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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 3
  3. Bastia vs Cannes

Bastia vs Cannes

Result • Ligue 3·Bastia·Cannes

Ligue 3
Ligue 3
Sep 17, 2026
18:45
low Confidence
DRAW
Bastia

Bastia

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
12.70
X2.90
22.40
Stadium
Stade Armand Cesari
low Confidence
DRAW
Cannes

Cannes

Away
Odds
12.70
X2.90
22.40
Stadium
Stade Armand Cesari
Win Probabilities
33%
Bastia
29%
Draw
38%
Cannes
Home2.7033%
Draw2.9029%
Away2.4038%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Cannes are favoured at 38%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 3 fixture between Bastia and Cannes using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bastia a 33% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Cannes a 38% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 36%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 36%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: H. MakalouOut: F. Tomi
    13'
    Substitution: H. MakalouBastia · Out: F. Tomi
  2. 16'
    Goal: C. GoncalvesCannes
    Goal: C. Goncalves
  3. 24'
    Yellow Card: H. AbderrahmaneCannes
    Yellow Card: H. Abderrahmane
  4. Goal: C. RodriguesAssist: H. Makalou
    27'
    Goal: C. RodriguesBastia · Assist: H. Makalou
  5. Yellow Card: I. Monnier
    30'
    Yellow Card: I. MonnierBastia
  6. Red Card: E. Garnier
    42'
    Red Card: E. GarnierBastia
  7. Yellow Card: G. Akueson
    47'
    Yellow Card: G. AkuesonBastia
  8. 49'
    Yellow Card: A. MajidCannes
    Yellow Card: A. Majid
  9. 59'
    Substitution: A. KerouedanCannes · Out: O. Sidibe
    Substitution: A. KerouedanOut: O. Sidibe
  10. 59'
    Substitution: B. OggadCannes · Out: A. Majid
    Substitution: B. OggadOut: A. Majid
  11. 66'
    Substitution: R. GerbeaudCannes · Out: G. Morgan
    Substitution: R. GerbeaudOut: G. Morgan
  12. Substitution: N. ZillioxOut: C. Melieres
    76'
    Substitution: N. ZillioxBastia · Out: C. Melieres
  13. 84'
    Substitution: C. NdoyeCannes · Out: A. N'Diaye
    Substitution: C. NdoyeOut: A. N'Diaye
  14. Substitution: R. BeliandjouOut: C. Rodrigues
    88'
    Substitution: R. BeliandjouBastia · Out: C. Rodrigues
  15. Substitution: D. DjedjeOut: I. Monnier
    88'
    Substitution: D. DjedjeBastia · Out: I. Monnier
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · BastiaInjuries · CannesLive scores →

Statistical Context

Bastia

DDLWL
  • DOct 17, 26A · Concarneau1-1
  • DOct 1, 26H · Orleans1-1
  • LSep 26, 26A · Gobelins1-0
  • WSep 12, 26A · Bourg-en-bresse 010-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Amiens0-3

Cannes

LWDDW
  • LOct 17, 26A · Villefranche2-1
  • WOct 3, 26H · Quevilly3-1
  • DSep 26, 26A · Orleans0-0
  • DSep 10, 26H · Amiens0-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Versailles0-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Amiens10+916DWDWD
8Cannes10+615LWDDD
9Fleury 9110+415WWLDW
10Gobelins10015WLWDL
11Quevilly10-313WLDDW
12Thionville Lusitanos10-112LLLDL
13Bastia10-412DDLDW
14Valenciennes10-59DLWLL

Season Statistics — 2025

BastiaCannes
Played32—
Goals Scored23—
Goals Conceded37—
Avg Scored0.7—
Avg Conceded1.2—
Clean Sheets11—

Bastia vs Cannes — Match Analysis

Cannes are favoured at 38%; our projected score is 0-1.

Bastia host Cannes in the Ligue 3 on Thursday, 17 September 2026. Our model makes Cannes the favourite at 38%, with the draw at 28% and Bastia at 34%.

Form and league position

Bastia sit 8th of 18 with 9 points from 6 games (5 scored, 8 conceded), recent form W-D-W-L-W. Cannes sit 5th of 18 with 10 points from 6 games (7 scored, 2 conceded), recent form L-W-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.9–0.9, about 1.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 26% and both teams to score at 36%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Bastia at 2.67, the draw at 3.15 and Cannes at 2.50; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Cannes to win (38%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Bastia: 33% · Draw: 29% · Cannes: 38%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (13.8% chance)

Over 2.5: 26% · Under 2.5: 74% · BTTS: 36%

Form (latest first): Bastia: DDLWL · Cannes: LWDDW

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Ligue 3

Ligue 3

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 3France
Amiens
Oct 2919:45
Thionville Lusitanos
11.8953%
X4.1724%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Orleans
Oct 3113:45
Villefranche
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%
Ligue 3France
Bastia
Oct 3113:45
Quevilly
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
Ligue 3France
Le Puy Foot
Oct 3113:45
Caen
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
Ligue 3France
Versailles
Oct 3113:45
Aubagne
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Ligue 3France
Fleury 91
Oct 3113:45
Gobelins
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Oct 3113:45
Concarneau
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
La Roche VF
Oct 3113:45
Bourg-en-bresse 01
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
Ligue 3France
Cannes
Oct 3113:45
Valenciennes
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
Ligue 3France
Valenciennes
Nov 519:45
Orleans
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Ligue 3France
Caen
Nov 713:45
Versailles
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 3France
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Nov 713:45
Le Puy Foot
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 3France
Concarneau
Nov 713:45
Fleury 91
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Ligue 3France
Villefranche
Nov 713:45
Quevilly
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Nov 713:45
Bastia
11.3574%
X7.1414%
28.3312%

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