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  1. Home
  2. DFB Pokal
  3. Bayern München vs RB Leipzig

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig

Result • DFB Pokal·Bayern München·RB Leipzig

DFB Pokal
DFB Pokal
Feb 11, 2026
19:45
high Confidence
WINNER
Bayern München

Bayern München

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.30
X5.75
28.00
Stadium
Allianz Arena
high Confidence
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Away
Odds
11.30
X5.75
28.00
Stadium
Allianz Arena
Win Probabilities
70%
Bayern München
18%
Draw
12%
RB Leipzig
Home1.3070%
Draw5.7518%
Away8.0012%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Bayern's fortress standing strong, with historical winds favoring the home side. Ancient wisdom reveals Leipzig's path hindered by injury and past defeats.

Our AI model analyzes this DFB Pokal fixture between Bayern München and RB Leipzig using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bayern München a 70% win probability, a 18% chance of a draw, and RB Leipzig a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 4'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideRB Leipzig · C. Baumgartner
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideC. Baumgartner
  2. 29'
    Yellow Card: O. WernerRB Leipzig
    Yellow Card: O. Werner
  3. Yellow Card: J. Stanisic
    61'
    Yellow Card: J. StanisicBayern München
  4. 62'
    Yellow Card: M. VandevoordtRB Leipzig
    Yellow Card: M. Vandevoordt
  5. Penalty: H. Kane (Penalty)
    64'
    Penalty: H. Kane (Penalty)Bayern München
  6. Goal: L. DiazAssist: M. Olise
    67'
    Goal: L. DiazBayern München · Assist: M. Olise
  7. Substitution: J. MusialaOut: S. Gnabry
    69'
    Substitution: J. MusialaBayern München · Out: S. Gnabry
  8. Substitution: K. LaimerOut: J. Stanisic
    69'
    Substitution: K. LaimerBayern München · Out: J. Stanisic
  9. 69'
    Yellow Card: N. SeiwaldRB Leipzig
    Yellow Card: N. Seiwald
  10. 70'
    Yellow Card: Romulo CardosoRB Leipzig
    Yellow Card: Romulo Cardoso
  11. Yellow Card: A. Pavlovic
    70'
    Yellow Card: A. PavlovicBayern München
  12. 78'
    Substitution: C. HarderRB Leipzig · Out: Romulo Cardoso
    Substitution: C. HarderOut: Romulo Cardoso
  13. 78'
    Substitution: B. GrudaRB Leipzig · Out: A. Nusa
    Substitution: B. GrudaOut: A. Nusa
  14. 78'
    Substitution: E. BanzuziRB Leipzig · Out: X. Schlager
    Substitution: E. BanzuziOut: X. Schlager
  15. Substitution: L. GoretzkaOut: A. Pavlovic
    80'
    Substitution: L. GoretzkaBayern München · Out: A. Pavlovic
  16. 82'
    Yellow Card: C. BaumgartnerRB Leipzig
    Yellow Card: C. Baumgartner
  17. Yellow Card: K. Laimer
    89'
    Yellow Card: K. LaimerBayern München
  18. 89'
    Substitution: T. GomisRB Leipzig · Out: C. Baumgartner
    Substitution: T. GomisOut: C. Baumgartner
  19. 90+4'
    Substitution: E. BitshiabuRB Leipzig · Out: C. Lukeba
    Substitution: E. BitshiabuOut: C. Lukeba
  20. Substitution: H. ItoOut: A. Davies
    90+4'
    Substitution: H. ItoBayern München · Out: A. Davies
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1H. Kane vs RB Leipzig defense: Kane's scoring prowess against Leipzig's vulnerable defense could be decisive.
2M. Olise vs RB Leipzig midfield: Olise's creativity and assists will test Leipzig's midfield organization.
3C. Baumgartner vs Bayern defense: Baumgartner's attacking threat challenges Bayern's occasionally leaky defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bayern München

  • High offensive output with 2.4 avg goals scored
  • Strong home advantage with 0.55 rating
  • Defensive inconsistency with 1.2 avg goals conceded
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches

RB Leipzig

  • Decent goal-scoring ability with 11 goals in last 5 matches
  • Aggressive play style with a 4-3-3 formation
  • Higher defensive vulnerability with 1.8 avg goals conceded
  • Injury to M. Finkgrafe potentially affecting squad depth
Head-to-head →Injuries · Bayern MünchenInjuries · RB LeipzigLive scores →

Statistical Context

Bayern München

WWWDW
  • WSep 18, 26H · Union Berlin7-0
  • WSep 13, 26A · SV Elversberg1-2
  • WSep 10, 26H · Bodo/Glimt5-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · FC Schalke 040-0
  • WSep 2, 26A · VfL Osnabrück1-4

RB Leipzig

LWLLW
  • LSep 20, 26A · Bayer Leverkusen2-0
  • WSep 13, 26H · Hamburger SV5-0
  • LSep 10, 26A · Como4-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Werder Bremen3-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach3-0

Head to Head

6
Bayern München
2
Draws
2
RB Leipzig
  • Aug 15, 26Bayern München – RB Leipzig3-1
  • Feb 11, 26Bayern München – RB Leipzig2-0
  • Jan 17, 26RB Leipzig – Bayern München1-5
  • Aug 22, 25Bayern München – RB Leipzig6-0
  • May 3, 25RB Leipzig – Bayern München3-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
Played33
Goals Scored79
Goals Conceded23
Avg Scored2.33.0
Avg Conceded0.71.0
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
Over 2.5 Goals10/10—
Both Teams Scored7/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Bayern's fortress standing strong, with historical winds favoring the home side. Ancient wisdom reveals Leipzig's path hindered by injury and past defeats.

Based on the structured data, Bayern München is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 72% chance for a home win, and the API-Football model predicts Bayern München as the winner, aligning with the bookmaker odds. The data indicates a clear favorite with strong supporting factors.

Form Analysis: Bayern München has a form of WDLWW with 10 goals for and 5 against in the last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, and is on a 3-game unbeaten streak. RB Leipzig has a form of WLDWL with 11 goals for and 4 against, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, and is on a 1-game win streak. Bayern shows better offensive output and defensive stability.

Key Factors: 1. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55, providing Bayern an edge. 2. Head-to-head history favors Bayern with 5 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3. RB Leipzig has one player, M. Finkgrafe, listed as doubtful due to a knee injury, potentially weakening their squad.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Bayern München victory, supported by market odds, model prediction, form trends, and historical dominance. Minor weather impact and no major injuries for Bayern further reinforce this outcome.

Win Probabilities: Bayern München: 70% · Draw: 18% · RB Leipzig: 12%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Bayern München wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · RB Leipzig wins: 2

Form (latest first): Bayern München: WWWDW · RB Leipzig: LWLLW

  • H. Kane vs RB Leipzig defense: Kane's scoring prowess against Leipzig's vulnerable defense could be decisive.
  • M. Olise vs RB Leipzig midfield: Olise's creativity and assists will test Leipzig's midfield organization.
  • C. Baumgartner vs Bayern defense: Baumgartner's attacking threat challenges Bayern's occasionally leaky defense.

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