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Today's Tips
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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon

Result • Ligue 1·Paris Saint Germain·Lyon

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Oct 26, 2026
19:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.30
X5.00
27.50
Stadium
Parc des Princes
high Confidence
Lyon

Lyon

Away
Odds
11.30
X5.00
27.50
Stadium
Parc des Princes
Win Probabilities
69%
Paris Saint Germain
20%
Draw
11%
Lyon
Home1.3069%
Draw5.0020%
Away7.5011%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites, driven by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is their injury-hit squad potentially disrupting rhythm against a resilient Lyon side.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Paris Saint Germain and Lyon using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Paris Saint Germain a 69% win probability, a 20% chance of a draw, and Lyon a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 72%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 72%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Vitinha
    31'
    Yellow Card: VitinhaParis Saint Germain
  2. Yellow Card: Maghnes Akliouche
    51'
    Yellow Card: Maghnes AklioucheParis Saint Germain
  3. Substitution: Mika GodtsOut: João Neves
    57'
    Substitution: Mika GodtsParis Saint Germain · Out: João Neves
  4. Substitution: Lucas HernándezOut: Warren Zaire-Emery
    65'
    Substitution: Lucas HernándezParis Saint Germain · Out: Warren Zaire-Emery
  5. Substitution: Senny MayuluOut: Ferrán Torres
    65'
    Substitution: Senny MayuluParis Saint Germain · Out: Ferrán Torres
  6. Goal: Senny MayuluAssist: Mika Godts
    72'
    Goal: Senny MayuluParis Saint Germain · Assist: Mika Godts
  7. 74'
    Yellow Card: Ernest NuamahLyon
    Yellow Card: Ernest Nuamah
  8. 76'
    Substitution: Noah Teye NarteyLyon · Out: Khalis Merah
    Substitution: Noah Teye NarteyOut: Khalis Merah
  9. 76'
    Substitution: Ruben KluivertLyon · Out: Corentin Tolisso
    Substitution: Ruben KluivertOut: Corentin Tolisso
  10. Substitution: Quentin NdjantouOut: Maghnes Akliouche
    81'
    Substitution: Quentin NdjantouParis Saint Germain · Out: Maghnes Akliouche
  11. Substitution: Lucas BeraldoOut: Désiré Doue
    81'
    Substitution: Lucas BeraldoParis Saint Germain · Out: Désiré Doue
  12. 81'
    Substitution: Kail BoudacheLyon · Out: Julien Duranville
    Substitution: Kail BoudacheOut: Julien Duranville
  13. Goal: Mika GodtsAssist: Quentin Ndjantou
    84'
    Goal: Mika GodtsParis Saint Germain · Assist: Quentin Ndjantou
  14. 90+1'
    Substitution: Remi HimbertLyon · Out: Tyler Morton
    Substitution: Remi HimbertOut: Tyler Morton
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

3 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Lyon
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 8.7 – 2.3Real 7 – 4Paris Saint Germain more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 11.1Real 11chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 3.0Real 3Over 2.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 1-0Real 0-0chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 7.3 – 4.8Real 10 – 5Paris Saint Germain more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 19.0 – 11.6Real 17 – 8chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1O. Dembélé vs Abner: Dembélé's dribbling and pace will test Abner's defensive discipline; winning this duel could unlock PSG's attack.
2João Neves vs M. Bidstrup: Neves' control and vision against Bidstrup's energy and tackling will shape midfield dominance.
3D. Doué vs Z. Athekame: Doué's creativity and movement will challenge Athekame's positioning; success here could create scoring opportunities.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Paris Saint Germain

  • Explosive attacking form with 14 goals in last 5 matches
  • Dominant head-to-head record with 7 wins in last 10 meetings
  • Defensive vulnerabilities with 9 goals conceded in last 5
  • Several key players injured, including Marquinhos and Kvaratskhelia

Lyon

  • Solid defensive record with only 5 goals conceded in last 5
  • Effective counter-attacking ability with 13 goals scored
  • Missing key players like Tolisso and Openda due to injuries
  • Poor head-to-head record against PSG (2 wins in 10)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
69%
API-Football
45%
57%
Paris Saint Germain563311

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites to win this Ligue 1 encounter against Lyon at the Parc des Princes, with the bookmakers and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory.

Form Analysis: PSG are in scintillating form, having won their last five matches in a row, scoring 14 goals and conceding 9. Their attacking prowess is evident with an average of 3.2 goals per game. Lyon, on the other hand, have had a mixed run with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five, scoring 13 and conceding 5. While Lyon's form is decent, PSG's momentum is undeniable.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours PSG, who have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, with Lyon winning only 2. Additionally, PSG's home advantage at the Parc des Princes is significant, despite a mixed home record this season. Injuries could play a role, with both teams missing key players, but PSG's squad depth appears better equipped to cope. The weather conditions are neutral, which should not unduly affect either side.

