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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Saint Etienne vs Rodez

Saint Etienne vs Rodez

Result • Ligue 1·Saint Etienne·Rodez

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
May 15, 2026
18:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.75
X3.80
24.20
Stadium
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
high Confidence
DRAW
Rodez

Rodez

Away
Odds
11.75
X3.80
24.20
Stadium
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Win Probabilities
50%
Saint Etienne
29%
Draw
21%
Rodez
Home1.7550%
Draw3.8029%
Away4.2021%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Saint Etienne's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Rodez, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Saint Etienne and Rodez using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Saint Etienne a 50% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Rodez a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: A. MoueffekOut: J. Duffus
    60'
    Substitution: A. MoueffekSaint Etienne · Out: J. Duffus
  2. Yellow Card: A. Kante
    64'
    Yellow Card: A. KanteSaint Etienne
  3. 67'
    Substitution: E. Jean-LambertRodez · Out: R. Ponti
    Substitution: E. Jean-LambertOut: R. Ponti
  4. Substitution: M. NadeOut: J. Le Cardinal
    71'
    Substitution: M. NadeSaint Etienne · Out: J. Le Cardinal
  5. Substitution: D. N'GuessanOut: I. Cardona
    71'
    Substitution: D. N'GuessanSaint Etienne · Out: I. Cardona
  6. 72'
    Substitution: K. NageraRodez · Out: I. Balde
    Substitution: K. NageraOut: I. Balde
  7. 72'
    Substitution: M. SakaRodez · Out: J. Mendes
    Substitution: M. SakaOut: J. Mendes
  8. 79'
    Substitution: O. JolyRodez · Out: W. Younoussa
    Substitution: O. JolyOut: W. Younoussa
  9. 79'
    Substitution: S. BenchammaRodez · Out: A. Trouillet
    Substitution: S. BenchammaOut: A. Trouillet
  10. 83'
    Yellow Card: S. BenchammaRodez
    Yellow Card: S. Benchamma
  11. Substitution: B. MaubleuOut: G. Larsonneur
    90+2'
    Substitution: B. MaubleuSaint Etienne · Out: G. Larsonneur
  12. Substitution: J. FerreiraOut: L. Gadegbeku
    90+2'
    Substitution: J. FerreiraSaint Etienne · Out: L. Gadegbeku
  13. Missed penalty: M. MagninRodez · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: M. MagninPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
  14. Penalty: Z. Davitashvili (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: Z. Davitashvili (Penalty)Saint Etienne · Penalty shootout
  15. Missed penalty: R. LipinskiRodez · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: R. LipinskiPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
  16. Penalty: L. Stassin (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: L. Stassin (Penalty)Saint Etienne · Penalty shootout
  17. Penalty: E. Jean-Lambert (Penalty)Rodez · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: E. Jean-Lambert (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  18. Missed penalty: B. OldPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: B. OldSaint Etienne · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
  19. Penalty: M. Saka (Penalty)Rodez · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: M. Saka (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  20. Penalty: J. Ferreira (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: J. Ferreira (Penalty)Saint Etienne · Penalty shootout
  21. Penalty: T. Arconte (Penalty)Rodez · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: T. Arconte (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  22. Missed penalty: A. MoueffekPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: A. MoueffekSaint Etienne · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
  23. Penalty: K. Nagera (Penalty)Rodez · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: K. Nagera (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  24. Penalty: D. N'Guessan (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: D. N'Guessan (Penalty)Saint Etienne · Penalty shootout
  25. Penalty: S. Benchamma (Penalty)Rodez · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: S. Benchamma (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  26. Penalty: A. Kante (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: A. Kante (Penalty)Saint Etienne · Penalty shootout
  27. Penalty: O. Joly (Penalty)Rodez · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: O. Joly (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  28. Penalty: M. Bernauer (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: M. Bernauer (Penalty)Saint Etienne · Penalty shootout
  29. Missed penalty: N. GalvesRodez · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: N. GalvesPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
  30. Missed penalty: B. MaubleuPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: B. MaubleuSaint Etienne · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
  31. Missed penalty: L. LaurentRodez · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: L. LaurentPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
  32. Penalty: M. Nade (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: M. Nade (Penalty)Saint Etienne · Penalty shootout
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Z. Davitashvili vs Rodez defense: Saint Etienne's top scorer will test Rodez's backline with his pace and finishing.
2T. Arconte vs Saint Etienne defense: Rodez's main threat will look to exploit any defensive lapses.
3Midfield battle: Saint Etienne's midfield creativity vs Rodez's compact shape will be crucial.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Saint Etienne

  • Strong attack (rated 100%)
  • Home advantage
  • Poor recent form (2 wins in last 5)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (conceded 1.6 avg)

Rodez

  • Excellent recent form (5 unbeaten)
  • Strong defense (rated 100%)
  • Attack rated 0%
  • Two key players doubtful (Larsonneur, Duffus)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
50%
API-Football
50%
50%
Saint Etienne504011

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (50%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Saint Etienne is predicted to win based on strong home advantage and superior overall team strength, despite recent poor form.

