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  1. Home
  2. EFL Cup
  3. Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Prediction • EFL Cup·Bournemouth·Aston Villa

EFL Cup
EFL Cup
Oct 28, 2026
19:45
PREDICTED DRAW
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Vitality Stadium
PREDICTED DRAW
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Away
Stadium
Vitality Stadium
Win Probabilities
34%
Bournemouth
33%
Draw
33%
Aston Villa
Home2.9434%
Draw3.0333%
Away3.0333%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Bournemouth hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a superior defensive rating and home advantage, but Aston Villa's strong head-to-head record and winning momentum make this a tight contest. The main risk is the extensive injury lists for both sides, which could lead to an unpredictable outcome.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Bournemouth
/10
6.0Aston Villa
Bournemouth
FormLatest first
LWDWD
Win Rate40%
Aston Villa
FormLatest first
WWLWD
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageAston Villa+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Bournemouth
Home

Bournemouth

Form
W
Latest first
9
Pos
56
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets1100%
Goal Diff+4
  • Strong defensive record in recent matches (1 clean sheet in last 5, avg 1.2 conceded)
  • Effective attacking output (4 goals in last match, 2.0 avg scored)
  • Home advantage with a 1W-0D-0L record at Vitality Stadium
R. Christie
Red Card
Suspended
J. Araujo
Thigh Injury
Injured
E. J. Kroupi
Foot Injury
Injured
T. Adams
Injury
Injured
A. Adli
Calf Injury
Injured
V. Milosavljevic
Injury
Injured
M. Aarons
Off the roster
Injured
F. Forster
Off the roster
Injured
B. Gannon-Doak
Off the roster
Injured
D. Jebbison
Off the roster
Injured
J. Sanchez
Off the roster
Injured
J. Soler
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
Aston Villa
Away

Aston Villa

Form
W
Latest first
6
Pos
66
Pts
+2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff+2
  • Strong H2H record (85% strength) and historical edge over Bournemouth
  • Good attacking form with 3 goals in last match and 2.0 avg scored
  • Current 2-match winning streak, indicating momentum
Joao Gomes
Red Card
Suspended
E. Martinez
Finger Injury
Injured
M. Bizot
Back Injury
Injured
M. Cash
Muscle Injury
Injured
L. Goretzka
Knee Injury
Injured
T. Abraham
Injury
Injured
Alysson
Injury
Injured
I. Mbaye
Inactive
Injured
T. Harwood-Bellis
Off the roster
Injured
O. Watkins
Inactive
Injured
I. Maatsen
Ankle Injury
Injured
P. Torres
Injury
Injured
B. Madjo
Ankle Injury
Injured
A. Onana
Knee Injury
Injured
M. Cisse
Off the roster
Injured
L. Bailey
Muscle Injury
Injured
J. Manzambi
Knee Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
3Wins
3
Draws
Aston Villa
4Wins
Aston Villa
30%30%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb72026
BournemouthBournemouth
1-1
Draw
Aston VillaAston Villa
Nov92025
Aston VillaAston Villa
4-0
Loss
BournemouthBournemouth
May102025
BournemouthBournemouth
0-1
Loss
Aston VillaAston Villa
Oct262024
Aston VillaAston Villa
1-1
Draw
BournemouthBournemouth
Apr212024
Aston VillaAston Villa
3-1
Loss
BournemouthBournemouth
Dec32023
BournemouthBournemouth
2-2
Draw
Aston VillaAston Villa
Mar182023
Aston VillaAston Villa
3-0
Loss
BournemouthBournemouth
Aug62022
BournemouthBournemouth
2-0
Win
Aston VillaAston Villa
Feb12020
BournemouthBournemouth
2-1
Win
Aston VillaAston Villa
Aug172019
Aston VillaAston Villa
1-2
Win
BournemouthBournemouth

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa

Feb 7, 2026

35% / 26% / 39%

Bournemouth4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1Aston VillaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Bournemouth

12Out

11 key players

Aston Villa

17Out

16 key players

Bournemouth

Team

Bournemouth

Players Out

12(11 key)
R. Christie

R. Christie

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Araujo

J. Araujo

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. J. Kroupi

E. J. Kroupi

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

T. Adams

T. Adams

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Adli

A. Adli

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

V. Milosavljevic

V. Milosavljevic

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Aarons

M. Aarons

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Forster

F. Forster

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Gannon-Doak

B. Gannon-Doak

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Jebbison

D. Jebbison

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Sanchez

J. Sanchez

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Soler

J. Soler

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Aston Villa

Team

Aston Villa

Players Out

17(16 key)
Joao Gomes

Joao Gomes

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
E. Martinez

E. Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:Finger Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Bizot

