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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29

Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29

Result • Ligue 1·Paris FC·Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
May 3, 2026
15:15
medium Confidence
WINNER
Paris FC

Paris FC

Home
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.00
X3.60
23.60
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
medium Confidence
Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.60
23.60
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
Win Probabilities
47%
Paris FC
31%
Draw
22%
Stade Brestois 29
Home2.0047%
Draw3.6031%
Away3.6022%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Paris FC rising like the morning sun, their form a beacon against Brest's fading light. Yet the winds of history blow from Brest, a reminder that shadows can lengthen.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Paris FC and Stade Brestois 29 using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Paris FC a 47% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Stade Brestois 29 a 22% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. Goal: R. Matondo
    13'
    Goal: R. MatondoParis FC
  2. Goal: W. GeubbelsAssist: J. Ikone
    20'
    Goal: W. GeubbelsParis FC · Assist: J. Ikone
  3. Yellow Card: H. Traore
    24'
    Yellow Card: H. TraoreParis FC
  4. 26'
    Yellow Card: B. ChardonnetStade Brestois 29
    Yellow Card: B. Chardonnet
  5. Yellow Card: M. Mbow
    35'
    Yellow Card: M. MbowParis FC
  6. 60'
    Substitution: J. Dina EbimbeStade Brestois 29 · Out: R. Labeau Lascary
    Substitution: J. Dina EbimbeOut: R. Labeau Lascary
  7. 60'
    Substitution: H. MakalouStade Brestois 29 · Out: L. Tousart
    Substitution: H. MakalouOut: L. Tousart
  8. Substitution: M. LopezOut: I. Kebbal
    65'
    Substitution: M. LopezParis FC · Out: I. Kebbal
  9. Substitution: L. KoleoshoOut: W. Geubbels
    65'
    Substitution: L. KoleoshoParis FC · Out: W. Geubbels
  10. Goal: R. Matondo
    67'
    Goal: R. MatondoParis FC
  11. 70'
    Substitution: K. DoumbiaStade Brestois 29 · Out: H. Magnetti
    Substitution: K. DoumbiaOut: H. Magnetti
  12. 71'
    Substitution: M. BaldeStade Brestois 29 · Out: R. Del Castillo
    Substitution: M. BaldeOut: R. Del Castillo
  13. Substitution: V. MarchettiOut: R. Matondo
    77'
    Substitution: V. MarchettiParis FC · Out: R. Matondo
  14. Substitution: C. ImmobileOut: J. Ikone
    77'
    Substitution: C. ImmobileParis FC · Out: J. Ikone
  15. 83'
    Substitution: P. MboupStade Brestois 29 · Out: J. Chotard
    Substitution: P. MboupOut: J. Chotard
  16. Substitution: T. OllilaOut: H. Traore
    85'
    Substitution: T. OllilaParis FC · Out: H. Traore
  17. Goal: L. KoleoshoAssist: V. Marchetti
    89'
    Goal: L. KoleoshoParis FC · Assist: V. Marchetti
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1I. Kebbal vs Brest midfield: Kebbal's creativity will test Brest's defensive midfield, especially with Doumbia doubtful.
2R. Del Castillo vs Paris FC defense: Del Castillo's pace and finishing could exploit Paris FC's lack of clean sheets.
3L. Ajorque vs Paris FC center-backs: Ajorque's physical presence in the air may trouble Paris FC's defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Paris FC

  • Strong recent form (3 wins in 5)
  • High attack rating (61%)
  • No clean sheets in last 5
  • Injury doubt for key player Koleosho

Stade Brestois 29

  • Historical H2H advantage (3 wins in last 5)
  • Key scorer Del Castillo (6 goals)
  • Winless in 5 matches (DDLLL)
  • Poor defense (conceding 2.6 per game)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
47%
API-Football
45%
46%
Paris FC463816

Moderate agreement on home win (46%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Paris FC is favored to win based on superior recent form, stronger attack and defense metrics, and home advantage, despite Brest's slight edge in head-to-head history.

Form Analysis: Paris FC has won 3 of their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Brest is winless in 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded, with 2 matches failing to score. Paris FC's momentum is clearly stronger.

