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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient

Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient

Result • Ligue 1·Paris Saint Germain·Lorient

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
May 2, 2026
15:00
high Confidence
DRAW
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 3-1
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 3-1
Odds
11.36
X5.75
27.00
Stadium
Parc des Princes
high Confidence
DRAW
Lorient

Lorient

Away
Odds
11.36
X5.75
27.00
Stadium
Parc des Princes
Win Probabilities
65%
Paris Saint Germain
22%
Draw
13%
Lorient
Home1.3665%
Draw5.7522%
Away7.0013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a dominant Parisian force overwhelming the Breton visitors. Ancient wisdom reveals a clear path to victory for the home side.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Paris Saint Germain and Lorient using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Paris Saint Germain a 65% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and Lorient a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 3-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. Goal: I. Mbaye
    6'
    Goal: I. MbayeParis Saint Germain
  2. 12'
    Goal: P. PagisLorient · Assist: P. Katseris
    Goal: P. PagisAssist: P. Katseris
  3. Yellow Card: L. Hernandez
    47'
    Yellow Card: L. HernandezParis Saint Germain
  4. Substitution: W. Zaire-EmeryOut: F. Ruiz
    61'
    Substitution: W. Zaire-EmeryParis Saint Germain · Out: F. Ruiz
  5. Substitution: J. NevesOut: I. Mbaye
    62'
    Substitution: J. NevesParis Saint Germain · Out: I. Mbaye
  6. Goal: W. Zaire-EmeryAssist: D. Doue
    62'
    Goal: W. Zaire-EmeryParis Saint Germain · Assist: D. Doue
  7. 72'
    Substitution: D. KarimLorient · Out: P. Pagis
    Substitution: D. KarimOut: P. Pagis
  8. 72'
    Substitution: A. TosinLorient · Out: B. Dieng
    Substitution: A. TosinOut: B. Dieng
  9. 73'
    Substitution: J. MakengoLorient · Out: A. Avom
    Substitution: J. MakengoOut: A. Avom
  10. Substitution: P. MounguengueOut: D. Doue
    75'
    Substitution: P. MounguengueParis Saint Germain · Out: D. Doue
  11. 78'
    Goal: A. TosinLorient
    Goal: A. Tosin
  12. 80'
    Substitution: D. YongwaLorient · Out: P. Katseris
    Substitution: D. YongwaOut: P. Katseris
  13. 90+1'
    Yellow Card: D. YongwaLorient
    Yellow Card: D. Yongwa
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Vitinha vs S. Soumano: Vitinha's creative midfield play vs Soumano's counter-attacking threat
2João Neves vs Lorient defense: Neves' goal-scoring runs vs Lorient's back three
3B. Barcola vs Lorient full-backs: Barcola's pace and dribbling vs Lorient's wide defenders
Strengths · Weaknesses

Paris Saint Germain

  • High-scoring attack averaging 2.8 goals per game
  • Excellent defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Occasional defensive lapses (conceded 1.2 per game)
  • Potential complacency against lower-ranked opponents

Lorient

  • Capable of scoring (42 goals in season)
  • Resilient in some away matches
  • Poor recent form (LWLDL)
  • Weak defense (conceded 1.4 per game, -5 GD)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
65%
API-Football
45%
55%
Paris Saint Germain543412

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Paris Saint Germain is predicted to win against Lorient based on overwhelming odds and statistical dominance.

Form Analysis: PSG are on a 3-match winning streak with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games, averaging 2.8 goals scored per match. Lorient have lost 3 of their last 5 (LWLDL) and failed to score in 2 of those games, averaging only 1.0 goals scored.

Key Factors: PSG sit 1st in Ligue 1 with 69 points and a +43 goal difference, while Lorient are 9th with 41 points and -5 GD. PSG have won 5 of the last 10 H2H meetings. No significant injuries for either side.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports a home win with high probability. PSG's superior form, attack (74% vs 26%), defense (70% vs 30%), and overall strength (70.7% vs 29.3%) make them clear favorites.

