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  1. Home
  2. EFL Cup
  3. Derby vs Lincoln

Derby vs Lincoln

Prediction • EFL Cup·Derby·Lincoln

EFL Cup
EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026
14:00
PREDICTED WINNER
Derby

Derby

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Pride Park
Lincoln

Lincoln

Away
Stadium
Pride Park
Win Probabilities
50%
Derby
27%
Draw
23%
Lincoln
Home2.0050%
Draw3.7027%
Away4.3523%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Derby are the clear favourites, backed by superior form and a strong head-to-head record, while Lincoln are struggling with two consecutive losses. The main risk is Derby's inconsistency, which could allow Lincoln to snatch a result if they defend resolutely.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Derby
/10
4.0Lincoln
Derby
FormLatest first
LWLWL
Win Rate40%
Lincoln
FormLatest first
LLWLW
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

27°
Partly Cloudy
Wind
10 km/h
Humidity
28%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

Derby
Home

Derby

Form
LWLWL
Latest first
19
Pos
50
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Higher average goals scored (1.6 per game)
  • Better head-to-head record against Lincoln
  • Home advantage at Pride Park

Head to Head

Last 5
Derby
Derby
2Wins
2
Draws
Lincoln
1Wins
Lincoln
40%40%20%

Recent Matches

Last 5
Jan202024
LincolnLincoln
0-0
Draw
DerbyDerby
Dec212023
DerbyDerby
3-1
Win
LincolnLincoln
Sep192023
DerbyDerby
2-0
Win
LincolnLincoln
Feb142023
DerbyDerby
1-1
Draw
LincolnLincoln
Sep132022
LincolnLincoln
2-0
Loss
DerbyDerby
Derby4-3-3vs4-2-3-1LincolnPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

LincolnLincoln4-2-3-1
DerbyDerby4-3-3
LincolnBenchLincoln7
DerbyBenchDerby7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Derby

Confidence

Win Probabilities

50%Derby
27%Draw
23%Lincoln

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Aug 8 · 14:00
StadiumPride Park
League StatsEFL Cup

Statistical Context

Derby

LWLWL
  • LMay 2, 26H · Sheffield Utd1-2
  • WApr 25, 26A · QPR2-3
  • LApr 21, 26A · Norwich2-1
  • WApr 18, 26H · Oxford United1-0
  • LApr 11, 26A · Southampton2-1

Head to Head

2
Derby
2
Draws
1
Lincoln
  • Jan 20, 24Lincoln – Derby0-0
  • Dec 21, 23Derby – Lincoln3-1
  • Sep 19, 23Derby – Lincoln2-0
  • Feb 14, 23Derby – Lincoln1-1
  • Sep 13, 22Lincoln – Derby2-0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

DerbyLincoln
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored7/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Derby vs Lincoln — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Derby are the clear favourites, backed by superior form and a strong head-to-head record, while Lincoln are struggling with two consecutive losses. The main risk is Derby's inconsistency, which could allow Lincoln to snatch a result if they defend resolutely.

Derby enter this EFL Cup tie as the clear favourites, backed by a superior overall statistical profile and a favourable head-to-head record. The home side have won two of the last five meetings, with two draws, while Lincoln have managed just one victory.…

Win Probabilities: Derby: 50% · Draw: 27% · Lincoln: 23%

H2H: Derby wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Lincoln wins: 1

Form (latest first): Derby: LWLWL · Lincoln: LLWLW

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EFL Cup

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12.0050%
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Burnley
Aug 814:00
Notts County
12.5040%
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Leicester
Aug 814:00
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12.0050%
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West Ham
Aug 814:00
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12.0050%
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Aug 814:00
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12.0050%
X4.0025%
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Aug 814:00
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12.2245%
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Aug 814:00
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12.0050%
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24.0025%
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Aug 814:00
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12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
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