Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites to win this Bundesliga clash at An der Alten Försterei, with the market and statistical model both pointing to an away victory.
Form Analysis: Dortmund arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five with four wins and a draw, scoring 1.8 goals per game and keeping two clean sheets. Union Berlin, by contrast, have struggled with just one win in five, conceding 2.8 goals per game and failing to score in two of those matches.
Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Dortmund, who have won eight of the last ten meetings. Union's injury crisis, with nine players out, severely weakens their squad depth. Additionally, Union's defensive record is poor, and they face a Dortmund side that has been solid at the back.
Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Dortmund win. Union's home advantage is unlikely to compensate for their poor form and extensive injury list.
