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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05

Prediction • Bundesliga·RB Leipzig·FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Dec 5, 2026
14:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Red Bull Arena
Early projection · Odds pending
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

Away
Stadium
Red Bull Arena
Win Probabilities
66%
RB Leipzig
18%
Draw
16%
FSV Mainz 05
Home1.5266%
Draw5.5618%
Away6.2516%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

RB Leipzig are clear favourites to win at home, backed by their superior league position and defensive strength, while Mainz's three-game losing streak adds to their troubles. The main risk is Mainz's surprising head-to-head dominance, which could make this a tighter contest than expected.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0RB Leipzig
/10
2.0FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
FormLatest first
WLWWW
Win Rate80%
FSV Mainz 05
FormLatest first
LLLLW
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageRB Leipzig+6.0

Goalscorers

StarterRB Leipzig – FSV Mainz 05
New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

More markets

StarterRB Leipzig – FSV Mainz 05
New · More markets

Every way to read this match

Worked out from the same score grid as the main prediction, so the numbers always agree.

Match stats predictions

StarterRB Leipzig – FSV Mainz 05

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

RB Leipzig
Home

RB Leipzig

Form
WLWWW
Latest first
7
Pos
51
Pts
-5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 3 matches)

Clean Sheets133%
Goal Diff-5
  • Strong defensive record (64% in API comparison)
  • Home advantage with a perfect home record so far
  • Higher league position and positive goal difference
C. Baumgartner
Thigh Injury
Injured
A. Ouedraogo
Shoulder Injury
Injured
A. Kone
Off the roster
Injured
O. Nyland
Foot Injury
Injured
Romulo Cardoso
Knee Injury
Injured
M. Guiu
Hamstring Injury
Injured
M. Finkgrafe
Thigh Injury
Injured
L. Zingerle
Off the roster
Injured
R. Reitz
Muscle Injury
Injured
V. Gebel
Knee Injury
Injured
B. Gruda
Ankle Injury
Injured
C. Nkunku
Groin Injury
Injured
M. Esteve
Knock
Injured
FSV Mainz 05
Away

FSV Mainz 05

Form
LWLLL
Latest first
6
Pos
52
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 8 matches)

Clean Sheets338%
Goal Diff0
  • Strong head-to-head record (5 wins in last 10)
  • Capable of scoring goals (17 in last 5)
  • Resilient under pressure
N. Amiri
Knee Injury
Injured
E. Martel
Knee Injury
Injured
Silas
Fracture
Injured
B. Hollerbach
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
P. Nebel
Muscle Injury
Injured
P. Mwene
Concussion
Injured
S. Widmer
Knee Injury
Injured
R. Zentner
Hand Injury
Injured
D. Kohr
Foot Injury
Injured
O. Ruoppi
Knee Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3Wins
2
Draws
FSV Mainz 05
5Wins
FSV Mainz 05
30%20%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan312026
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1-2
Loss
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Sep132025
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
0-1
Win
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Mar12025
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1-2
Loss
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Oct192024
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
0-2
Win
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Mar302024
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
0-0
Draw
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Nov42023
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
2-0
Loss
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Apr12023
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
0-3
Loss
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Oct82022
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Draw
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Jan82022
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
4-1
Win
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Aug152021
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
1-0
Loss
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

RB Leipzig 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05

Jan 31, 2026

61% / 21% / 18%

Scorer chances

StarterRB Leipzig – FSV Mainz 05
New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

RB Leipzig4-3-3vs3-5-2FSV Mainz 05Predicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Wing-backs will be challenged by wingers. Midfield battle will be crucial.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

RB Leipzig

13Out

12 key players

FSV Mainz 05

10Out

10 key players

RB Leipzig

Team

RB Leipzig

Players Out

13(12 key)
C. Baumgartner

C. Baumgartner

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Ouedraogo

A. Ouedraogo

MODERATE
Injury:Shoulder Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Kone

A. Kone

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

O. Nyland

O. Nyland

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Romulo Cardoso

Romulo Cardoso

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Guiu

M. Guiu

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Finkgrafe

M. Finkgrafe

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

L. Zingerle

L. Zingerle

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Reitz

R. Reitz

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

V. Gebel

V. Gebel

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

B. Gruda

B. Gruda

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

C. Nkunku

C. Nkunku

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Esteve

M. Esteve

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

FSV Mainz 05

Team

FSV Mainz 05

Players Out

10(10 key)
N. Amiri

N. Amiri

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

E. Martel

E. Martel

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Silas

Silas

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Hollerbach

B. Hollerbach

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. Nebel

P. Nebel

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

P. Mwene

P. Mwene

MODERATE
Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

S. Widmer

S. Widmer

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Zentner

R. Zentner

MODERATE
Injury:Hand Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Kohr

D. Kohr

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

O. Ruoppi

O. Ruoppi

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Bundesliga

League Statistics

Bundesliga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Bayern München
9630299+2021
2
Borussia Dortmund
9630167+921
3
RB LeipzigHome
96032713+1418
4
SC Freiburg
85121810+816
5
Werder Bremen
94321715+215
6
Bayer Leverkusen
84131816+213
7
SV Elversberg
94141718-113
8
VfB Stuttgart
94051515012
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
93331520-512
10
Hamburger SV
94051020-1012
11
FSV Mainz 05Away
93151819-110
12
SC Paderborn 07
9243811-310
13
FC Augsburg
9234202009
14
1899 Hoffenheim
83051416-29
15
1. FC Köln
8233912-39
16
Union Berlin
8143719-127
17
FC Schalke 04
813449-56
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
91171225-134
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

RB Leipzig

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

66%RB Leipzig
18%Draw
16%FSV Mainz 05

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Dec 5 · 14:30
StadiumRed Bull Arena
League StatsBundesliga
2:1Correct Score Predictions TodayToday's most likely score for every match — free, updated every 15 minutes.