Key Factors: 1) Paris FC's attack (61%) and defense (68%) ratings significantly outperform Brest's (39% and 32%). 2) Brest's poor form and defensive fragility (conceding 2.6 per game) are critical weaknesses. 3) Home advantage (0.55 rating) and physical conditions (rain, wind) favor Paris FC's style.

Conclusion: Paris FC's form and statistical advantages outweigh Brest's historical H2H edge. Expect a home win with goals, as both teams have defensive vulnerabilities.

Statistical ContextParis FC

Double chance : Paris FC or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Paris FCStade Brestois 29
58%Strength42%
61%Attacking Potential39%
68%Defensive Potential32%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
44%Goals H2H56%
58%Wins the Game42%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Paris FCInjuries · Stade Brestois 29Live scores →

Statistical Context

Paris FC

LWDWW
  • LOct 10, 26A · Lorient1-0
  • WSep 19, 26H · Strasbourg2-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · Lyon0-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Marseille2-3
  • WAug 30, 26H · Nice3-0

Stade Brestois 29

WLLWD
  • WOct 10, 26H · Angers5-1
  • LSep 20, 26A · Auxerre2-1
  • LSep 13, 26H · Paris Saint Germain0-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · Le Havre1-2
  • DAug 29, 26H · Toulouse2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Lyon6+711LWDWD
5Paris FC6+411LWDWW
6Paris Saint Germain6+311WWWLD
7Stade Brestois 296+38WLLWD
8Lorient608WLDWL

Head to Head

1
Paris FC
5
Draws
3
Stade Brestois 29
  • Sep 14, 25Stade Brestois 29 – Paris FC1-2
  • Jan 21, 19Paris FC – Stade Brestois 290-1
  • Aug 10, 18Stade Brestois 29 – Paris FC1-1
  • Feb 24, 18Paris FC – Stade Brestois 290-1
  • Sep 22, 17Stade Brestois 29 – Paris FC1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Paris FCStade Brestois 29
Played65
Goals Scored87
Goals Conceded48
Avg Scored1.31.4
Avg Conceded0.71.6
Clean Sheets30

Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29 — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Paris FC rising like the morning sun, their form a beacon against Brest's fading light. Yet the winds of history blow from Brest, a reminder that shadows can lengthen.

Paris FC is favored to win based on superior recent form, stronger attack and defense metrics, and home advantage, despite Brest's slight edge in head-to-head history.

Form Analysis: Paris FC has won 3 of their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Brest is winless in 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded, with 2 matches failing to score. Paris FC's momentum is clearly stronger.

Key Factors: 1) Paris FC's attack (61%) and defense (68%) ratings significantly outperform Brest's (39% and 32%). 2) Brest's poor form and defensive fragility (conceding 2.6 per game) are critical weaknesses. 3) Home advantage (0.55 rating) and physical conditions (rain, wind) favor Paris FC's style.

Conclusion: Paris FC's form and statistical advantages outweigh Brest's historical H2H edge. Expect a home win with goals, as both teams have defensive vulnerabilities.

Win Probabilities: Paris FC: 47% · Draw: 31% · Stade Brestois 29: 22%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Paris FC wins: 1 · Draws: 5 · Stade Brestois 29 wins: 3

Form (latest first): Paris FC: LWDWW · Stade Brestois 29: WLLWD

  • I. Kebbal vs Brest midfield: Kebbal's creativity will test Brest's defensive midfield, especially with Doumbia doubtful.
  • R. Del Castillo vs Paris FC defense: Del Castillo's pace and finishing could exploit Paris FC's lack of clean sheets.
  • L. Ajorque vs Paris FC center-backs: Ajorque's physical presence in the air may trouble Paris FC's defense.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Oct 1618:45
Toulouse
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Oct 1715:15
Paris Saint Germain
14.7621%
X4.3523%
21.7956%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1718:45
Stade Brestois 29
11.6959%
X3.8526%
26.6715%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Oct 1718:45
Lens
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Oct 1813:00
Marseille
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1815:15
Monaco
14.5522%
X3.2331%
22.1347%
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Oct 1815:15
Auxerre
12.4441%
X3.0333%
23.8526%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Oct 1815:15
Rennes
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Oct 1818:45
Nice
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 2318:45
Nice
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Oct 2415:15
Estac Troyes
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 2418:45
Paris FC
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 2514:00
Lille
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Oct 2516:15
Lorient
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Oct 2516:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%

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