2. 21R. Pukštas
  3. 8C. Barron
  1. 22K. Joseph
  1. 7J. McGlynn
  2. 9R. Boženík
  1. 17E. Bocat
  2. 2B. Johnson
  3. 13J. Devenny
  4. 8E. Galbraith
  5. 4B. Pearson
  1. 43F. Anderson
  2. 21L. Bombino
  3. 5L. Graham
  1. 24J. Griffiths

Bench

  • 1V. Johansson
  • 16B. Wilmot
  • 19T. Rigo
  • 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
  • 11L. Cissé
  • 15G. Hirst
  • 42M. Manhoef

Out

  • B. Gibson · Head Injury
  • S. Ingelsson · Injury
  • A. Ampah · Hamstring Injury
  • S. Gallagher · Injury
  • B. Lawal · Inactive
  • J. Tchamadeu · Knee Injury
  • D. Soumare · Injury
  • A. Cresswell · Knee Injury

Bench

  • 1R. Vítek
  • 7W. Lankshear
  • 33J. McLaughlin
  • 3S. Byram
  • 25G. Edmundson
  • 11G. McCormick
  • 28F. Cartwright

Out

  • T. Conway · Ankle Injury
  • A. Bangura · Coach's decision
  • R. Pukstas · Transfer negotiations
  • J. Sarmiento · Inactive
  • A. Morris · Injury
  • A. Phillips · Lacking Match Fitness
  • D. Strelec · Transfer negotiations

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Middlesbrough are favored at 47% to win away at Stoke City. The draw is rated 24% and the home win 29%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

This Championship fixture between Stoke City and Middlesbrough shapes up as a tight, evenly-matched contest with no clear favourite emerging from the data. The statistical model leans slightly towards…

Win Probabilities: Stoke City: 29% · Draw: 24% · Middlesbrough: 47%

H2H: Stoke City wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Middlesbrough wins: 4

Form (latest first): Stoke City: WDWWL · Middlesbrough: DWLWD

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Sep 1819:00
Watford
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Sep 1911:30
Charlton
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Sep 1911:30
West Ham
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 1911:30
Sheffield Utd
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Sep 1914:00
Derby
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Sep 1914:00
Middlesbrough
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Sep 1914:00
Preston
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Sep 1914:00
Blackburn
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 1914:00
Swansea
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Sep 1914:00
Southampton
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Sep 2011:00
West Brom
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Sep 2012:30
Bolton
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Oct 1011:30
Birmingham
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 1011:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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