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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV

Result • Bundesliga·Bayer Leverkusen·Hamburger SV

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
May 16, 2026
13:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.28
X6.50
28.00
Stadium
BayArena
high Confidence
DRAW
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Away
Odds
11.28
X6.50
28.00
Stadium
BayArena
Win Probabilities
68%
Bayer Leverkusen
21%
Draw
11%
Hamburger SV
Home1.2868%
Draw6.5021%
Away8.0011%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Bayer Leverkusen's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Hamburger SV, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between Bayer Leverkusen and Hamburger SV using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bayer Leverkusen a 68% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and Hamburger SV a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1P. Schick vs Hamburger SV defense: Leverkusen's top scorer faces a leaky defense that concedes heavily.
2Álex Grimaldo vs Hamburger SV midfield: Grimaldo's creativity and set-piece threat could unlock the away side.
3E. Poku vs Hamburger SV full-backs: Poku's pace and dribbling may exploit defensive gaps.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bayer Leverkusen

  • Strong attack averaging 1.6 goals per game
  • Excellent head-to-head record against Hamburger SV
  • Recent defensive frailty with no clean sheets in last 5
  • Several key players doubtful due to injury

Hamburger SV

  • Recent 2-match winning streak before current losses
  • Able to score despite poor form, averaging 1.4 goals per game
  • Poor defensive record conceding 2.4 goals per game
  • Seven injury doubts affecting squad depth

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
68%
API-Football
45%
57%
Bayer Leverkusen563311

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Bayer Leverkusen are strong favorites to win against Hamburger SV, with bookmaker odds implying a 73% chance of a home victory. The API-Football model also predicts a Leverkusen win, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Leverkusen have a mixed recent form (LWWLW) but have scored consistently, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Hamburger SV have lost three of their last five (WWLLL) and have a poor defensive record, conceding 2.4 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Leverkusen's superior league position (6th vs 11th) and strong head-to-head record (6 wins in last 10 meetings) are decisive. Additionally, Hamburger SV have seven injury doubts, weakening their squad depth.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win for Bayer Leverkusen, with Hamburger SV unlikely to cause an upset.

Statistical ContextBayer Leverkusen

Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV
68%Strength31%
56%Attacking Potential44%
63%Defensive Potential37%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
75%Goals H2H25%
68%Wins the Game31%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Bayer LeverkusenInjuries · Hamburger SVLive scores →

Statistical Context

Bayer Leverkusen

WWWDW
  • WOct 10, 26A · FSV Mainz 053-4
  • WSep 20, 26H · RB Leipzig2-0
  • WSep 16, 26H · Celje2-0
  • DSep 12, 26A · FC Augsburg2-2
  • WSep 5, 26H · Union Berlin4-0

Hamburger SV

WWLLL
  • WOct 10, 26A · 1899 Hoffenheim2-3
  • WSep 19, 26H · 1. FC Köln2-1
  • LSep 13, 26A · RB Leipzig5-0
  • LSep 6, 26H · FSV Mainz 050-5
  • LAug 29, 26A · Borussia Dortmund2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Bayern München5+1211DWWDW
4Bayer Leverkusen5+610WWDWL
5RB Leipzig5+109WLWLW
11VfB Stuttgart5-16WLLWL
12Hamburger SV5-106WWLLL
13FC Schalke 045-25LDWDL

Head to Head

6
Bayer Leverkusen
1
Draws
3
Hamburger SV
  • Mar 4, 26Hamburger SV – Bayer Leverkusen0-1
  • Feb 17, 18Hamburger SV – Bayer Leverkusen1-2
  • Sep 24, 17Bayer Leverkusen – Hamburger SV3-0
  • Feb 3, 17Hamburger SV – Bayer Leverkusen1-0
  • Sep 10, 16Bayer Leverkusen – Hamburger SV3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV
Played14
Goals Scored22
Goals Conceded013
Avg Scored2.00.5
Avg Conceded0.03.3
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored3/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Bayer Leverkusen's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Hamburger SV, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Bayer Leverkusen are strong favorites to win against Hamburger SV, with bookmaker odds implying a 73% chance of a home victory. The API-Football model also predicts a Leverkusen win, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Leverkusen have a mixed recent form (LWWLW) but have scored consistently, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Hamburger SV have lost three of their last five (WWLLL) and have a poor defensive record, conceding 2.4 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Leverkusen's superior league position (6th vs 11th) and strong head-to-head record (6 wins in last 10 meetings) are decisive. Additionally, Hamburger SV have seven injury doubts, weakening their squad depth.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win for Bayer Leverkusen, with Hamburger SV unlikely to cause an upset.

Win Probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen: 68% · Draw: 21% · Hamburger SV: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Bayer Leverkusen wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · Hamburger SV wins: 3

Form (latest first): Bayer Leverkusen: WWWDW · Hamburger SV: WWLLL

  • P. Schick vs Hamburger SV defense: Leverkusen's top scorer faces a leaky defense that concedes heavily.
  • Álex Grimaldo vs Hamburger SV midfield: Grimaldo's creativity and set-piece threat could unlock the away side.
  • E. Poku vs Hamburger SV full-backs: Poku's pace and dribbling may exploit defensive gaps.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Oct 1618:30
1. FC Köln
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Oct 1713:30
SC Paderborn 07
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Oct 1713:30
FSV Mainz 05
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
BundesligaGermany
Hamburger SV
Oct 1713:30
VfB Stuttgart
14.5522%
X3.5728%
22.0050%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1713:30
Borussia Dortmund
15.2619%
X3.7027%
21.8554%
BundesligaGermany
SV Elversberg
Oct 1713:30
FC Augsburg
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
BundesligaGermany
Bayern München
Oct 1716:30
RB Leipzig
11.3574%
X5.5618%
212.508%
BundesligaGermany
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 1813:30
SC Freiburg
11.9651%
X4.0025%
24.1724%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Oct 1815:30
1899 Hoffenheim
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
BundesligaGermany
VfB Stuttgart
Oct 2318:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2413:30
Werder Bremen
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Oct 2413:30
Union Berlin
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
BundesligaGermany
RB Leipzig
Oct 2413:30
SV Elversberg
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Oct 2413:30
Hamburger SV
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
BundesligaGermany
1. FC Köln
Oct 2413:30
FC Schalke 04
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%

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