M. Bizot

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

M. Cash

M. Cash

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

L. Goretzka

L. Goretzka

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

T. Abraham

T. Abraham

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Alysson

Alysson

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

I. Mbaye

I. Mbaye

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

T. Harwood-Bellis

T. Harwood-Bellis

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

O. Watkins

O. Watkins

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

I. Maatsen

I. Maatsen

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

P. Torres

P. Torres

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Madjo

B. Madjo

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

A. Onana

A. Onana

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Cisse

M. Cisse

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Bailey

L. Bailey

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Manzambi

J. Manzambi

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Draw

Confidence

Win Probabilities

34%Bournemouth
33%Draw
33%Aston Villa

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Oct 28 · 19:45
StadiumVitality Stadium
League StatsEFL Cup
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · BournemouthInjuries · Aston VillaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Bournemouth

LWDWD
  • LSep 20, 26H · Liverpool0-1
  • WSep 17, 26A · Real Sociedad1-2
  • DSep 12, 26H · Brentford2-2
  • WSep 8, 26H · Lincoln4-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · Newcastle2-2

Aston Villa

WWLWD
  • WSep 19, 26A · Tottenham2-3
  • WSep 16, 26A · Coventry1-3
  • LSep 12, 26H · Nottingham Forest1-2
  • WSep 8, 26A · Club Brugge KV2-3
  • DSep 5, 26A · Hull City0-0

Head to Head

3
Bournemouth
3
Draws
4
Aston Villa
  • Feb 7, 26Bournemouth – Aston Villa1-1
  • Nov 9, 25Aston Villa – Bournemouth4-0
  • May 10, 25Bournemouth – Aston Villa0-1
  • Oct 26, 24Aston Villa – Bournemouth1-1
  • Apr 21, 24Aston Villa – Bournemouth3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

BournemouthAston Villa
Played11
Goals Scored43
Goals Conceded01
Avg Scored4.03.0
Avg Conceded0.01.0
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BournemouthAston Villa
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Predicted line-ups: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Predicted XI

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Woodgate

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Unai Emery

  1. 1Z. Suzuki
  1. 3V. Lindelöf
  2. 5T. Mings
  3. 13M. Ruggeri
  4. 29A. Wan-Bissaka
  1. 26L. Bogarde
  2. 6R. Barkley
  1. 10E. Buendía
  2. 35João Gomes
  3. 8B. Kamara
  1. 17A. Garnacho
  1. 9Evanilson
  1. 8A. Scott
  2. 16M. Tavernier
  3. 27A. Tóth
  1. 24Juanlu Sánchez
  2. 4L. Cook
  1. 18B. Diakité
  2. 5J. Hill
  3. 14António Silva
  4. 15A. Smith
  1. 20M. Di Gregorio

Bench

  • 1Đ. Petrović
  • 3A. Truffert
  • 7D. Brooks
  • 37Rayan
  • 11B. Doak
  • 55M. Allan
  • 1K. Crampton

Out

  • R. Christie · Red Card
  • J. Araujo · Thigh Injury
  • E. J. Kroupi · Foot Injury
  • T. Adams · Injury
  • A. Adli · Calf Injury
  • V. Milosavljevic · Injury
  • M. Aarons · Off the roster
  • F. Forster · Off the roster

Bench

  • 42J. Wright
  • 7J. McGinn
  • 53George Hemmings
  • 11N. Jackson
  • 4T. Carroll
  • 48M. Cissé
  • 3R. Fortes

Out

  • Joao Gomes · Red Card
  • E. Martinez · Finger Injury
  • M. Bizot · Back Injury
  • M. Cash · Muscle Injury
  • L. Goretzka · Knee Injury
  • T. Abraham · Injury
  • Alysson · Injury
  • I. Mbaye · Inactive

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Bournemouth hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a superior defensive rating and home advantage, but Aston Villa's strong head-to-head record and winning momentum make this a tight contest. The main risk is the extensive injury lists for both sides, which could lead to an unpredictable outcome.

This EFL Cup tie between Bournemouth and Aston Villa is a tight, evenly-matched contest. With no market odds available, the neutral baseline and the API-Football model both point to a narrow edge for Bournemouth, largely due to home advantage and a superior defensive rating in the comparison data.…

Win Probabilities: Bournemouth: 34% · Draw: 33% · Aston Villa: 33%

H2H: Bournemouth wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Aston Villa wins: 4

Form (latest first): Bournemouth: LWDWD · Aston Villa: WWLWD

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