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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Ligue 3
  3. Caen vs La Roche VF

Caen vs La Roche VF

Result • Ligue 3·Caen·La Roche VF

Ligue 3
Ligue 3
Oct 15, 2026
18:45
low Confidence
WINNER
Caen

Caen

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.25
X3.20
22.70
low Confidence
La Roche VF

La Roche VF

Away
Odds
12.25
X3.20
22.70
Win Probabilities
40%
Caen
26%
Draw
34%
La Roche VF
Home2.2540%
Draw3.2026%
Away2.7034%

Oracle's Vision

Low Confidence
“

Caen are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 3 fixture between Caen and La Roche VF using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Caen a 40% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and La Roche VF a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 59%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 59%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Z. Bagbema
    20'
    Yellow Card: Z. BagbemaCaen
  2. 21'
    Yellow Card: M. SambLa Roche VF
    Yellow Card: M. Samb
  3. 43'
    Goal: M. SambLa Roche VF · Assist: M. Mahop
    Goal: M. SambAssist: M. Mahop
  4. Yellow Card: L. Carole
    51'
    Yellow Card: L. CaroleCaen
  5. Substitution: F. BomoOut: H. Saivet
    56'
    Substitution: F. BomoCaen · Out: H. Saivet
  6. Substitution: K. PortutOut: I. Botella
    56'
    Substitution: K. PortutCaen · Out: I. Botella
  7. 57'
    Substitution: K. BensoulaLa Roche VF · Out: M. Vrignon
    Substitution: K. BensoulaOut: M. Vrignon
  8. Substitution: M. HafidOut: J. Kimboma
    64'
    Substitution: M. HafidCaen · Out: J. Kimboma
  9. Substitution: M. DaffotOut: A. Gnanduillet
    64'
    Substitution: M. DaffotCaen · Out: A. Gnanduillet
  10. 65'
    Substitution: D. BangouraLa Roche VF · Out: A. Araujo
    Substitution: D. BangouraOut: A. Araujo
  11. Substitution: I. AissaouiOut: Z. Bagbema
    77'
    Substitution: I. AissaouiCaen · Out: Z. Bagbema
  12. 82'
    Substitution: E. GassamaLa Roche VF · Out: J. Beaulieu
    Substitution: E. GassamaOut: J. Beaulieu
  13. 82'
    Substitution: T. RenaudineauLa Roche VF · Out: H. Lamy
    Substitution: T. RenaudineauOut: H. Lamy
  14. Goal: M. DaffotAssist: L. Carole
    83'
    Goal: M. DaffotCaen · Assist: L. Carole
  15. Goal: K. Portut
    88'
    Goal: K. PortutCaen
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headCaen – La Roche VFInjuriesCaenInjuriesLa Roche VFLive scores

Statistical Context

Caen

DLWLW
  • DOct 31, 26A · Le Puy Foot2-2
  • LOct 3, 26A · Fleury 913-2
  • WSep 24, 26H · Rouen3-2
  • LSep 19, 26A · Concarneau2-0
  • WSep 12, 26H · Gobelins2-0

La Roche VF

WWWWD
  • WOct 31, 26H · Bourg-en-bresse 012-0
  • WOct 3, 26H · Aubagne3-1
  • WSep 26, 26A · Thionville Lusitanos1-2
  • WSep 19, 26H · Valenciennes3-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Villefranche0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1La Roche VF11+824WLWWW
2Rouen11+1123WLWLW
3Versailles11+622WWWWD
4Caen11+619DWLWL
5Cannes11+718WLWDD

Caen vs La Roche VF — Match Analysis

Caen are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 2-1.

Caen host La Roche VF in the Ligue 3 on Thursday, 15 October 2026. Our model makes Caen the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 27% and La Roche VF at 32%.

Form and league position

Caen sit 7th of 18 with 15 points from 9 games (17 scored, 12 conceded), recent form W-W-L-W-L. La Roche VF sit 1st of 18 with 21 points from 9 games (15 scored, 8 conceded), recent form D-D-W-W-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.5–1.4, about 2.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Caen at 2.12, the draw at 3.40 and La Roche VF at 3.10; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Caen to win (41%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Caen: 40% · Draw: 26% · La Roche VF: 34%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 59%

Form (latest first): Caen: DLWLW · La Roche VF: WWWWD

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Ligue 3

Ligue 3

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 3France
Caen
Nov 713:45
Versailles
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Ligue 3France
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Nov 713:45
Le Puy Foot
14.1724%
X4.0025%
21.9651%
Ligue 3France
Concarneau
Nov 713:45
Fleury 91
12.2245%
X3.5728%
23.7027%
Ligue 3France
Villefranche
Nov 713:45
Quevilly
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Nov 713:45
Bastia
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
Ligue 3France
Gobelins
Nov 713:45
La Roche VF
13.4529%
X3.7027%
22.2744%
Ligue 3France
Aubagne
Nov 713:45
Amiens
14.5522%
X4.0025%
21.8953%
Ligue 3France
Thionville Lusitanos
Nov 713:45
Cannes
14.3523%
X3.8526%
21.9651%
Ligue 3France
Amiens
Nov 1919:45
Caen
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Ligue 3France
Quevilly
Nov 2113:45
Valenciennes
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
Ligue 3France
Bastia
Nov 2113:45
Villefranche
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
Ligue 3France
Le Puy Foot
Nov 2113:45
Gobelins
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Ligue 3France
Versailles
Nov 2113:45
Bourg-en-bresse 01
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
Ligue 3France
Fleury 91
Nov 2113:45
Rouen
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Ligue 3France
La Roche VF
Nov 2113:45
Concarneau
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%

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