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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain

Result • Ligue 1·Paris FC·Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
May 17, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Paris FC

Paris FC

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
15.00
X4.50
21.57
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
medium Confidence
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Away
Odds
15.00
X4.50
21.57
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
Win Probabilities
30%
Paris FC
33%
Draw
37%
Paris Saint Germain
Home5.0030%
Draw4.5033%
Away1.5737%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Paris Saint Germain's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Paris FC and Paris Saint Germain using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Paris FC a 30% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Paris Saint Germain a 37% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 27'
    Substitution: G. RamosParis Saint Germain · Out: O. Dembele
    Substitution: G. RamosOut: O. Dembele
  2. 46'
    Substitution: D. FernandezParis Saint Germain · Out: D. Lucea
    Substitution: D. FernandezOut: D. Lucea
  3. 50'
    Goal: B. BarcolaParis Saint Germain · Assist: F. Ruiz
    Goal: B. BarcolaAssist: F. Ruiz
  4. 58'
    Substitution: Lee Kang-InParis Saint Germain · Out: W. Zaire-Emery
    Substitution: Lee Kang-InOut: W. Zaire-Emery
  5. 58'
    Substitution: I. MbayeParis Saint Germain · Out: B. Barcola
    Substitution: I. MbayeOut: B. Barcola
  6. 58'
    Substitution: S. MayuluParis Saint Germain · Out: K. Kvaratskhelia
    Substitution: S. MayuluOut: K. Kvaratskhelia
  7. Substitution: M. LopezOut: M. Simon
    67'
    Substitution: M. LopezParis FC · Out: M. Simon
  8. Substitution: A. GoryOut: J. Ikone
    67'
    Substitution: A. GoryParis FC · Out: J. Ikone
  9. Substitution: I. KebbalOut: M. Munetsi
    67'
    Substitution: I. KebbalParis FC · Out: M. Munetsi
  10. Substitution: L. KoleoshoOut: W. Geubbels
    68'
    Substitution: L. KoleoshoParis FC · Out: W. Geubbels
  11. 68'
    Substitution: J. NevesParis Saint Germain · Out: Vitinha
    Substitution: J. NevesOut: Vitinha
  12. Goal: A. GoryAssist: P. Lees-Melou
    76'
    Goal: A. GoryParis FC · Assist: P. Lees-Melou
  13. Substitution: V. MarchettiOut: R. Matondo
    77'
    Substitution: V. MarchettiParis FC · Out: R. Matondo
  14. Substitution: H. TraoreOut: Otavio
    84'
    Substitution: H. TraoreParis FC · Out: Otavio
  15. Yellow Card: M. Lopez
    90+1'
    Yellow Card: M. LopezParis FC
  16. Yellow Card: A. Gory
    90+4'
    Yellow Card: A. GoryParis FC
  17. Goal: A. GoryAssist: L. Koleosho
    90+4'
    Goal: A. GoryParis FC · Assist: L. Koleosho
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1I. Kebbal vs PSG midfield: Kebbal's creativity will test PSG's defensive midfield, especially with injuries to Zaire-Emery and Mendes.
2J. Ikoné vs N. Mendes (if fit): Ikoné's pace could exploit Mendes' potential lack of match fitness.
3B. Barcola vs Paris FC defense: Barcola's goal-scoring form will challenge a solid Paris FC backline.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Paris FC

  • Solid defense conceding only 1.0 goals per game
  • Good home form with recent wins
  • Inconsistent form with 2 losses in last 5
  • Lower league position (11th) and negative goal difference

Paris Saint Germain

  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches with 4 wins
  • Top of the league with +46 goal difference
  • Several key players doubtful due to injuries
  • Defense has been leaky, conceding 1.4 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
37%
API-Football
45%
41%
Paris Saint Germain203941

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The match between Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain is expected to be a closely contested affair, with PSG holding a slight edge. Bookmaker odds imply a near-even split, but PSG's superior form and league standing give them a marginal advantage.

Form Analysis: PSG are unbeaten in their last five matches (WWDWW), while Paris FC have a mixed record (LWLWW). PSG's attack has been potent, averaging 2.2 goals per game, but their defense has conceded 1.4 per game. Paris FC have scored 2.4 per game but conceded only 1.0, showing defensive solidity.