Conclusion: Given the overwhelming odds, PSG's formidable form, and historical dominance, a home win is the most likely outcome. Lyon will need to produce a stellar performance to upset the odds.

Statistical ContextParis Saint Germain

Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Paris Saint GermainLyon
55%Strength44%
50%Attacking Potential50%
44%Defensive Potential56%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
60%Goals H2H40%
55%Wins the Game44%

More information

Ligue 1 predicted line-ups: Gameweek 119/9Head-to-headParis Saint Germain – LyonInjuriesParis Saint GermainInjuriesLyonLive scores

Statistical Context

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWW
  • WNov 7, 26H · Estac Troyes1-0
  • WNov 3, 26A · Villarreal0-6
  • WOct 30, 26A · Le Havre1-5
  • WOct 20, 26H · Barcelona4-2
  • WOct 17, 26A · Strasbourg1-3

Lyon

LDWLW
  • LNov 8, 26A · Stade Brestois 292-0
  • DNov 5, 26A · Real Sociedad1-1
  • WNov 1, 26H · Angers2-0
  • LOct 22, 26A · 1899 Hoffenheim3-0
  • WOct 18, 26H · Nice2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain10+1223WWWWW
2Lille10+721WWDDW
3Paris FC10+720WWLWL
4Marseille10+818WWWWW
5Lyon10+617LWLWL
6Nice10+317WWWLW

Head to Head

7
Paris Saint Germain
1
Draws
2
Lyon
  • Apr 19, 26Paris Saint Germain – Lyon1-2
  • Nov 9, 25Lyon – Paris Saint Germain2-3
  • Feb 23, 25Lyon – Paris Saint Germain2-3
  • Dec 15, 24Paris Saint Germain – Lyon3-1
  • May 25, 24Lyon – Paris Saint Germain1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Paris Saint GermainLyon
Played93
Goals Scored215
Goals Conceded106
Avg Scored2.31.7
Avg Conceded1.12.0
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Paris Saint GermainLyon
Over 2.5 Goals7/105/10
Both Teams Scored5/103/10
Clean Sheets4/105/10

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon — Match Analysis

Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites, driven by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is their injury-hit squad potentially disrupting rhythm against a resilient Lyon side.

Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites to win this Ligue 1 encounter against Lyon at the Parc des Princes, with the bookmakers and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory.

Form Analysis: PSG are in scintillating form, having won their last five matches in a row, scoring 14 goals and conceding 9. Their attacking prowess is evident with an average of 3.2 goals per game. Lyon, on the other hand, have had a mixed run with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five, scoring 13 and conceding 5. While Lyon's form is decent, PSG's momentum is undeniable.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours PSG, who have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, with Lyon winning only 2. Additionally, PSG's home advantage at the Parc des Princes is significant, despite a mixed home record this season. Injuries could play a role, with both teams missing key players, but PSG's squad depth appears better equipped to cope. The weather conditions are neutral, which should not unduly affect either side.

Conclusion: Given the overwhelming odds, PSG's formidable form, and historical dominance, a home win is the most likely outcome. Lyon will need to produce a stellar performance to upset the odds.

Win Probabilities: Paris Saint Germain: 69% · Draw: 20% · Lyon: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 75% · Under 2.5: 25% · BTTS: 72%

H2H: Paris Saint Germain wins: 7 · Draws: 1 · Lyon wins: 2

Form (latest first): Paris Saint Germain: WWWWW · Lyon: LDWLW

  • O. Dembélé vs Abner: Dembélé's dribbling and pace will test Abner's defensive discipline; winning this duel could unlock PSG's attack.
  • João Neves vs M. Bidstrup: Neves' control and vision against Bidstrup's energy and tackling will shape midfield dominance.
  • D. Doué vs Z. Athekame: Doué's creativity and movement will challenge Athekame's positioning; success here could create scoring opportunities.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Nov 2019:45
Le Havre
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Nov 2116:15
Paris Saint Germain
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Nov 2119:45
Lyon
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Nov 2119:45
Auxerre
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Nov 2119:45
Stade Brestois 29
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Nov 2119:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Nov 2214:00
Angers
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.2516%
28.3312%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Nov 2216:15
Rennes
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Nov 2219:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Nov 2719:45
Paris FC
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Nov 2816:15
Lens
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.5522%
21.9651%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Nov 2819:45
Estac Troyes
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 2819:45
Lorient
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Nov 2819:45
Strasbourg
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Nov 2819:45
Lille
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%

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