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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Result • Bundesliga·SC Freiburg·RB Leipzig

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
May 16, 2026
13:30
high Confidence
WINNER
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.55
X3.80
22.45
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
high Confidence
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Away
Odds
12.55
X3.80
22.45
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
Win Probabilities
28%
SC Freiburg
30%
Draw
42%
RB Leipzig
Home2.5528%
Draw3.8030%
Away2.4542%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Leipzig's path to victory illuminated by form and history. Freiburg's home fortress crumbles under the weight of past defeats.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns SC Freiburg a 28% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and RB Leipzig a 42% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Goal: J. Beste
    24'
    Goal: J. BesteSC Freiburg
  2. Goal: I. MatanovicAssist: J. Manzambi
    26'
    Goal: I. MatanovicSC Freiburg · Assist: J. Manzambi
  3. 33'
    Goal: A. OuedraogoRB Leipzig · Assist: Y. Diomande
    Goal: A. OuedraogoAssist: Y. Diomande
  4. Goal: M. GinterAssist: J. Makengo
    47'
    Goal: M. GinterSC Freiburg · Assist: J. Makengo
  5. Substitution: V. GrifoOut: J. Beste
    60'
    Substitution: V. GrifoSC Freiburg · Out: J. Beste
  6. Substitution: L. KublerOut: N. Hofler
    60'
    Substitution: L. KublerSC Freiburg · Out: N. Hofler
  7. 63'
    Substitution: R. BakuRB Leipzig · Out: B. Henrichs
    Substitution: R. BakuOut: B. Henrichs
  8. 64'
    Substitution: A. NusaRB Leipzig · Out: B. Gruda
    Substitution: A. NusaOut: B. Gruda
  9. Substitution: B. OgbusOut: M. Ginter
    72'
    Substitution: B. OgbusSC Freiburg · Out: M. Ginter
  10. Substitution: L. HolerOut: J. Manzambi
    72'
    Substitution: L. HolerSC Freiburg · Out: J. Manzambi
  11. 73'
    Substitution: T. GomisRB Leipzig · Out: N. Seiwald
    Substitution: T. GomisOut: N. Seiwald
  12. 73'
    Substitution: Romulo CardosoRB Leipzig · Out: C. Harder
    Substitution: Romulo CardosoOut: C. Harder
  13. Goal: D. ScherhantAssist: I. Matanovic
    75'
    Goal: D. ScherhantSC Freiburg · Assist: I. Matanovic
  14. 77'
    Yellow Card: C. BaumgartnerRB Leipzig
    Yellow Card: C. Baumgartner
  15. 80'
    Substitution: J. BakayokoRB Leipzig · Out: Y. Diomande
    Substitution: J. BakayokoOut: Y. Diomande
  16. Substitution: M. PhilippOut: I. Matanovic
    88'
    Substitution: M. PhilippSC Freiburg · Out: I. Matanovic
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1V. Grifo vs Leipzig defense: Freiburg's main creative threat must overcome Leipzig's organized backline.
2C. Baumgartner vs Freiburg midfield: Leipzig's top scorer will look to exploit gaps in Freiburg's midfield.
3Y. Diomande vs Freiburg center-backs: The away team's pace and movement could trouble a shaky home defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

SC Freiburg

  • Set pieces
  • Counter-attacking
  • Defensive fragility
  • Inconsistent form

RB Leipzig

  • Attacking firepower
  • High press
  • Occasional defensive lapses
  • Injury concerns in defense

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
42%
API-Football
45%
44%
RB Leipzig193844

Moderate agreement on away win (44%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

RB Leipzig are the clear favorites to win this Bundesliga clash against SC Freiburg, based on superior form, league standing, and head-to-head dominance.

Form Analysis: RB Leipzig arrive with strong momentum (WLWWW), averaging 2.0 goals scored per match, while Freiburg have been inconsistent (LDLWW) and have kept no clean sheets in their last five games. Leipzig's attack (63% rating) and overall team comparison (67.3%) heavily favor the visitors.

Key Factors: Leipzig have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, with Freiburg winless in that stretch. The visitors sit 3rd in the Bundesliga with 65 points, while Freiburg are 7th with 44 points. Both teams have minor injury doubts, but Leipzig's depth is superior.

