Concarneau host Bastia in the Ligue 3 on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Our model makes Concarneau the favourite at 54%, with the draw at 25% and Bastia at 21%.
Form and league position
Concarneau sit 4th of 18 with 16 points from 9 games (12 scored, 8 conceded), recent form D-W-W-D-W. Bastia sit 12th of 18 with 11 points from 9 games (7 scored, 11 conceded), recent form L-W-D-L-D.
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–0.9, about 2.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 44%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Concarneau at 1.85, the draw at 3.25 and Bastia at 4.10; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Concarneau to win (54%), most likely score 1-0.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