More information

Bundesliga predicted line-ups: Gameweek 109/9Line-upsRB Leipzig – FSV Mainz 05Head-to-headRB Leipzig – FSV Mainz 05InjuriesRB LeipzigInjuriesFSV Mainz 05Live scores

Statistical Context

RB Leipzig

WLWWW
  • WNov 7, 26H · FC Augsburg5-2
  • LNov 4, 26H · Manchester City2-3
  • WOct 31, 26A · FC Schalke 040-2
  • WOct 27, 26A · Rot-Weiß Essen1-2
  • WOct 24, 26H · SV Elversberg4-0

FSV Mainz 05

LLLLW
  • LNov 7, 26H · Bayern München1-2
  • LOct 30, 26A · SV Elversberg4-1
  • LOct 27, 26A · VfL Bochum2-0
  • LOct 24, 26H · Werder Bremen2-3
  • WOct 17, 26A · FC Schalke 040-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Borussia Dortmund9+921WDWDD
3RB Leipzig9+1418WWWLW
4SC Freiburg8+816WLLWD
10Hamburger SV9-1012WLLWW
11FSV Mainz 059-110LLLWL
12SC Paderborn 079-310DDWDL

Head to Head

3
RB Leipzig
2
Draws
5
FSV Mainz 05
  • Jan 31, 26RB Leipzig – FSV Mainz 051-2
  • Sep 13, 25FSV Mainz 05 – RB Leipzig0-1
  • Mar 1, 25RB Leipzig – FSV Mainz 051-2
  • Oct 19, 24FSV Mainz 05 – RB Leipzig0-2
  • Mar 30, 24RB Leipzig – FSV Mainz 050-0

Season Statistics — 2026

RB LeipzigFSV Mainz 05
Played38
Goals Scored317
Goals Conceded817
Avg Scored1.02.1
Avg Conceded2.72.1
Clean Sheets13

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

RB LeipzigFSV Mainz 05
Over 2.5 Goals—3/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—1/10

Predicted line-ups: RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05

Predicted XI

RB Leipzig

4-3-3Formation· Coach: A. Beierlorzer

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2Formation· Coach: U. Fischer

  1. 1A. Schwolow
  1. 16S. Bell
  2. 3F. Gruber
  3. 4S. Posch
  1. 7Lee Jae-Sung
  2. 15L. Maloney
  3. 6K. Sano
  4. 24S. Kawasaki
  5. 23S. Becker
  1. 11R. Königsdörffer
  2. 9P. Tietz
  1. 11J. Bakayoko
  2. 27T. Gomis
  3. 40Rômulo
  1. 6E. Banzuzi
  2. 21N. El Aynaoui
  3. 30A. Maksimović
  1. 17R. Baku
  2. 3M. Estève
  3. 39B. Henrichs
  4. 16L. Klostermann
  1. 1Ø. Nyland

Bench

  • 26M. Vandevoordt
  • 2A. Koné
  • 23C. Lukeba
  • 4W. Orbán
  • 22D. Raum
  • 13N. Seiwald
  • 7A. Nusa

Out

  • C. Baumgartner · Thigh Injury
  • A. Ouedraogo · Shoulder Injury
  • A. Kone · Off the roster
  • O. Nyland · Foot Injury
  • Romulo Cardoso · Knee Injury
  • M. Guiu · Hamstring Injury
  • M. Finkgrafe · Thigh Injury
  • L. Zingerle · Off the roster

Bench

  • 48K. Potulski
  • 21D. da Costa
  • 40M. Kinzig
  • 47R. Nakuzola
  • 0A. Haidara

Out

  • N. Amiri · Knee Injury
  • E. Martel · Knee Injury
  • Silas · Broken shinbone
  • B. Hollerbach · Lacking Match Fitness
  • P. Nebel · Muscle Injury
  • P. Mwene · Head Injury
  • S. Widmer · Knee Injury
  • R. Zentner · Hand Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 — Expert Prediction & Analysis

RB Leipzig are clear favourites to win at home, backed by their superior league position and defensive strength, while Mainz's three-game losing streak adds to their troubles. The main risk is Mainz's surprising head-to-head dominance, which could make this a tighter contest than expected.

RB Leipzig are the clear favourites to win this Bundesliga encounter at the Red Bull Arena, though the margin is not overwhelming. The team-strength baseline and API-Football model both point to a home victory, with the latter also indicating a significant draw possibility.…

Win Probabilities: RB Leipzig: 66% · Draw: 18% · FSV Mainz 05: 16%

H2H: RB Leipzig wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · FSV Mainz 05 wins: 5

Form (latest first): RB Leipzig: WLWWW · FSV Mainz 05: LLLLW

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11.6760%
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Bayern München
Nov 2019:30
1. FC Köln
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11.2580%
X8.3312%
212.508%
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Borussia Mönchengladbach
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116.676%
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21.2282%
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Bayer Leverkusen
Nov 2114:30
SC Paderborn 07
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
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Eintracht Frankfurt
Nov 2114:30
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11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
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Union Berlin
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Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
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SV Elversberg
Nov 2114:30
SC Freiburg
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
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FC Schalke 04
Nov 2117:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
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FC Augsburg
Nov 2214:30
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Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
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Nov 2216:30
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Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
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17.1414%
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