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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Marseille vs Le Mans

Marseille vs Le Mans

Prediction • Ligue 1·Marseille·Le Mans

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Nov 22, 2026
19:45
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Marseille

Marseille

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Orange Vélodrome
Early projection · Odds pending
Le Mans

Le Mans

Away
Stadium
Orange Vélodrome
Win Probabilities
61%
Marseille
19%
Draw
20%
Le Mans
Home1.6461%
Draw5.2619%
Away5.0020%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Marseille are clear favourites to win, backed by superior attacking and defensive metrics and Le Mans' poor form. The main risk is Marseille's own inconsistent run and injury list, which could allow Le Mans to spring a surprise.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Marseille vs Le Mans.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Marseille
/10
2.0Le Mans
Marseille
FormLatest first
WLWLW
Win Rate60%
Le Mans
FormLatest first
DLLWD
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageMarseille+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Marseille
Home

Marseille

Form
LLWWW
Latest first
2
Pos
65
Pts
-4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 2 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-4
  • Superior attacking metrics (63% vs 38%)
  • Better defensive record (56% vs 44%)
  • Higher league position and goal difference
T. Weah
Red Card
Suspended
Q. Timber
Yellow Cards
Suspended
A. Koum Mbondo
Inactive
Injured
D. Cornelius
Hip Injury
Injured
A. Gouiri
Thigh Injury
Injured
P. Hojbjerg
Muscle Injury
Injured
G. Kondogbia
Thigh Injury
Injured
L. Balerdi
Calf Injury
Injured
T. Nnadi
Knee Injury
Injured
F. Moumbagna
Injury
Injured
K. Abdallah
Injury
Injured
I. Paixao
Muscle Injury
Injured
Le Mans
Away

Le Mans

Form
DWLLD
Latest first
15
Pos
7
Pts
-5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 7 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-5
  • Capable of scoring goals (10 in last 5)
  • Physical presence in midfield
D. Sidibe
Yellow Cards
Suspended
M. Rossignol
Injury
Injured
N. Kocik
Ankle Injury
Injured
A. Bourabaa
Ankle Injury
Injured
Y. Larouci
Groin Injury
Injured
H. Voyer
Thigh Injury
Injured
R. Bamba
Loan agreement
Injured
E. Colas
Injury
Injured
S. Yohou
Thigh Injury
Injured
T. Eyoum
Coach's decision
Injured
W. Harhouz
Coach's decision
Injured
E. Quarshie
Coach's decision
Injured
L. Buades
Knock
Injured

No Previous Meetings

These teams haven't faced each other in recent history

Marseille4-2-3-1vs3-1-4-2Le MansPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Marseille

12Out

10 key players

Le Mans

13Out

11 key players

Marseille

Team

Marseille

Players Out

12(10 key)
T. Weah

T. Weah

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
Q. Timber

Q. Timber

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
A. Koum Mbondo

A. Koum Mbondo

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

D. Cornelius

D. Cornelius

MODERATE
Injury:Hip Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Gouiri

A. Gouiri

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

P. Hojbjerg

P. Hojbjerg

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

G. Kondogbia

G. Kondogbia

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

L. Balerdi

L. Balerdi

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Nnadi

T. Nnadi

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

F. Moumbagna

F. Moumbagna

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

K. Abdallah

K. Abdallah

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

I. Paixao

I. Paixao

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Le Mans

Team

Le Mans

Players Out

13(11 key)
D. Sidibe

D. Sidibe

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
M. Rossignol

M. Rossignol

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

N. Kocik

N. Kocik

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

A. Bourabaa

A. Bourabaa

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Y. Larouci

Y. Larouci

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

H. Voyer

H. Voyer

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Bamba

R. Bamba

MODERATE
Injury:Loan agreement

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Colas

E. Colas

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Yohou

S. Yohou

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

T. Eyoum

T. Eyoum

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

W. Harhouz

W. Harhouz

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Quarshie

E. Quarshie

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Buades

L. Buades

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Ligue 1

League Statistics

Ligue 1 • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rennes
85121814+416
2
Lille
8431116+515
3
Monaco
8431117+415
4
Lyon
7421135+814
5
Paris Saint Germain
7421149+514
6
Paris FC
8422139+414
7
Lens
84131612+413
8
MarseilleHome
84041813+512
9
Lorient
833276+112
10
Nice
8323810-211
11
Toulouse
82421211+110
12
Auxerre
83141218-610
13
Stade Brestois 29
82331412+29
14
Angers
8224915-68
15
Le MansAway
81431116-57
16
Strasbourg
82151218-67
17
Estac Troyes
8125516-115
18
Le Havre
8026815-72
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Marseille

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

61%Marseille
19%Draw
20%Le Mans

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Nov 22 · 19:45
StadiumOrange Vélodrome
League StatsLigue 1
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · MarseilleInjuries · Le MansLive scores →

