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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. SV Elversberg vs Bayern München

SV Elversberg vs Bayern München

Result • Bundesliga·SV Elversberg·Bayern München

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026
15:30
high Confidence
SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-3
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-3
Odds
112.00
X8.00
21.17
Stadium
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
high Confidence
WINNER
Bayern München

Bayern München

Away
Odds
112.00
X8.00
21.17
Stadium
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Win Probabilities
10%
SV Elversberg
12%
Draw
78%
Bayern München
Home12.0010%
Draw8.0012%
Away1.1778%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Bayern München are clear favourites, backed by a superior defensive record and a stronger overall statistical profile despite Elversberg's unbeaten run. The main risk is Elversberg's scoring form and home advantage turning this into a high-scoring contest.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between SV Elversberg and Bayern München using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns SV Elversberg a 10% win probability, a 12% chance of a draw, and Bayern München a 78% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-3. Both teams to score probability: 73%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 73%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Francis Onyeka
    7'
    Yellow Card: Francis OnyekaSV Elversberg
  2. Substitution: Noah DarvichOut: Francis Onyeka
    11'
    Substitution: Noah DarvichSV Elversberg · Out: Francis Onyeka
  3. 26'
    Goal: Lennart KarlBayern München · Assist: Harry Kane
    Goal: Lennart KarlAssist: Harry Kane
  4. Substitution: Maurice KrattenmacherOut: Cole Campbell
    45'
    Substitution: Maurice KrattenmacherSV Elversberg · Out: Cole Campbell
  5. Goal: Maurice KrattenmacherAssist: Noah Darvich
    61'
    Goal: Maurice KrattenmacherSV Elversberg · Assist: Noah Darvich
  6. Yellow Card: Felix Keidel
    63'
    Yellow Card: Felix KeidelSV Elversberg
  7. 65'
    Substitution: Alphonso DaviesBayern München · Out: Nathaniel Brown
    Substitution: Alphonso DaviesOut: Nathaniel Brown
  8. 65'
    Substitution: Joshua KimmichBayern München · Out: Tom Bischof
    Substitution: Joshua KimmichOut: Tom Bischof
  9. 65'
    Substitution: Luis DíazBayern München · Out: Ismael Saibari
    Substitution: Luis DíazOut: Ismael Saibari
  10. 65'
    Substitution: Jamal MusialaBayern München · Out: Lennart Karl
    Substitution: Jamal MusialaOut: Lennart Karl
  11. 72'
    Goal: Harry KaneBayern München · Assist: Aleksandar Pavlović
    Goal: Harry KaneAssist: Aleksandar Pavlović
  12. Substitution: Amara CondéOut: Felix Keidel
    73'
    Substitution: Amara CondéSV Elversberg · Out: Felix Keidel
  13. Substitution: Noel FutkeuOut: David Mokwa
    73'
    Substitution: Noel FutkeuSV Elversberg · Out: David Mokwa
  14. Substitution: Luca SchnellbacherOut: Lukas Petkov
    83'
    Substitution: Luca SchnellbacherSV Elversberg · Out: Lukas Petkov
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N. Futkeu vs H. Kane: Elversberg's in-form forward against Bayern's prolific striker — the efficiency of each in front of goal could define the scoreline.
2M. Krattenmacher vs J. Kimmich: The creative duel in midfield, where Krattenmacher's energy must disrupt Kimmich's control to give Elversberg a foothold.
3T. Boss vs M. Olise: Elversberg's goalkeeper faces a stern test against Bayern's creative wide threat, with saves likely needed to keep the hosts in the contest.
Strengths · Weaknesses

SV Elversberg

  • Five-match unbeaten streak with an average of three goals scored per game
  • Strong attacking output in recent fixtures (seven goals in last two wins)
  • No clean sheets in the last five matches, conceding 1.6 goals per game
  • Three players unavailable through injury, reducing squad depth

Bayern München

  • Excellent defensive record with two clean sheets and only 0.6 goals conceded per game in the last five
  • High-scoring attack averaging 3.2 goals per game
  • Five players out injured, including key attacking options
  • Only 50% win rate in the last five matches despite strong underlying numbers

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
78%
API-Football
35%
54%
Bayern München232453

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (54%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Bayern München are clear favourites to win this Bundesliga encounter at the Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, with the market pricing them as overwhelming front-runners and the statistical model reinforcing that view through their superior defensive and overall metrics.

Form Analysis: SV Elversberg arrive on a five-match unbeaten streak, scoring freely at an average of three goals per game, but they have kept no clean sheets in that run and conceded 1.6 goals per match. Bayern München are also unbeaten across five, averaging 3.2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, with two clean sheets — a far more balanced profile. The standings show Elversberg fourth on six points and Bayern fifth on four, but the goal-difference and defensive numbers tilt heavily toward the visitors.

Key Factors: Bayern's defensive rating in the comparison data is dominant, and their attack remains potent even with several absentees. Elversberg's home advantage is real but modest, and their defensive record against top-tier attacking quality is a concern. The head-to-head section offers no historical counterweight, so league form and squad quality govern.

