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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 3
  3. Concarneau vs Caen

Concarneau vs Caen

Result • Ligue 3·Concarneau·Caen

Ligue 3
Ligue 3
Sep 19, 2026
12:45
low Confidence
WINNER
Concarneau

Concarneau

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.40
X2.88
22.75
Stadium
Stade Guy Piriou
low Confidence
Caen

Caen

Away
Odds
12.40
X2.88
22.75
Stadium
Stade Guy Piriou
Win Probabilities
38%
Concarneau
28%
Draw
34%
Caen
Home2.4038%
Draw2.8828%
Away2.7534%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Concarneau are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 3 fixture between Concarneau and Caen using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Concarneau a 38% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Caen a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 51%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 51%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: B. MaconOut: L. Rosier
    23'
    Substitution: B. MaconConcarneau · Out: L. Rosier
  2. 58'
    Substitution: J. KimbomaCaen · Out: Z. Bagbema
    Substitution: J. KimbomaOut: Z. Bagbema
  3. Substitution: G. GbelleOut: F. Da Silva
    64'
    Substitution: G. GbelleConcarneau · Out: F. Da Silva
  4. Goal: J. Halby
    66'
    Goal: J. HalbyConcarneau
  5. 67'
    Yellow Card: K. PortutCaen
    Yellow Card: K. Portut
  6. Goal: S. JannoAssist: B. Macon
    69'
    Goal: S. JannoConcarneau · Assist: B. Macon
  7. 70'
    Substitution: H. SaivetCaen · Out: I. Botella
    Substitution: H. SaivetOut: I. Botella
  8. 70'
    Substitution: A. GnanduilletCaen · Out: D. Kanoute
    Substitution: A. GnanduilletOut: D. Kanoute
  9. Yellow Card: J. Halby
    75'
    Yellow Card: J. HalbyConcarneau
  10. Substitution: A. SidibeOut: B. Macon
    78'
    Substitution: A. SidibeConcarneau · Out: B. Macon
  11. 81'
    Substitution: S. DiakiteCaen · Out: D. Bolumbu
    Substitution: S. DiakiteOut: D. Bolumbu
  12. 81'
    Substitution: S. MbakaCaen · Out: L. Milliner
    Substitution: S. MbakaOut: L. Milliner
  13. Yellow Card: A. Sidibe
    90'
    Yellow Card: A. SidibeConcarneau
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · ConcarneauInjuries · CaenLive scores →

Statistical Context

Concarneau

DWDWD
  • DOct 17, 26H · Bastia1-1
  • WOct 3, 26H · Gobelins2-1
  • DSep 26, 26A · Bourg-en-bresse 011-1
  • WSep 12, 26A · Aubagne1-2
  • DSep 5, 26H · Thionville Lusitanos2-2

Caen

WLWWW
  • WOct 15, 26H · La Roche VF2-1
  • LOct 3, 26A · Fleury 913-2
  • WSep 24, 26H · Rouen3-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Gobelins2-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Bourg-en-bresse 010-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Versailles10+219WWWDW
4Caen10+618WLWLW
5Concarneau10+417DWDWW
6Le Puy Foot10+316WWLWL

Concarneau vs Caen — Match Analysis

Concarneau are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 1-0.

Concarneau host Caen in the Ligue 3 on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Our model makes Concarneau the favourite at 39%, with the draw at 27% and Caen at 34%.

Form and league position

Concarneau sit 7th of 18 with 9 points from 6 games (7 scored, 6 conceded), recent form W-W-L-D-W. Caen sit 2nd of 18 with 12 points from 6 games (12 scored, 5 conceded), recent form L-W-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.2, about 2.5 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 51%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Concarneau at 2.37, the draw at 3.05 and Caen at 2.92; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Concarneau to win (39%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Concarneau: 38% · Draw: 28% · Caen: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (9.3% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 51%

Form (latest first): Concarneau: DWDWD · Caen: WLWWW

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Ligue 3

Ligue 3

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 3France
Amiens
Oct 2919:45
Thionville Lusitanos
11.8953%
X4.1724%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Orleans
Oct 3113:45
Villefranche
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%
Ligue 3France
Bastia
Oct 3113:45
Quevilly
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
Ligue 3France
Le Puy Foot
Oct 3113:45
Caen
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
Ligue 3France
Versailles
Oct 3113:45
Aubagne
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Ligue 3France
Fleury 91
Oct 3113:45
Gobelins
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Oct 3113:45
Concarneau
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
La Roche VF
Oct 3113:45
Bourg-en-bresse 01
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
Ligue 3France
Cannes
Oct 3113:45
Valenciennes
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
Ligue 3France
Valenciennes
Nov 519:45
Orleans
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Ligue 3France
Caen
Nov 713:45
Versailles
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 3France
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Nov 713:45
Le Puy Foot
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 3France
Concarneau
Nov 713:45
Fleury 91
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Ligue 3France
Villefranche
Nov 713:45
Quevilly
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Nov 713:45
Bastia
11.3574%
X7.1414%
28.3312%

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