Conclusion: All data points to an away victory. Freiburg's home advantage is insufficient to overcome Leipzig's quality and historical edge.

Statistical ContextRB Leipzig

Double chance : draw or RB Leipzig

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SC FreiburgRB Leipzig
32%Strength67%
38%Attacking Potential63%
44%Defensive Potential56%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
20%Goals H2H80%
32%Wins the Game67%
Head-to-head →Injuries · SC FreiburgInjuries · RB LeipzigLive scores →

Statistical Context

SC Freiburg

DWWWW
  • DSep 19, 26A · Eintracht Frankfurt2-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach5-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · SC Paderborn 070-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Werder Bremen4-1
  • WAug 27, 26H · Motherwell4-1

RB Leipzig

WLLWW
  • WSep 13, 26H · Hamburger SV5-0
  • LSep 10, 26A · Como4-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Werder Bremen3-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach3-0
  • WAug 22, 26A · Eintracht Trier0-6

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Bayern München4+1210WWDW
2SC Freiburg3+99WWW
3Borussia Dortmund3+69WWW
4FC Augsburg3+67DWW
5RB Leipzig3+66WLW
6SV Elversberg3+16LWW

Head to Head

0
SC Freiburg
3
Draws
7
RB Leipzig
  • Jan 14, 26RB Leipzig – SC Freiburg2-0
  • Mar 8, 25SC Freiburg – RB Leipzig0-0
  • Oct 26, 24RB Leipzig – SC Freiburg3-1
  • Apr 6, 24SC Freiburg – RB Leipzig1-4
  • Nov 12, 23RB Leipzig – SC Freiburg3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

SC FreiburgRB Leipzig
Played33
Goals Scored109
Goals Conceded13
Avg Scored3.33.0
Avg Conceded0.31.0
Clean Sheets22

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SC FreiburgRB Leipzig
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Leipzig's path to victory illuminated by form and history. Freiburg's home fortress crumbles under the weight of past defeats.

RB Leipzig are the clear favorites to win this Bundesliga clash against SC Freiburg, based on superior form, league standing, and head-to-head dominance.

Form Analysis: RB Leipzig arrive with strong momentum (WLWWW), averaging 2.0 goals scored per match, while Freiburg have been inconsistent (LDLWW) and have kept no clean sheets in their last five games. Leipzig's attack (63% rating) and overall team comparison (67.3%) heavily favor the visitors.

Key Factors: Leipzig have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, with Freiburg winless in that stretch. The visitors sit 3rd in the Bundesliga with 65 points, while Freiburg are 7th with 44 points. Both teams have minor injury doubts, but Leipzig's depth is superior.

Conclusion: All data points to an away victory. Freiburg's home advantage is insufficient to overcome Leipzig's quality and historical edge.

Win Probabilities: SC Freiburg: 28% · Draw: 30% · RB Leipzig: 42%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: SC Freiburg wins: 0 · Draws: 3 · RB Leipzig wins: 7

Form (latest first): SC Freiburg: DWWWW · RB Leipzig: WLLWW

  • V. Grifo vs Leipzig defense: Freiburg's main creative threat must overcome Leipzig's organized backline.
  • C. Baumgartner vs Freiburg midfield: Leipzig's top scorer will look to exploit gaps in Freiburg's midfield.
  • Y. Diomande vs Freiburg center-backs: The away team's pace and movement could trouble a shaky home defense.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
Bayer Leverkusen
Sep 2013:30
RB Leipzig
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Sep 2015:30
SV Elversberg
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Sep 2017:30
1899 Hoffenheim
15.2619%
X3.5728%
21.8953%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 918:30
Werder Bremen
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 1013:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
BundesligaGermany
1899 Hoffenheim
Oct 1013:30
Hamburger SV
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Oct 1013:30
Bayern München
Early projection
16.6715%
X6.2516%
21.4569%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1013:30
SV Elversberg
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Oct 1013:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
BundesligaGermany
RB Leipzig
Oct 1016:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
1. FC Köln
Oct 1113:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
BundesligaGermany
SC Freiburg
Oct 1115:30
FC Schalke 04
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Oct 1618:30
1. FC Köln
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Oct 1713:30
SC Paderborn 07
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Oct 1713:30
FSV Mainz 05
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%

Betting Tips

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