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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV

Result • Bundesliga·Bayer Leverkusen·Hamburger SV

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
May 16, 2026
13:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.28
X6.50
28.00
Stadium
BayArena
high Confidence
DRAW
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Away
Odds
11.28
X6.50
28.00
Stadium
BayArena
Win Probabilities
68%
Bayer Leverkusen
21%
Draw
11%
Hamburger SV
Home1.2868%
Draw6.5021%
Away8.0011%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Bayer Leverkusen's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Hamburger SV, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between Bayer Leverkusen and Hamburger SV using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bayer Leverkusen a 68% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and Hamburger SV a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1P. Schick vs Hamburger SV defense: Leverkusen's top scorer faces a leaky defense that concedes heavily.
2Álex Grimaldo vs Hamburger SV midfield: Grimaldo's creativity and set-piece threat could unlock the away side.
3E. Poku vs Hamburger SV full-backs: Poku's pace and dribbling may exploit defensive gaps.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bayer Leverkusen

  • Strong attack averaging 1.6 goals per game
  • Excellent head-to-head record against Hamburger SV
  • Recent defensive frailty with no clean sheets in last 5
  • Several key players doubtful due to injury

Hamburger SV

  • Recent 2-match winning streak before current losses
  • Able to score despite poor form, averaging 1.4 goals per game
  • Poor defensive record conceding 2.4 goals per game
  • Seven injury doubts affecting squad depth

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
68%
API-Football
45%
57%
Bayer Leverkusen563311

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Bayer Leverkusen are strong favorites to win against Hamburger SV, with bookmaker odds implying a 73% chance of a home victory. The API-Football model also predicts a Leverkusen win, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Leverkusen have a mixed recent form (LWWLW) but have scored consistently, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Hamburger SV have lost three of their last five (WWLLL) and have a poor defensive record, conceding 2.4 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Leverkusen's superior league position (6th vs 11th) and strong head-to-head record (6 wins in last 10 meetings) are decisive. Additionally, Hamburger SV have seven injury doubts, weakening their squad depth.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win for Bayer Leverkusen, with Hamburger SV unlikely to cause an upset.

Statistical ContextBayer Leverkusen

Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV
68%Strength31%
56%Attacking Potential44%
63%Defensive Potential37%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
75%Goals H2H25%
68%Wins the Game31%

Statistical Context

Bayer Leverkusen

LWLWW
  • LAug 29, 26A · SV Elversberg3-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · SV Wehen0-4
  • LMay 9, 26A · VfB Stuttgart3-1
  • WMay 2, 26H · RB Leipzig4-1
  • WApr 25, 26A · 1. FC Köln1-2

Hamburger SV

LWWWL
  • LAug 29, 26A · Borussia Dortmund2-0
  • WAug 24, 26A · Verl0-3
  • WMay 10, 26H · SC Freiburg3-2
  • WMay 2, 26A · Eintracht Frankfurt1-2
  • LApr 25, 26H · 1899 Hoffenheim1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
41899 Hoffenheim000—
5Bayer Leverkusen000—
6SC Freiburg000—
7Eintracht Frankfurt000—
8FC Augsburg000—
9FSV Mainz 05000—
10Union Berlin000—
11Borussia Mönchengladbach000—
12Hamburger SV000—
131. FC Köln000—

Head to Head

6
Bayer Leverkusen
1
Draws
3
Hamburger SV
  • Mar 4, 26Hamburger SV – Bayer Leverkusen0-1
  • Feb 17, 18Hamburger SV – Bayer Leverkusen1-2
  • Sep 24, 17Bayer Leverkusen – Hamburger SV3-0
  • Feb 3, 17Hamburger SV – Bayer Leverkusen1-0
  • Sep 10, 16Bayer Leverkusen – Hamburger SV3-1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored3/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Bayer Leverkusen's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Hamburger SV, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Bayer Leverkusen are strong favorites to win against Hamburger SV, with bookmaker odds implying a 73% chance of a home victory. The API-Football model also predicts a Leverkusen win, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Leverkusen have a mixed recent form (LWWLW) but have scored consistently, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Hamburger SV have lost three of their last five (WWLLL) and have a poor defensive record, conceding 2.4 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Leverkusen's superior league position (6th vs 11th) and strong head-to-head record (6 wins in last 10 meetings) are decisive. Additionally, Hamburger SV have seven injury doubts, weakening their squad depth.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win for Bayer Leverkusen, with Hamburger SV unlikely to cause an upset.

Win Probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen: 68% · Draw: 21% · Hamburger SV: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Bayer Leverkusen wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · Hamburger SV wins: 3

Form (latest first): Bayer Leverkusen: LWLWW · Hamburger SV: LWWWL

  • P. Schick vs Hamburger SV defense: Leverkusen's top scorer faces a leaky defense that concedes heavily.
  • Álex Grimaldo vs Hamburger SV midfield: Grimaldo's creativity and set-piece threat could unlock the away side.
  • E. Poku vs Hamburger SV full-backs: Poku's pace and dribbling may exploit defensive gaps.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
SC Freiburg
Aug 3013:30
Werder Bremen
12.1746%
X3.3330%
24.1724%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Aug 3015:30
FC Schalke 04
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
BundesligaGermany
VfB Stuttgart
Sep 418:30
1. FC Köln
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Sep 513:30
RB Leipzig
13.7027%
X3.4529%
22.2744%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Sep 513:30
SV Elversberg
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
BundesligaGermany
1899 Hoffenheim
Sep 513:30
Borussia Dortmund
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
BundesligaGermany
Bayer Leverkusen
Sep 513:30
Union Berlin
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Sep 513:30
SC Freiburg
13.7027%
X3.1332%
22.4441%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Sep 516:30
Bayern München
111.119%
X5.2619%
21.3972%
BundesligaGermany
Hamburger SV
Sep 613:30
FSV Mainz 05
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Sep 615:30
FC Augsburg
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Sep 1118:30
FC Schalke 04
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
BundesligaGermany
SC Freiburg
Sep 1213:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 1213:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Sep 1213:30
SC Paderborn 07
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%