Statistical Context

Marseille

WLWLW
  • WOct 25, 26H · Le Havre4-3
  • LOct 22, 26A · Sturm Graz1-0
  • WOct 18, 26A · Angers2-5
  • LOct 15, 26H · Olympiakos Piraeus0-1
  • WOct 11, 26A · Estac Troyes0-2

Le Mans

DLLWD
  • DOct 25, 26A · Auxerre1-1
  • LOct 16, 26H · Toulouse0-3
  • LOct 10, 26A · Paris Saint Germain3-1
  • WSep 19, 26H · Lorient2-1
  • DSep 13, 26H · Lens2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Lens8+413WWWLD
8Marseille8+512WWWLL
9Lorient8+112DWWLD
10Nice8-211WLWWL
11Toulouse8+110DWDWD
12Auxerre8-610DWLWW
13Stade Brestois 298+29LDWLL
14Angers8-68DLLWD
15Le Mans8-57DLLWD
16Strasbourg8-67LLLLD

Season Statistics — 2026

MarseilleLe Mans
Played27
Goals Scored110
Goals Conceded515
Avg Scored0.51.4
Avg Conceded2.52.1
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MarseilleLe Mans
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Predicted line-ups: Marseille vs Le Mans

Predicted XI

Marseille

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: André Villas-Boas

Le Mans

3-1-4-2Formation· Coach: P. Videira

  1. 1E. Hatfout
  1. 15N. Boissé
  2. 19D. Sidibé
  3. 22L. Calodat
  1. 18L. Buadés
  1. 29L. Bretelle
  2. 8A. Lauray
  3. 23D. Traoré
  4. 10J. Vercruysse
  1. 7B. Brahimi
  2. 13H. Diallo
  1. 43T. Mmadi
  1. 77A. Harit
  2. 23P. Højbjerg
  3. 14Igor Paixão
  1. 8H. Abdelli
  2. 7A. Gomes
  1. 21N. Aguerd
  2. 74K. Bezahaf
  3. 4C. Egan-Riley
  4. 33Emerson
  1. 1J. de Lange

Bench

  • 40J. Van Neck
  • 25U. Garcia
  • 18B. Meité
  • 11N. Maupay
  • 92T. Vermot
  • 72Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani
  • 46E. Mbondo

Out

  • T. Weah · Red Card
  • Q. Timber · Yellow Cards
  • A. Koum Mbondo · Inactive
  • D. Cornelius · Hip Injury
  • A. Gouiri · Thigh Injury
  • P. Hojbjerg · Muscle Injury
  • G. Kondogbia · Thigh Injury
  • L. Balerdi · Calf Injury

Bench

  • 25D. Guèye
  • 14L. Mafouta
  • 9A. Rabillard
  • 55Augustin Delbecque
  • 14Enzo Vágner
  • 16João Vitor
  • 16Raúl Torrente

Out

  • D. Sidibe · Yellow Cards
  • M. Rossignol · Injury
  • N. Kocik · Ankle Injury
  • A. Bourabaa · Ankle Injury
  • Y. Larouci · Groin Injury
  • H. Voyer · Thigh Injury
  • R. Bamba · Loan agreement
  • E. Colas · Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Marseille vs Le Mans — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Marseille are clear favourites to win, backed by superior attacking and defensive metrics and Le Mans' poor form. The main risk is Marseille's own inconsistent run and injury list, which could allow Le Mans to spring a surprise.

Marseille are the clear favourites to win this Ligue 1 encounter against Le Mans, despite a recent dip in form. The baseline team-strength model gives them a significant edge, and the API-Football statistical comparison reinforces this with a 60.5% overall rating versus 39.8% for the visitors.…

Win Probabilities: Marseille: 61% · Draw: 19% · Le Mans: 20%

Form (latest first): Marseille: WLWLW · Le Mans: DLLWD

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 2619:30
Lyon
11.4967%
X4.7621%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Oct 3018:00
Paris Saint Germain
114.297%
X5.8817%
21.3276%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 3020:05
Lens
12.4441%
X3.0333%
23.8526%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Nice
Oct 3116:15
Rennes
13.8526%
X3.2331%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Oct 3119:45
Angers
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 3119:45
Stade Brestois 29
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Oct 3119:45
Le Mans
12.7836%
X3.1332%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Nov 114:00
Auxerre
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Nov 116:15
Monaco
12.4441%
X3.1332%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Nov 119:45
Toulouse
12.2245%
X3.5728%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Nov 619:45
Strasbourg
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Nov 716:15
Paris FC
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.0020%
21.6959%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 719:45
Estac Troyes
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
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Ligue 1France
Rennes
Nov 814:00
Lille
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Ligue 1France
Angers
Nov 816:15
Nice
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%
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