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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Southampton vs Stoke City

Southampton vs Stoke City

Prediction • Championship·Southampton·Stoke City

Championship
Championship
Aug 22, 2026
14:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Southampton

Southampton

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Stoke City

Stoke City

Away
Win Probabilities
63%
Southampton
19%
Draw
18%
Stoke City
Home1.5963%
Draw5.2619%
Away5.5618%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Southampton are clear favourites, backed by superior form, league position, and a strong head-to-head record. Stoke's poor run and scoring struggles make an upset unlikely, but their desperation could lead to a tighter contest than expected.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Southampton
/10
0.0Stoke City
Southampton
FormLatest first
WDWDL
Win Rate40%
Stoke City
FormLatest first
LLLLD
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageSouthampton+4.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

F
Adam Armstrong
8.6

Adam Armstrong

Southampton

VS
Tatsuki Seko
6.9

Tatsuki Seko

Stoke City

52ATT17
100TEC100
23TAC51
5DEF39
0CRE23

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
8/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2.0
Avg Scored
1.5
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
4/10
1.4
Avg Conceded
1.2
Match Flow
5/10
Scored First
5/10
1.4
Avg Cards
2.2
5.4
Avg Corners
5.3

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Southampton
Home

Southampton

Form
DDWDW
Latest first
4
Pos
80
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Strong recent form: 5 unbeaten, 2 clean sheets
  • High scoring average: 1.8 goals per game
  • Solid defensive record: 0.6 conceded per game

Head to Head

Last 10
Southampton
Southampton
4Wins
2
Draws
Stoke City
4Wins
Stoke City
40%20%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan312026
Stoke CityStoke City
0-2
Win
SouthamptonSouthampton
Aug232025
SouthamptonSouthampton
1-2
Loss
Stoke CityStoke City
Oct292024
SouthamptonSouthampton
3-2
Win
Stoke CityStoke City
Apr272024
SouthamptonSouthampton
0-1
Loss
Stoke CityStoke City
Oct32023
Stoke CityStoke City
0-1
Win
SouthamptonSouthampton
Mar32018
SouthamptonSouthampton
0-0
Draw
Stoke CityStoke City
Sep302017
Stoke CityStoke City
2-1
Loss
SouthamptonSouthampton
May212017
SouthamptonSouthampton
0-1
Loss
Stoke CityStoke City
Dec142016
Stoke CityStoke City
0-0
Draw
SouthamptonSouthampton
Mar122016
Stoke CityStoke City
1-2
Win
SouthamptonSouthampton

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Stoke City 0 - 2 Southampton

Jan 31, 2026

35% / 28% / 37%

Southampton4-3-3vs4-3-3Stoke CityPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

Stoke CityStoke City4-3-3
SouthamptonSouthampton4-3-3
Stoke CityBenchStoke City7
SouthamptonBenchSouthampton7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Southampton

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

63%Southampton
19%Draw
18%Stoke City

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Aug 22 · 14:00
League StatsChampionship

Statistical Context

Southampton

WDWDL
  • WMay 12, 26H · Middlesbrough2-1
  • DMay 9, 26A · Middlesbrough0-0
  • WMay 2, 26A · Preston1-3
  • DApr 28, 26H · Ipswich2-2
  • LApr 25, 26A · Manchester City2-1

Stoke City

LLLLD
  • LMay 2, 26A · Bristol City2-0
  • LApr 25, 26H · Portsmouth1-3
  • LApr 21, 26H · Millwall1-3
  • LApr 18, 26A · Wrexham2-0
  • DApr 11, 26H · Blackburn1-1

Head to Head

4
Southampton
2
Draws
4
Stoke City
  • Jan 31, 26Stoke City – Southampton0-2
  • Aug 23, 25Southampton – Stoke City1-2
  • Oct 29, 24Southampton – Stoke City3-2
  • Apr 27, 24Southampton – Stoke City0-1
  • Oct 3, 23Stoke City – Southampton0-1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SouthamptonStoke City
Over 2.5 Goals8/106/10
Both Teams Scored7/103/10
Clean Sheets2/104/10

Southampton vs Stoke City — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Southampton are clear favourites, backed by superior form, league position, and a strong head-to-head record. Stoke's poor run and scoring struggles make an upset unlikely, but their desperation could lead to a tighter contest than expected.

Southampton are clear favourites for this Championship clash, backed by a superior league position, strong recent form, and a dominant head-to-head record. The data points to a home victory, though Stoke's desperation could make it competitive.…

Win Probabilities: Southampton: 63% · Draw: 19% · Stoke City: 18%

H2H: Southampton wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Stoke City wins: 4

Form (latest first): Southampton: WDWDL · Stoke City: LLLLD

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Aug 1419:00
Blackburn
12.0050%
X3.5728%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bolton
Aug 1511:30
Preston
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Aug 1514:00
Millwall
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Middlesbrough
Aug 1514:00
Lincoln
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Aug 1514:00
West Brom
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Aug 1514:00
Swansea
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.8526%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Charlton
Aug 1514:00
Derby
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Aug 1514:00
QPR
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Sheffield Utd
Aug 1516:30
Birmingham
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Watford
Aug 1612:30
Southampton
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Aug 1615:00
West Ham
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Aug 1719:00
Wrexham
Early projection
13.0333%
X4.0025%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Aug 2211:30
Bristol City
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Aug 2211:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Aug 2211:30
Portsmouth
13.3330%
X3.5728%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access