Statistical ContextParis Saint Germain

Winner : Paris Saint Germain

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Paris Saint GermainLorient
70%Strength29%
74%Attacking Potential26%
70%Defensive Potential30%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
57%Goals H2H43%
70%Wins the Game29%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Paris Saint GermainInjuries · LorientLive scores →

Statistical Context

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWL
  • WOct 10, 26H · Le Mans3-1
  • WSep 20, 26A · Marseille1-2
  • WSep 13, 26A · Stade Brestois 290-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Slovan Bratislava6-1
  • LSep 4, 26H · Monaco1-2

Lorient

WLDWL
  • WOct 10, 26H · Paris FC1-0
  • LSep 19, 26A · Le Mans2-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Toulouse2-2
  • WSep 5, 26A · Lens0-1
  • LAug 29, 26H · Estac Troyes1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Paris FC6+411LWDWW
6Paris Saint Germain6+311WWWLD
7Stade Brestois 296+38WLLWD
8Lorient608WLDWL
9Nice6-28WWLDL

Head to Head

5
Paris Saint Germain
3
Draws
2
Lorient
  • Oct 29, 25Lorient – Paris Saint Germain1-1
  • Apr 24, 24Lorient – Paris Saint Germain1-4
  • Aug 12, 23Paris Saint Germain – Lorient0-0
  • Apr 30, 23Paris Saint Germain – Lorient1-3
  • Nov 6, 22Lorient – Paris Saint Germain1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Paris Saint GermainLorient
Played55
Goals Scored85
Goals Conceded76
Avg Scored1.61.0
Avg Conceded1.41.2
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Paris Saint GermainLorient
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a dominant Parisian force overwhelming the Breton visitors. Ancient wisdom reveals a clear path to victory for the home side.

Paris Saint Germain is predicted to win against Lorient based on overwhelming odds and statistical dominance.

Form Analysis: PSG are on a 3-match winning streak with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games, averaging 2.8 goals scored per match. Lorient have lost 3 of their last 5 (LWLDL) and failed to score in 2 of those games, averaging only 1.0 goals scored.

Key Factors: PSG sit 1st in Ligue 1 with 69 points and a +43 goal difference, while Lorient are 9th with 41 points and -5 GD. PSG have won 5 of the last 10 H2H meetings. No significant injuries for either side.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports a home win with high probability. PSG's superior form, attack (74% vs 26%), defense (70% vs 30%), and overall strength (70.7% vs 29.3%) make them clear favorites.

Win Probabilities: Paris Saint Germain: 65% · Draw: 22% · Lorient: 13%

Predicted Score: 3-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 68% · Under 2.5: 32% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Paris Saint Germain wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Lorient wins: 2

Form (latest first): Paris Saint Germain: WWWWL · Lorient: WLDWL

  • Vitinha vs S. Soumano: Vitinha's creative midfield play vs Soumano's counter-attacking threat
  • João Neves vs Lorient defense: Neves' goal-scoring runs vs Lorient's back three
  • B. Barcola vs Lorient full-backs: Barcola's pace and dribbling vs Lorient's wide defenders

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Oct 1618:45
Toulouse
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Oct 1715:15
Paris Saint Germain
14.7621%
X4.3523%
21.7956%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1718:45
Stade Brestois 29
11.6959%
X3.8526%
26.6715%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Oct 1718:45
Lens
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Oct 1813:00
Marseille
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1815:15
Monaco
14.5522%
X3.2331%
22.1347%
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Oct 1815:15
Auxerre
12.4441%
X3.0333%
23.8526%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Oct 1815:15
Rennes
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Oct 1818:45
Nice
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 2318:45
Nice
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Oct 2415:15
Estac Troyes
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 2418:45
Paris FC
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 2514:00
Lille
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Oct 2516:15
Lorient
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Oct 2516:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%

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