Form Analysis: Saint Etienne has lost 3 of their last 5 matches (WLLLW), while Rodez is on a 5-match unbeaten streak (WWDWW). However, Saint Etienne's home record and higher overall rating (67.5% vs 32.5%) suggest they can overcome recent struggles.

Key Factors: 1) Saint Etienne's attack is rated 100% compared to Rodez's 0%, indicating a significant offensive advantage. 2) Rodez has two key players doubtful (G. Larsonneur and J. Duffus), weakening their defense. 3) Head-to-head is balanced (2 wins each, 3 draws), but Saint Etienne has home advantage.

Conclusion: Despite Rodez's better recent form, Saint Etienne's overall quality and home support should secure a narrow victory.

Statistical ContextSaint Etienne

Double chance : Saint Etienne or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Saint EtienneRodez
67%Strength32%
50%Attacking Potential100%
100%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
73%Goals H2H27%
67%Wins the Game32%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Saint EtienneInjuries · RodezLive scores →

Statistical Context

Saint Etienne

WDLWW
  • WOct 10, 26H · Rodez2-0
  • DSep 19, 26A · Metz2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Dunkerque2-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Montpellier3-1
  • WAug 31, 26A · Dijon2-3

Rodez

LLLLD
  • LOct 10, 26A · Saint Etienne2-0
  • LSep 18, 26H · Nancy3-4
  • LSep 11, 26H · Grenoble0-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Metz4-1
  • DAug 28, 26H · PAU2-2

Head to Head

2
Saint Etienne
4
Draws
3
Rodez
  • May 15, 26Saint Etienne – Rodez0-0
  • May 2, 26Rodez – Saint Etienne2-1
  • Aug 16, 25Saint Etienne – Rodez4-0
  • May 24, 24Saint Etienne – Rodez2-0
  • May 10, 24Saint Etienne – Rodez1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Saint EtienneRodez
Played77
Goals Scored1914
Goals Conceded816
Avg Scored2.72.0
Avg Conceded1.12.3
Clean Sheets20

Saint Etienne vs Rodez — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Saint Etienne's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Rodez, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Saint Etienne is predicted to win based on strong home advantage and superior overall team strength, despite recent poor form.

Form Analysis: Saint Etienne has lost 3 of their last 5 matches (WLLLW), while Rodez is on a 5-match unbeaten streak (WWDWW). However, Saint Etienne's home record and higher overall rating (67.5% vs 32.5%) suggest they can overcome recent struggles.

Key Factors: 1) Saint Etienne's attack is rated 100% compared to Rodez's 0%, indicating a significant offensive advantage. 2) Rodez has two key players doubtful (G. Larsonneur and J. Duffus), weakening their defense. 3) Head-to-head is balanced (2 wins each, 3 draws), but Saint Etienne has home advantage.

Conclusion: Despite Rodez's better recent form, Saint Etienne's overall quality and home support should secure a narrow victory.

Win Probabilities: Saint Etienne: 50% · Draw: 29% · Rodez: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Saint Etienne wins: 2 · Draws: 4 · Rodez wins: 3

Form (latest first): Saint Etienne: WDLWW · Rodez: LLLLD

  • Z. Davitashvili vs Rodez defense: Saint Etienne's top scorer will test Rodez's backline with his pace and finishing.
  • T. Arconte vs Saint Etienne defense: Rodez's main threat will look to exploit any defensive lapses.
  • Midfield battle: Saint Etienne's midfield creativity vs Rodez's compact shape will be crucial.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Oct 1618:45
Toulouse
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Oct 1715:15
Paris Saint Germain
14.7621%
X4.3523%
21.7956%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1718:45
Stade Brestois 29
11.6959%
X3.8526%
26.6715%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Oct 1718:45
Lens
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Oct 1813:00
Marseille
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1815:15
Monaco
14.5522%
X3.2331%
22.1347%
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Oct 1815:15
Auxerre
12.4441%
X3.0333%
23.8526%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Oct 1815:15
Rennes
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Oct 1818:45
Nice
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 2318:45
Nice
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Oct 2415:15
Estac Troyes
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 2418:45
Paris FC
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 2514:00
Lille
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Oct 2516:15
Lorient
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Oct 2516:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%

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