Liverpool are the clear favourites to progress at Anfield, with the market and the statistical model in full agreement on the outcome of this EFL Cup tie.
Form Analysis: Liverpool arrive on a five-match unbeaten streak, scoring at a healthy rate and keeping two clean sheets across that run. Tottenham, by contrast, are without a win in their last four and have failed to score in four of their last five matches — a blunt attacking record that makes a trip to Anfield especially difficult.
Key Factors: The head-to-head record is heavily lopsided in Liverpool's favour, with seven wins from the last ten meetings. Both squads are badly depleted, but Tottenham's absentees hit their defensive and attacking core, while Liverpool's depth at Anfield remains formidable. The wet, windy conditions favour a physical, direct approach — a style that suits the hosts' intensity.
Conclusion: The data points to a Liverpool victory. Tottenham's scoring drought and poor recent form make an away result unlikely, and the draw is a secondary threat at best. A home win is the most probable outcome, with a low-scoring game the most likely shape given Tottenham's struggles in front of goal.
