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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05

Prediction • Bundesliga·FC Schalke 04·FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026
13:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Veltins Arena
Early projection · Odds pending
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

Away
Stadium
Veltins Arena
Win Probabilities
47%
FC Schalke 04
24%
Draw
29%
FSV Mainz 05
Home2.1347%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.4529%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

FC Schalke 04 are favored at 47% to win at home against FSV Mainz 05. The draw is rated 24% and the away win 29%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0FC Schalke 04
/10
6.0FSV Mainz 05
FC Schalke 04
FormLatest first
WDLWW
Win Rate60%
FSV Mainz 05
FormLatest first
WLWDW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

FC Schalke 04
Home

FC Schalke 04

Form
LDW
Latest first
11
Pos
4
Pts
-1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 3 matches)

Clean Sheets133%
Goal Diff-1
  • Strong head-to-head record with six wins in the last five meetings
  • Home advantage at the Veltins Arena
  • Unbeaten at home this season with one draw
R. Schallenberg
Red Card
Suspended
D. Ljubicic
Knee Injury
Injured
E. Hojlund
Heel Injury
Injured
T. Kalas
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
K. Karaman
Hip Injury
Injured
A. Gantenbein
Ankle Injury
Injured
B. Lasme
Calf Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04
6Wins
3
Draws
FSV Mainz 05
1Wins
FSV Mainz 05
60%30%10%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May52023
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
2-3
Win
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
Nov92022
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
1-0
Win
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Mar52021
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
0-0
Draw
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Nov72020
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
2-2
Draw
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
Feb162020
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
0-0
Draw
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
Sep202019
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
2-1
Win
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Feb232019
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
3-0
Loss
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
Sep292018
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
1-0
Win
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Mar92018
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
0-1
Win
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
Oct202017
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
2-0
Win
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
FC Schalke 043-4-2-1vs3-1-4-2FSV Mainz 05Predicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

FC Schalke 04

7Out

6 key players

FSV Mainz 05

7Out

7 key players

FC Schalke 04

Team

FC Schalke 04

Players Out

7(6 key)
R. Schallenberg

R. Schallenberg

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
D. Ljubicic

D. Ljubicic

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

E. Hojlund

E. Hojlund

MODERATE
Injury:Heel Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Kalas

T. Kalas

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

K. Karaman

K. Karaman

MODERATE
Injury:Hip Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Gantenbein

A. Gantenbein

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

B. Lasme

B. Lasme

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

FSV Mainz 05

Team

FSV Mainz 05

Players Out

7(7 key)
E. Martel

E. Martel

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Silas

Silas

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Hollerbach

B. Hollerbach

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. Nebel

P. Nebel

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Widmer

S. Widmer

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Zentner

R. Zentner

MODERATE
Injury:Hand Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Kohr

D. Kohr

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Bundesliga

League Statistics

Bundesliga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Bayern München
Bayern München
4310142+1210
2
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
3300101+99
3
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
330082+69
4
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
321093+67
5
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
320193+66
6
SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
320187+16
7
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
311185+34
8
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05Away
311163+34
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
311178-14
10
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
311156-14
11
FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04Home
311134-14
12
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
311157-24
13
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
310267-13
14
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
310268-23
15
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07
301204-41
16
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
4013417-131
17
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3003312-90
18
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
3003012-120
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

FC Schalke 04

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

47%FC Schalke 04
24%Draw
29%FSV Mainz 05

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 17 · 13:30
StadiumVeltins Arena
League StatsBundesliga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · FC Schalke 04Injuries · FSV Mainz 05Live scores →

Statistical Context

FC Schalke 04

WDLWW
  • WSep 11, 26A · Union Berlin1-3
  • DSep 5, 26H · Bayern München0-0
  • LAug 30, 26A · FC Augsburg3-0
  • WAug 24, 26A · Hallescher FC2-5
  • WMay 17, 26H · Eintracht Braunschweig1-0

FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW
  • WSep 19, 26A · Borussia Mönchengladbach3-4
  • LSep 12, 26H · Eintracht Frankfurt1-3
  • WSep 6, 26A · Hamburger SV0-5
  • DAug 29, 26H · SC Paderborn 070-0
  • WAug 23, 26A · Krieschow0-9

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Bayer Leverkusen3+34DWL
8FSV Mainz 053+34LWD
9Eintracht Frankfurt3-14WLD
10Werder Bremen3-14DWL
11FC Schalke 043-14WDL
121. FC Köln3-24DLW

Head to Head

6
FC Schalke 04
3
Draws
1
FSV Mainz 05
  • May 5, 23FSV Mainz 05 – FC Schalke 042-3
  • Nov 9, 22FC Schalke 04 – FSV Mainz 051-0
  • Mar 5, 21FC Schalke 04 – FSV Mainz 050-0
  • Nov 7, 20FSV Mainz 05 – FC Schalke 042-2
  • Feb 16, 20FSV Mainz 05 – FC Schalke 040-0

Season Statistics — 2026

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
Played33
Goals Scored36
Goals Conceded43
Avg Scored1.02.0
Avg Conceded1.31.0
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
Over 2.5 Goals—3/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—1/10

Predicted line-ups: FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05

Predicted XI

FC Schalke 04

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: H. Stevens

FSV Mainz 05

3-1-4-2Formation· Coach: U. Fischer

  1. 1A. Schwolow
  1. 16S. Bell
  2. 19A. Caci
  3. 3F. Gruber
  1. 10N. Amiri
  1. 24S. Kawasaki
  2. 7Lee Jae-Sung
  3. 20O. Ruoppi
  4. 6K. Sano
  1. 23S. Becker
  2. 11R. Königsdörffer
  1. 20J. Adamu
  1. 8R. Gosens
  2. 21D. Ljubičić
  1. 24A. Aouchiche
  2. 14J. Bachmann
  3. 29J. Dina Ebimbe
  4. 23S. El-Faouzi
  1. 43M. Ayhan
  2. 5T. Becker
  3. 33Vitalie Becker
  1. 1L. Karius

Bench

  • 22K. Müller
  • 25N. Katić
  • 4H. Kuruçay
  • 39M. Wöber
  • 13S. Tanaka
  • 38L. Vozar
  • 10E. Džeko

Out

  • R. Schallenberg · Red Card
  • D. Ljubicic · Knee Injury
  • E. Hojlund · Heel Injury
  • T. Kalas · Lacking Match Fitness
  • K. Karaman · Hip Injury
  • A. Gantenbein · Ankle Injury
  • B. Lasme · Calf Injury

Bench

  • 15L. Maloney
  • 2P. Mwene
  • 4S. Posch
  • 48K. Potulski
  • 21D. da Costa
  • 9P. Tietz
  • 35Louis Babatz

Out

  • E. Martel · Knee Injury
  • Silas · Broken shinbone
  • B. Hollerbach · Lacking Match Fitness
  • P. Nebel · Muscle Injury
  • S. Widmer · Knee Injury
  • R. Zentner · Hand Injury
  • D. Kohr · Foot Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 — Expert Prediction & Analysis

FC Schalke 04 are favored at 47% to win at home against FSV Mainz 05. The draw is rated 24% and the away win 29%, so the numbers point to a home result.

FC Schalke 04 are narrow favourites for this Bundesliga encounter at the Veltins Arena, with the statistical model pointing to a home win or draw as the most probable outcome. The two sides are separa…

Win Probabilities: FC Schalke 04: 47% · Draw: 24% · FSV Mainz 05: 29%

H2H: FC Schalke 04 wins: 6 · Draws: 3 · FSV Mainz 05 wins: 1

Form (latest first): FC Schalke 04: WDLWW · FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW

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