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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 3
  3. La Roche VF vs Aubagne

La Roche VF vs Aubagne

Result • Ligue 3·La Roche VF·Aubagne

Ligue 3
Ligue 3
Oct 3, 2026
18:45
high Confidence
WINNER
La Roche VF

La Roche VF

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.67
X3.60
24.00
Stadium
Stade Henri-Desgranges
high Confidence
Aubagne

Aubagne

Away
Odds
11.67
X3.60
24.00
Stadium
Stade Henri-Desgranges
Win Probabilities
64%
La Roche VF
19%
Draw
17%
Aubagne
Home1.6764%
Draw3.6019%
Away4.0017%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

La Roche VF are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 3 fixture between La Roche VF and Aubagne using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns La Roche VF a 64% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and Aubagne a 17% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 43%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 43%

Match Events

  1. 16'
    Goal: B. TafniAubagne · Assist: S. Ahamada
    Goal: B. TafniAssist: S. Ahamada
  2. Yellow Card: A. Araujo
    17'
    Yellow Card: A. AraujoLa Roche VF
  3. Yellow Card: M. Ndiaye
    45+3'
    Yellow Card: M. NdiayeLa Roche VF
  4. 45+3'
    Yellow Card: A. TafniAubagne
    Yellow Card: A. Tafni
  5. 45+3'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardAubagne
    Yellow Card: Yellow Card
  6. Goal: D. Bangoura
    53'
    Goal: D. BangouraLa Roche VF
  7. Yellow Card: M. Rabuel
    55'
    Yellow Card: M. RabuelLa Roche VF
  8. Goal: T. Allemand
    56'
    Goal: T. AllemandLa Roche VF
  9. 59'
    Substitution: A. FaizAubagne · Out: A. Oudjani
    Substitution: A. FaizOut: A. Oudjani
  10. Yellow Card: D. Bangoura
    61'
    Yellow Card: D. BangouraLa Roche VF
  11. Substitution: M. JacobOut: H. Lamy
    66'
    Substitution: M. JacobLa Roche VF · Out: H. Lamy
  12. Substitution: K. BensoulaOut: D. Bangoura
    66'
    Substitution: K. BensoulaLa Roche VF · Out: D. Bangoura
  13. 70'
    Substitution: Y. ZemouraAubagne · Out: B. Tafni
    Substitution: Y. ZemouraOut: B. Tafni
  14. Goal: M. SambAssist: A. Araujo
    71'
    Goal: M. SambLa Roche VF · Assist: A. Araujo
  15. Substitution: M. VrignonOut: M. Ndiaye
    77'
    Substitution: M. VrignonLa Roche VF · Out: M. Ndiaye
  16. Substitution: E. MorelOut: A. Araujo
    77'
    Substitution: E. MorelLa Roche VF · Out: A. Araujo
  17. 90'
    Yellow Card: S. AhamadaAubagne
    Yellow Card: S. Ahamada
  18. Substitution: M. VilletteOut: M. Samb
    90+3'
    Substitution: M. VilletteLa Roche VF · Out: M. Samb
  19. 90+4'
    Red Card: K. CisseAubagne
    Red Card: K. Cisse
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headLa Roche VF – AubagneInjuriesLa Roche VFInjuriesAubagneLive scores

Statistical Context

La Roche VF

LWWDD
  • LOct 15, 26A · Caen2-1
  • WSep 26, 26A · Thionville Lusitanos1-2
  • WSep 19, 26H · Valenciennes3-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Villefranche0-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · Quevilly1-1

Aubagne

LLLLD
  • LOct 17, 26H · Le Puy Foot0-1
  • LSep 26, 26H · Fleury 911-2
  • LSep 19, 26A · Rouen1-0
  • LSep 12, 26H · Concarneau1-2
  • DSep 5, 26A · Gobelins0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1La Roche VF10+621LWWWD
2Rouen10+1020LWLWW
15Orleans10-59LDDLL
16Aubagne10-77LLWLL
17Villefranche10-147WLLLD

La Roche VF vs Aubagne — Match Analysis

La Roche VF are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-0.

La Roche VF host Aubagne in the Ligue 3 on Saturday, 3 October 2026. Our model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 64%, with the draw at 20% and Aubagne at 16%.

Form and league position

La Roche VF sit 1st of 18 with 18 points from 8 games (12 scored, 7 conceded), recent form D-D-W-W. Aubagne sit 16th of 18 with 7 points from 8 games (5 scored, 9 conceded), recent form D-L-L-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–0.9, about 2.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 43%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price La Roche VF at 1.70, the draw at 3.60 and Aubagne at 4.45; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

La Roche VF to win (64%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: La Roche VF: 64% · Draw: 19% · Aubagne: 17%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (13.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 43%

Form (latest first): La Roche VF: LWWDD · Aubagne: LLLLD

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Ligue 3

Ligue 3

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 3France
Orleans
Oct 3113:45
Villefranche
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%
Ligue 3France
Bastia
Oct 3113:45
Quevilly
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
Ligue 3France
Le Puy Foot
Oct 3113:45
Caen
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Ligue 3France
Versailles
Oct 3113:45
Aubagne
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Ligue 3France
Fleury 91
Oct 3113:45
Gobelins
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Oct 3113:45
Concarneau
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
La Roche VF
Oct 3113:45
Bourg-en-bresse 01
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
Ligue 3France
Cannes
Oct 3113:45
Valenciennes
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
Ligue 3France
Valenciennes
Nov 519:45
Orleans
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Ligue 3France
Caen
Nov 713:45
Versailles
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 3France
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Nov 713:45
Le Puy Foot
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 3France
Concarneau
Nov 713:45
Fleury 91
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Ligue 3France
Villefranche
Nov 713:45
Quevilly
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Nov 713:45
Bastia
11.3574%
X7.1414%
28.3312%
Ligue 3France
Gobelins
Nov 713:45
La Roche VF
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%

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