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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Chelsea vs Brighton

Chelsea vs Brighton

Prediction • Premier League·Chelsea·Brighton

Premier League
Premier League
Aug 30, 2026
13:00
PREDICTED WINNER
Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
VS
VS
Odds
12.00
X3.60
23.40
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Brighton

Brighton

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.60
23.40
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Win Probabilities
44%
Chelsea
27%
Draw
29%
Brighton
Home2.0044%
Draw3.6027%
Away3.4029%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Chelsea are slight favourites at home, but Brighton's strong defensive form and Chelsea's inconsistency make this a tight contest. The main risk is Brighton's injury-hit attack failing to break down Chelsea's defence.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Chelsea
/10
4.0Brighton
Chelsea
FormLatest first
WWLWL
Win Rate60%
Brighton
FormLatest first
WWDLL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageChelsea+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

21°
Patchy rain nearby
Wind
20 km/h
Humidity
62%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

Chelsea
Home

Chelsea

Form
W
Latest first
4
Pos
69
Pts
+2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets1100%
Goal Diff+2
  • Solid home record with a moderate home advantage rating
  • Averaging 2.0 goals scored per game in recent matches
  • Unbeaten in their last three matches
W. Fofana
Red Card
Suspended
M. Caicedo
Injury
Injured
E. Emegha
Hamstring Injury
Injured
M. Sarr
Transfer negotiations
Injured
J. Henderson
Wrist Injury
Injured
M. Palestra
Injury
Injured
E. Fernandez
Coach's decision
Injured
A. Anselmino
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Chelsea
Chelsea
5Wins
0
Draws
Brighton
5Wins
Brighton
50%0%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr212026
BrightonBrighton
3-0
Loss
ChelseaChelsea
Sep272025
ChelseaChelsea
1-3
Loss
BrightonBrighton
Feb142025
BrightonBrighton
3-0
Loss
ChelseaChelsea
Feb82025
BrightonBrighton
2-1
Loss
ChelseaChelsea
Sep282024
ChelseaChelsea
4-2
Win
BrightonBrighton
May152024
BrightonBrighton
1-2
Win
ChelseaChelsea
Dec32023
ChelseaChelsea
3-2
Win
BrightonBrighton
Sep272023
ChelseaChelsea
1-0
Win
BrightonBrighton
Jul222023
ChelseaChelsea
4-3
Win
BrightonBrighton
Apr152023
ChelseaChelsea
1-2
Loss
BrightonBrighton

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea

Apr 21, 2026

43% / 33% / 24%

Chelsea4-3-3vs4-2-3-1BrightonPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

BrightonBrighton4-2-3-1
ChelseaChelsea4-3-3
BrightonBenchBrighton7
ChelseaBenchChelsea7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Chelsea

8Out

7 key players

Brighton

7Out

6 key players

Chelsea

Team

Chelsea

Players Out

8(7 key)
W. Fofana

W. Fofana

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
M. Caicedo

M. Caicedo

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Emegha

E. Emegha

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Sarr

M. Sarr

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Henderson

J. Henderson

MODERATE
Injury:Wrist Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Palestra

M. Palestra

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Fernandez

E. Fernandez

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Anselmino

A. Anselmino

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Brighton

Team

Brighton

Players Out

7(6 key)
J. Hinshelwood

J. Hinshelwood

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Ferguson

E. Ferguson

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Y. Minteh

Y. Minteh

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Baleba

C. Baleba

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

K. Mitoma

K. Mitoma

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Tzimas

S. Tzimas

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. O'Riley

M. O'Riley

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

Premier League

League Statistics

Premier League • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Manchester City
Manchester City
220062+46
2
Brighton
BrightonAway
110040+43
3
Arsenal
Arsenal
110030+33
4
Brentford
Brentford
110030+33
5
Everton
Everton
110020+23
6
Hull City
Hull City
110020+23
7
Chelsea
ChelseaHome
110032+13
8
Ipswich
Ipswich
110021+13
9
Leeds
Leeds
110010+13
10
Liverpool
Liverpool
10102201
11
Newcastle
Newcastle
10102201
12
Fulham
Fulham
100123-10
13
Sunderland
Sunderland
100112-10
14
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
100112-10
15
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
100101-10
16
Manchester United
Manchester United
100102-20
17
Tottenham
Tottenham
100103-30
18
Coventry
Coventry
100103-30
19
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
100104-40
20
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
200216-50
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Chelsea

