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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse

Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse

Result • Ligue 1·Stade Brestois 29·Toulouse

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Aug 29, 2026
18:45
low Confidence
DRAW
Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.77
X3.44
22.76
Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble
low Confidence
DRAW
Toulouse

Toulouse

Away
Odds
12.77
X3.44
22.76
Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Win Probabilities
40%
Stade Brestois 29
31%
Draw
29%
Toulouse
Home2.7740%
Draw3.4431%
Away2.7629%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Stade Brestois 29 are favored at 37% to win at home against Toulouse. The draw is rated 28% and the away win 35%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Stade Brestois 29 a 40% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Toulouse a 29% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 64%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 64%

Match Events

  1. 9'
    Goal: J. Russell-RoweToulouse · Assist: Y. Gboho
    Goal: J. Russell-RoweAssist: Y. Gboho
  2. Goal: K. DoumbiaAssist: M. Diambou
    18'
    Goal: K. DoumbiaStade Brestois 29 · Assist: M. Diambou
  3. Yellow Card: B. Locko
    31'
    Yellow Card: B. LockoStade Brestois 29
  4. Yellow Card: P. Mboup
    44'
    Yellow Card: P. MboupStade Brestois 29
  5. 45+3'
    Yellow Card: C. CasseresToulouse
    Yellow Card: C. Casseres
  6. 46'
    Substitution: R. MessaliToulouse · Out: I. Diallo
    Substitution: R. MessaliOut: I. Diallo
  7. 60'
    Substitution: N. SchmidtToulouse · Out: A. Vossah
    Substitution: N. SchmidtOut: A. Vossah
  8. 62'
    Goal: C. TapeToulouse · Assist: C. Casseres
    Goal: C. TapeAssist: C. Casseres
  9. 67'
    Substitution: S. OppongToulouse · Out: J. Vignolo
    Substitution: S. OppongOut: J. Vignolo
  10. Substitution: M. BaldeOut: R. Del Castillo
    67'
    Substitution: M. BaldeStade Brestois 29 · Out: R. Del Castillo
  11. Substitution: J. NongeOut: K. Doumbia
    75'
    Substitution: J. NongeStade Brestois 29 · Out: K. Doumbia
  12. Substitution: H. MagnettiOut: M. Diambou
    75'
    Substitution: H. MagnettiStade Brestois 29 · Out: M. Diambou
  13. 78'
    Substitution: S. HidalgoToulouse · Out: J. Russell-Rowe
    Substitution: S. HidalgoOut: J. Russell-Rowe
  14. 78'
    Substitution: S. KoumbassaToulouse · Out: T. Jorgensen
    Substitution: S. KoumbassaOut: T. Jorgensen
  15. Substitution: L. C. Laine M.Out: P. Mboup
    83'
    Substitution: L. C. Laine M.Stade Brestois 29 · Out: P. Mboup
  16. Substitution: L. TousartOut: G. Lloris
    83'
    Substitution: L. TousartStade Brestois 29 · Out: G. Lloris
  17. 89'
    Yellow Card: N. SchmidtToulouse
    Yellow Card: N. Schmidt
  18. 90+4'
    Yellow Card: R. NicolaisenToulouse
    Yellow Card: R. Nicolaisen
  19. Goal: L. AjorqueAssist: H. Magnetti
    90+5'
    Goal: L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 · Assist: H. Magnetti
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Ajorque vs R. Nicolaisen: Brest's main striker will test Toulouse's central defense, and his ability to win aerial duels could be decisive.
2K. Doumbia vs C. Cásseres: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Doumbia's creativity against Cásseres' defensive work rate.
3J. Chotard vs M. Saka: Chotard's passing range could unlock Toulouse's defense, while Saka will look to disrupt Brest's rhythm.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Stade Brestois 29

  • Strong head-to-head record against Toulouse
  • Higher league position and better recent form
  • Missing two key defenders due to injury
  • No clean sheets in the last five matches

Toulouse

  • Decent defensive record, conceding only 1.4 goals per game
  • Ability to score on the counter-attack
  • On a two-game losing streak, lacking confidence
  • Five players missing through suspension and injury

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
50%
45%
Stade Brestois 29454115

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (45%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Stade Brestois 29 enter this Ligue 1 clash as the clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a strong head-to-head record, and a struggling Toulouse side that has lost two consecutive matches. The home side sit 4th in the standings, while Toulouse languish in 16th, and the gap in form and confidence is evident.