Key Factors: PSG's overall quality and depth, despite multiple injuries, remain superior. Paris FC's home advantage and strong defense could frustrate PSG. The head-to-head record favors PSG (2 wins in 3 meetings), but Paris FC have won once.

Conclusion: PSG are slight favorites due to their attacking firepower and league dominance, but Paris FC's resilience at home makes a draw a strong possibility. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a narrow PSG win.

Statistical ContextParis Saint Germain

Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Paris FCParis Saint Germain
37%Strength62%
52%Attacking Potential48%
29%Defensive Potential71%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
33%H2H Strength67%
43%Goals H2H57%
37%Wins the Game62%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Paris FCInjuries · Paris Saint Germain

Statistical Context

Paris FC

DWWDL
  • DSep 12, 26H · Lyon0-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Marseille2-3
  • WAug 30, 26H · Nice3-0
  • DAug 22, 26A · Estac Troyes0-0
  • LMay 10, 26A · Rennes2-1

Paris Saint Germain

WWLDD
  • WSep 13, 26A · Stade Brestois 290-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Slovan Bratislava6-1
  • LSep 4, 26H · Monaco1-2
  • DAug 28, 26A · Lille2-2
  • DAug 23, 26H · Rennes2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Lyon4+48DWDW
5Paris FC4+48DWWD
6Strasbourg4+17DWWL
7Stade Brestois 29405LWDD
8Paris Saint Germain405WLDD
9Lorient405DWLD

Head to Head

2
Paris FC
0
Draws
1
Paris Saint Germain
  • Jan 12, 26Paris Saint Germain – Paris FC0-1
  • Jan 4, 26Paris Saint Germain – Paris FC2-1
  • Dec 16, 22Paris Saint Germain – Paris FC2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Paris FCParis Saint Germain
Played33
Goals Scored65
Goals Conceded26
Avg Scored2.01.7
Avg Conceded0.72.0
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Paris FCParis Saint Germain
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Paris Saint Germain's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

The match between Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain is expected to be a closely contested affair, with PSG holding a slight edge. Bookmaker odds imply a near-even split, but PSG's superior form and league standing give them a marginal advantage.

Form Analysis: PSG are unbeaten in their last five matches (WWDWW), while Paris FC have a mixed record (LWLWW). PSG's attack has been potent, averaging 2.2 goals per game, but their defense has conceded 1.4 per game. Paris FC have scored 2.4 per game but conceded only 1.0, showing defensive solidity.

Key Factors: PSG's overall quality and depth, despite multiple injuries, remain superior. Paris FC's home advantage and strong defense could frustrate PSG. The head-to-head record favors PSG (2 wins in 3 meetings), but Paris FC have won once.

Conclusion: PSG are slight favorites due to their attacking firepower and league dominance, but Paris FC's resilience at home makes a draw a strong possibility. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a narrow PSG win.

Win Probabilities: Paris FC: 30% · Draw: 33% · Paris Saint Germain: 37%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Paris FC wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · Paris Saint Germain wins: 1

Form (latest first): Paris FC: DWWDL · Paris Saint Germain: WWLDD

  • I. Kebbal vs PSG midfield: Kebbal's creativity will test PSG's defensive midfield, especially with injuries to Zaire-Emery and Mendes.
  • J. Ikoné vs N. Mendes (if fit): Ikoné's pace could exploit Mendes' potential lack of match fitness.
  • B. Barcola vs Paris FC defense: Barcola's goal-scoring form will challenge a solid Paris FC backline.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Sep 1818:45
Lens
12.3343%
X3.2331%
23.8526%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Sep 1915:15
Strasbourg
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Sep 1918:45
Estac Troyes
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Sep 1918:45
Rennes
12.1347%
X3.4529%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Sep 1918:45
Le Havre
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Sep 1918:45
Lorient
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Sep 2013:00
Stade Brestois 29
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Sep 2015:15
Lille
14.7621%
X3.3330%
22.0449%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Sep 2018:45
Paris Saint Germain
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 918:45
Lyon
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1015:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 1018:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 1018:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1018:45
Paris FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 1018:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%

Betting Tips

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