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Matches
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Pricing
  1. Home
  2. FA Cup
  3. Chelsea vs Leeds

Chelsea vs Leeds

Result • FA Cup·Chelsea·Leeds

FA Cup
FA Cup
Apr 26, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.05
X3.60
23.40
Stadium
Wembley Stadium
high Confidence
Leeds

Leeds

Away
Odds
12.05
X3.60
23.40
Stadium
Wembley Stadium
Win Probabilities
47%
Chelsea
31%
Draw
22%
Leeds
Home2.0547%
Draw3.6031%
Away3.4022%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Chelsea rising from recent struggles, their historical dominance guiding them past a resilient Leeds. Yet the visitors' defensive shield may delay the inevitable.

Our AI model analyzes this FA Cup fixture between Chelsea and Leeds using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Chelsea a 47% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Leeds a 22% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1K. Páez vs Leeds defense: Chelsea's top scorer will test Leeds' backline, which has been excellent recently.
2Pedro Neto vs Leeds midfield: Neto's creativity and dribbling could unlock Leeds' compact shape.
3L. Nmecha vs Chelsea defense: Leeds' main goal threat will look to capitalize on Chelsea's defensive weaknesses.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Chelsea

  • Strong attack (65% rating)
  • Dominant H2H record
  • 3-match losing streak
  • Failed to score in 4 of last 5

Leeds

  • 5-match unbeaten streak
  • 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Lower attack rating (35%)
  • Inconsistent scoring (failed to score in 2 of last 5)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
47%
API-Football
45%
46%
Chelsea463816

Moderate agreement on home win (46%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Chelsea are favored to win this FA Cup tie against Leeds, based on bookmaker odds and historical head-to-head dominance.

Form Analysis: Chelsea have lost three consecutive matches, while Leeds are unbeaten in five. However, Chelsea's attack (65% vs 35%) and defense (57% vs 43%) ratings are superior according to the API comparison.

Key Factors: Chelsea's strong H2H record (6 wins in last 10 meetings) and higher overall team strength (52.6% vs 47.4%) support a home win. Leeds' recent defensive solidity (3 clean sheets in 5) is a concern but not enough to overturn odds.

Conclusion: Despite recent form struggles, Chelsea's quality and historical edge should see them through, though Leeds will make it competitive.

Statistical ContextChelsea

Combo Winner : Chelsea and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
ChelseaLeeds
52%Strength47%
65%Attacking Potential35%
57%Defensive Potential43%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
41%Goals H2H59%
52%Wins the Game47%

Statistical Context

Chelsea

WWWLW
  • WAug 30, 26H · Brighton4-3
  • WAug 27, 26H · Luton2-0
  • WAug 24, 26A · Fulham2-3
  • LMay 24, 26A · Sunderland2-1
  • WMay 19, 26H · Tottenham2-1

Leeds

DWWLW
  • DAug 30, 26H · Brentford1-1
  • WAug 25, 26A · Nottingham Forest0-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · Nottingham Forest0-1
  • LMay 24, 26A · West Ham3-0
  • WMay 17, 26H · Brighton1-0

Head to Head

6
Chelsea
2
Draws
2
Leeds
  • Apr 26, 26Chelsea – Leeds1-0
  • Feb 10, 26Chelsea – Leeds2-2
  • Dec 3, 25Leeds – Chelsea3-1
  • Feb 28, 24Chelsea – Leeds3-2
  • Mar 4, 23Chelsea – Leeds1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

ChelseaLeeds
Played11
Goals Scored22
Goals Conceded00
Avg Scored2.02.0
Avg Conceded0.00.0
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ChelseaLeeds
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Chelsea vs Leeds — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Chelsea rising from recent struggles, their historical dominance guiding them past a resilient Leeds. Yet the visitors' defensive shield may delay the inevitable.

Chelsea are favored to win this FA Cup tie against Leeds, based on bookmaker odds and historical head-to-head dominance.

Form Analysis: Chelsea have lost three consecutive matches, while Leeds are unbeaten in five. However, Chelsea's attack (65% vs 35%) and defense (57% vs 43%) ratings are superior according to the API comparison.

Key Factors: Chelsea's strong H2H record (6 wins in last 10 meetings) and higher overall team strength (52.6% vs 47.4%) support a home win. Leeds' recent defensive solidity (3 clean sheets in 5) is a concern but not enough to overturn odds.

Conclusion: Despite recent form struggles, Chelsea's quality and historical edge should see them through, though Leeds will make it competitive.

Win Probabilities: Chelsea: 47% · Draw: 31% · Leeds: 22%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Chelsea wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Leeds wins: 2

Form (latest first): Chelsea: WWWLW · Leeds: DWWLW

  • K. Páez vs Leeds defense: Chelsea's top scorer will test Leeds' backline, which has been excellent recently.
  • Pedro Neto vs Leeds midfield: Neto's creativity and dribbling could unlock Leeds' compact shape.
  • L. Nmecha vs Chelsea defense: Leeds' main goal threat will look to capitalize on Chelsea's defensive weaknesses.

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FA Cup

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