Confidence

Win Probabilities

44%Chelsea
27%Draw
29%Brighton

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·22.00 · 3.60 · 3.40
KickoffSun, Aug 30 · 13:00
StadiumStamford Bridge
League StatsPremier League

Statistical Context

Chelsea

WWLWL
  • WAug 27, 26H · Luton2-0
  • WAug 24, 26A · Fulham2-3
  • LMay 24, 26A · Sunderland2-1
  • WMay 19, 26H · Tottenham2-1
  • LMay 16, 26H · Manchester City0-1

Brighton

WWDLL
  • WAug 27, 26H · Tromso4-0
  • WAug 23, 26H · Aston Villa4-0
  • DAug 20, 26A · Tromso0-0
  • LMay 24, 26H · Manchester United0-3
  • LMay 17, 26A · Leeds1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Manchester City2+46WW
2Brighton1+43W
3Arsenal1+33W
4Brentford1+33W
5Everton1+23W
6Hull City1+23W
7Chelsea1+13W
8Ipswich1+13W

Head to Head

5
Chelsea
0
Draws
5
Brighton
  • Apr 21, 26Brighton – Chelsea3-0
  • Sep 27, 25Chelsea – Brighton1-3
  • Feb 14, 25Brighton – Chelsea3-0
  • Feb 8, 25Brighton – Chelsea2-1
  • Sep 28, 24Chelsea – Brighton4-2

Season Statistics — 2026

ChelseaBrighton
Played1—
Goals Scored2—
Goals Conceded0—
Avg Scored2.0—
Avg Conceded0.0—
Clean Sheets1—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ChelseaBrighton
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Chelsea

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 39GM. Penders
  2. 34DJoshua Kofi Acheampong
  3. 29DPep Chavarría
  4. 6DL. Colwill
  5. 27DM. Gusto
  6. 99MV. Barco
  7. 25MM. Caicedo
  8. 14MDário Essugo
  9. 41AEstêvão
  10. 11AJ. Bynoe-Gittens
  11. 20AJoão Pedro

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Brighton

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 38GT. McGill
  2. 21DO. Boscagli
  3. 20DCostinha
  4. 29DM. De Cuyper
  5. 24DF. Kadıoğlu
  6. 26MY. Ayari
  7. 22MA. Cozier-Duberry
  8. 25MD. Gómez
  9. 13MP. Groß
  10. 8MJ. Hinshelwood
  11. 19AC. Kostoulas

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Chelsea vs Brighton — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Chelsea are slight favourites at home, but Brighton's strong defensive form and Chelsea's inconsistency make this a tight contest. The main risk is Brighton's injury-hit attack failing to break down Chelsea's defence.

Based on the available data, this is a tightly contested Premier League fixture at Stamford Bridge. The baseline model gives Chelsea a slight edge, but the API-Football comparison strongly favors Brighton, creating a conflicting picture.…

Win Probabilities: Chelsea: 44% · Draw: 27% · Brighton: 29%

H2H: Chelsea wins: 5 · Draws: 0 · Brighton wins: 5

Form (latest first): Chelsea: WWLWL · Brighton: WWDLL

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Aug 3013:00
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12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
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Sunderland
Aug 3013:00
Fulham
12.7836%
X3.3330%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
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11.6162%
X4.7621%
25.8817%
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17.6913%
X4.3523%
21.5664%
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Ipswich
Sep 419:00
Liverpool
15.5618%
X4.7621%
21.6461%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Newcastle
Sep 511:30
Bournemouth
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Fulham
Sep 514:00
Crystal Palace
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
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Manchester City
Sep 514:00
Coventry
11.2381%
X7.6913%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Brighton
Sep 514:00
Leeds
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Brentford
Sep 514:00
Sunderland
11.7557%
X3.8526%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Nottingham Forest
Sep 514:00
Tottenham
13.0333%
X3.4529%
22.6338%
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Premier LeagueEngland
Hull City
Sep 516:30
Aston Villa
13.7027%
X3.4529%
22.2744%
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Sep 613:00
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