Conclusion: The data points to a Bayern München victory. Elversberg's scoring form gives them a puncher's chance, but the gap in defensive solidity and overall squad strength makes the visitors strong favourites.

Statistical ContextSV Elversberg

Combo Double chance : SV Elversberg or draw and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SV ElversbergBayern München
45%Strength55%
58%Attacking Potential42%
17%Defensive Potential83%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
45%Wins the Game55%
Head-to-head →Injuries · SV ElversbergInjuries · Bayern MünchenLive scores →

Statistical Context

SV Elversberg

DWWWW
  • DSep 20, 26A · FC Schalke 040-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Borussia Mönchengladbach3-4
  • WAug 29, 26H · Bayer Leverkusen3-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · MSV Duisburg1-3
  • WMay 17, 26H · Preußen Münster3-0

Bayern München

WWDWW
  • WSep 18, 26H · Union Berlin7-0
  • WSep 10, 26H · Bodo/Glimt5-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · FC Schalke 040-0
  • WSep 2, 26A · VfL Osnabrück1-4
  • WAug 28, 26H · VfB Stuttgart5-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Borussia Dortmund4+712WWWW
2Bayern München4+1210WWDW
3SC Freiburg4+910DWWW
4FC Augsburg4+57LDWW
5Bayer Leverkusen4+57WDWL
6FSV Mainz 054+47WLWD
7SV Elversberg4+17DLWW
8Werder Bremen407WDWL

Season Statistics — 2026

SV ElversbergBayern München
Played14
Goals Scored314
Goals Conceded12
Avg Scored3.03.5
Avg Conceded1.00.5
Clean Sheets02

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SV ElversbergBayern München
Over 2.5 Goals—10/10
Both Teams Scored—7/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

SV Elversberg vs Bayern München — Match Analysis

Bayern München are clear favourites, backed by a superior defensive record and a stronger overall statistical profile despite Elversberg's unbeaten run. The main risk is Elversberg's scoring form and home advantage turning this into a high-scoring contest.

Bayern München are clear favourites to win this Bundesliga encounter at the Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, with the market pricing them as overwhelming front-runners and the statistical model reinforcing that view through their superior defensive and overall metrics.

Form Analysis: SV Elversberg arrive on a five-match unbeaten streak, scoring freely at an average of three goals per game, but they have kept no clean sheets in that run and conceded 1.6 goals per match. Bayern München are also unbeaten across five, averaging 3.2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, with two clean sheets — a far more balanced profile. The standings show Elversberg fourth on six points and Bayern fifth on four, but the goal-difference and defensive numbers tilt heavily toward the visitors.

Key Factors: Bayern's defensive rating in the comparison data is dominant, and their attack remains potent even with several absentees. Elversberg's home advantage is real but modest, and their defensive record against top-tier attacking quality is a concern. The head-to-head section offers no historical counterweight, so league form and squad quality govern.

Conclusion: The data points to a Bayern München victory. Elversberg's scoring form gives them a puncher's chance, but the gap in defensive solidity and overall squad strength makes the visitors strong favourites.

Win Probabilities: SV Elversberg: 10% · Draw: 12% · Bayern München: 78%

Predicted Score: 1-3 (13.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 76% · Under 2.5: 24% · BTTS: 73%

Form (latest first): SV Elversberg: DWWWW · Bayern München: WWDWW

  • N. Futkeu vs H. Kane: Elversberg's in-form forward against Bayern's prolific striker — the efficiency of each in front of goal could define the scoreline.
  • M. Krattenmacher vs J. Kimmich: The creative duel in midfield, where Krattenmacher's energy must disrupt Kimmich's control to give Elversberg a foothold.
  • T. Boss vs M. Olise: Elversberg's goalkeeper faces a stern test against Bayern's creative wide threat, with saves likely needed to keep the hosts in the contest.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 918:30
Werder Bremen
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 1013:30
Bayer Leverkusen
13.7027%
X3.2331%
22.3842%
BundesligaGermany
1899 Hoffenheim
Oct 1013:30
Hamburger SV
11.5266%
X4.5522%
28.3312%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Oct 1013:30
Bayern München
114.297%
X6.6715%
21.2878%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1013:30
SV Elversberg
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Oct 1013:30
VfB Stuttgart
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
BundesligaGermany
RB Leipzig
Oct 1016:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
11.5963%
X4.3523%
27.1414%
BundesligaGermany
1. FC Köln
Oct 1113:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
BundesligaGermany
SC Freiburg
Oct 1115:30
FC Schalke 04
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Oct 1618:30
1. FC Köln
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Oct 1713:30
SC Paderborn 07
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Oct 1713:30
FSV Mainz 05
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
BundesligaGermany
Hamburger SV
Oct 1713:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1713:30
Borussia Dortmund
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
BundesligaGermany
SV Elversberg
Oct 1713:30
FC Augsburg
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%

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