Form Analysis: Brest are unbeaten in their last five, with a draw in their most recent outing, and average 1.8 goals scored per game. Toulouse, on the other hand, are on a two-game losing streak, averaging just 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The momentum clearly favours the home team.

Key Factors: Toulouse are missing five players through suspension and injury, including key figures like A. Dønnum and R. Messali, which severely weakens their squad depth. Brest have won all five of their last meetings against Toulouse, giving them a psychological edge. Additionally, Brest's home advantage, though based on limited data, combined with Toulouse's poor away form, tilts the balance further.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a home victory. Brest's attacking output, Toulouse's defensive frailties, and the significant injury list for the visitors make an away win highly unlikely. Expect Brest to control the game and secure a comfortable win.

Statistical ContextStade Brestois 29

Double chance : Stade Brestois 29 or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
60%Strength40%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
60%Goals H2H40%
60%Wins the Game40%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Stade Brestois 29Injuries · ToulouseLive scores →

Statistical Context

Stade Brestois 29

LLWDD
  • LSep 20, 26A · Auxerre2-1
  • LSep 13, 26H · Paris Saint Germain0-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · Le Havre1-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · Le Mans2-2
  • DMay 17, 26H · Angers1-1

Toulouse

WDLLW
  • WSep 19, 26H · Le Havre3-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Lorient2-2
  • LSep 3, 26H · Lille0-1
  • LAug 22, 26H · Lyon0-2
  • WMay 10, 26H · Lyon2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Le Mans506WDDLD
9Stade Brestois 29405LWDD
10Paris Saint Germain405WLDD
11Lorient5-15LDWLD
12Toulouse5-25WDLDL
13Lens504LDLLW

Head to Head

5
Stade Brestois 29
3
Draws
2
Toulouse
  • Jan 25, 26Stade Brestois 29 – Toulouse0-2
  • Aug 24, 25Toulouse – Stade Brestois 292-0
  • Mar 30, 25Toulouse – Stade Brestois 292-4
  • Sep 22, 24Stade Brestois 29 – Toulouse2-0
  • May 19, 24Toulouse – Stade Brestois 290-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
Played44
Goals Scored64
Goals Conceded67
Avg Scored1.51.0
Avg Conceded1.51.8
Clean Sheets00

Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse — Match Analysis

Stade Brestois 29 are favored at 37% to win at home against Toulouse. The draw is rated 28% and the away win 35%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Stade Brestois 29 enter this Ligue 1 clash as the clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, a strong head-to-head record, and a struggling Toulouse side that has lost two consecutive matches. The home side sit 4th in the standings, while Toulouse languish in 16th, and the gap in form and confidence is evident.

Form Analysis: Brest are unbeaten in their last five, with a draw in their most recent outing, and average 1.8 goals scored per game. Toulouse, on the other hand, are on a two-game losing streak, averaging just 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The momentum clearly favours the home team.

Key Factors: Toulouse are missing five players through suspension and injury, including key figures like A. Dønnum and R. Messali, which severely weakens their squad depth. Brest have won all five of their last meetings against Toulouse, giving them a psychological edge. Additionally, Brest's home advantage, though based on limited data, combined with Toulouse's poor away form, tilts the balance further.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a home victory. Brest's attacking output, Toulouse's defensive frailties, and the significant injury list for the visitors make an away win highly unlikely. Expect Brest to control the game and secure a comfortable win.

Win Probabilities: Stade Brestois 29: 40% · Draw: 31% · Toulouse: 29%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 61% · Under 2.5: 39% · BTTS: 64%

H2H: Stade Brestois 29 wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Toulouse wins: 2

Form (latest first): Stade Brestois 29: LLWDD · Toulouse: WDLLW

  • L. Ajorque vs R. Nicolaisen: Brest's main striker will test Toulouse's central defense, and his ability to win aerial duels could be decisive.
  • K. Doumbia vs C. Cásseres: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Doumbia's creativity against Cásseres' defensive work rate.
  • J. Chotard vs M. Saka: Chotard's passing range could unlock Toulouse's defense, while Saka will look to disrupt Brest's rhythm.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 918:45
Lyon
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1015:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 1018:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 1018:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1018:45
Paris FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 1018:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Oct 1113:00
Strasbourg
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
Ligue 1France
Rennes
Oct 1115:15
Auxerre
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Oct 1118:45
Marseille
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Oct 1618:45
Toulouse
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Oct 1715:15
Paris Saint Germain
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1718:45
Stade Brestois 29
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Oct 1718:45
Lens
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.0020%
21.6959%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Oct 1813:00
Marseille
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1815:15
Monaco
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%

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