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  1. Home
  2. DFB Pokal
  3. Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart

Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart

Result • DFB Pokal·Holstein Kiel·VfB Stuttgart

DFB Pokal
DFB Pokal
Feb 4, 2026
19:45
high Confidence
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

Home
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.75
X4.50
21.48
Stadium
Holstein-Stadion
high Confidence
WINNER
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Away
Odds
15.75
X4.50
21.48
Stadium
Holstein-Stadion
Win Probabilities
18%
Holstein Kiel
22%
Draw
60%
VfB Stuttgart
Home5.7518%
Draw4.5022%
Away1.4860%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Stuttgart's fiery attack piercing Kiel's frosty defense under snowy skies, with ancient wisdom revealing a narrow victory for the away side as momentum prevails.

Our AI model analyzes this DFB Pokal fixture between Holstein Kiel and VfB Stuttgart using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Holstein Kiel a 18% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and VfB Stuttgart a 60% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 42'
    Yellow Card: B. El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart
    Yellow Card: B. El Khannouss
  2. Substitution: S. SchwabOut: U. Tohumcu
    54'
    Substitution: S. SchwabHolstein Kiel · Out: U. Tohumcu
  3. 56'
    Goal: D. UndavVfB Stuttgart
    Goal: D. Undav
  4. Substitution: A. JakupovicOut: A. Kapralik
    70'
    Substitution: A. JakupovicHolstein Kiel · Out: A. Kapralik
  5. Substitution: J. TherkelsenOut: K. Davidsen
    70'
    Substitution: J. TherkelsenHolstein Kiel · Out: K. Davidsen
  6. 81'
    Substitution: E. DemirovicVfB Stuttgart · Out: J. Leweling
    Substitution: E. DemirovicOut: J. Leweling
  7. Substitution: N. NiehoffOut: A. Kelati
    85'
    Substitution: N. NiehoffHolstein Kiel · Out: A. Kelati
  8. Substitution: M. MullerOut: I. Nekic
    85'
    Substitution: M. MullerHolstein Kiel · Out: I. Nekic
  9. 89'
    Goal: C. FuhrichVfB Stuttgart · Assist: D. Undav
    Goal: C. FuhrichAssist: D. Undav
  10. 90+1'
    Substitution: F. JeltschVfB Stuttgart · Out: C. Fuhrich
    Substitution: F. JeltschOut: C. Fuhrich
  11. 90+1'
    Substitution: B. BouananiVfB Stuttgart · Out: B. El Khannouss
    Substitution: B. BouananiOut: B. El Khannouss
  12. 90+1'
    Substitution: C. AndresVfB Stuttgart · Out: A. Stiller
    Substitution: C. AndresOut: A. Stiller
  13. 90+2'
    Goal: A. KarazorVfB Stuttgart · Assist: E. Demirovic
    Goal: A. KarazorAssist: E. Demirovic
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Bernhardsson vs B. El Khannouss: Midfield creativity battle between Holstein Kiel's assist leader and Stuttgart's high-rated midfielder.
2D. Zec vs Stuttgart Defense: Holstein Kiel's top scorer faces Stuttgart's vulnerable defense, testing their goal-scoring ability.
3Holstein Kiel Defense vs D. Undav: Kiel's solid defense must contain Stuttgart's leading scorer to prevent high-scoring outcomes.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Holstein Kiel

  • Defensive solidity with only 1 goal conceded in last 5 matches
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Lower goal-scoring output with 5 goals in last 5 matches
  • Recent form includes draws and losses

VfB Stuttgart

  • High-scoring form with 36 goals in last 5 matches
  • Strong winning momentum with a WWDWW record
  • Defensive vulnerability with 26 goals conceded in last 5 matches
  • Away match may reduce home advantage effects
Head-to-head →Injuries · Holstein KielInjuries · VfB StuttgartLive scores →

Statistical Context

Holstein Kiel

DLDLW
  • DSep 19, 26H · VfL Osnabrück1-1
  • LSep 13, 26A · 1. FC Heidenheim1-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · 1. FC Nürnberg2-2
  • LAug 30, 26A · 1. FC Magdeburg2-0
  • WAug 22, 26A · TSV 1860 München0-2

VfB Stuttgart

LLWWL
  • LSep 19, 26H · Borussia Dortmund0-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · 1899 Hoffenheim2-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Viking3-1
  • WSep 4, 26H · 1. FC Köln4-1
  • LAug 28, 26A · Bayern München5-1

Head to Head

2
Holstein Kiel
1
Draws
2
VfB Stuttgart
  • Mar 8, 25Holstein Kiel – VfB Stuttgart2-2
  • Oct 26, 24VfB Stuttgart – Holstein Kiel2-1
  • May 24, 20Holstein Kiel – VfB Stuttgart3-2
  • Oct 20, 19VfB Stuttgart – Holstein Kiel0-1
  • Aug 8, 15Holstein Kiel – VfB Stuttgart1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Holstein KielVfB Stuttgart
Played64
Goals Scored76
Goals Conceded109
Avg Scored1.21.5
Avg Conceded1.72.3
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Holstein KielVfB Stuttgart
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Stuttgart's fiery attack piercing Kiel's frosty defense under snowy skies, with ancient wisdom revealing a narrow victory for the away side as momentum prevails.

Based on the structured data, VfB Stuttgart is predicted to win this DFB Pokal match against Holstein Kiel, with a probability of 60% for an away victory, aligning closely with the bookmaker-implied probabilities that favor Stuttgart at 63%.

Form Analysis: VfB Stuttgart shows strong recent form with a record of WWDWW in their last five matches, scoring 36 goals and conceding 26, indicating a high-scoring and winning momentum. In contrast, Holstein Kiel has a form of LDWWD, with 5 goals for and 1 against, suggesting defensive solidity but less offensive output compared to Stuttgart.

Key Factors: 1. VfB Stuttgart's superior form and goal-scoring ability, as evidenced by their 36 goals in the last five matches, provide a decisive edge. 2. The head-to-head record is balanced with 2 wins each and 1 draw, but Stuttgart's current form may tip the scale. 3. Minor weather impact with light snow and cold temperatures could slightly favor a more adaptable team, but data indicates a neutral effect.

Conclusion: The data-driven analysis supports VfB Stuttgart as the likely winner, given their strong form and higher probability from market odds, despite Holstein Kiel's home advantage and defensive record.

Win Probabilities: Holstein Kiel: 18% · Draw: 22% · VfB Stuttgart: 60%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Holstein Kiel wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · VfB Stuttgart wins: 2

Form (latest first): Holstein Kiel: DLDLW · VfB Stuttgart: LLWWL

  • A. Bernhardsson vs B. El Khannouss: Midfield creativity battle between Holstein Kiel's assist leader and Stuttgart's high-rated midfielder.
  • D. Zec vs Stuttgart Defense: Holstein Kiel's top scorer faces Stuttgart's vulnerable defense, testing their goal-scoring ability.
  • Holstein Kiel Defense vs D. Undav: Kiel's solid defense must contain Stuttgart's leading scorer to prevent high-scoring outcomes.

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DFB Pokal

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11.6162%
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25.5618%
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12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
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12.2245%
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23.3330%
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11.8255%
X4.0025%
25.0020%
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22.5040%
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13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
DFB PokalGermany
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Oct 2719:00
1899 Hoffenheim
13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
DFB PokalGermany
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13.0333%
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X3.0333%
22.9434%

Betting Tips

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